L3Harris Technologies, Inc. · LHX · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

L3Harris Holds 2025 Outlook as Backlog and Cost Savings Support Growth

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: demand, backlog and cost savings provide operating support, while the maintained outlook and identified contract and budget risks argue against treating growth as assured.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $44.78B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $3.43
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $5.50B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.1% Event window
SPY move +0.5% Same window
Abnormal move -0.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.8% Up to 20 sessions
LHXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior quarter, the analysis shifts from a raised outlook and $600 million-plus savings run rate to a maintained 2025 outlook, $800 million of 2024 LHX NeXt savings and a higher $1.2 billion gross run-rate target. Leadership realignment and broader AI and autonomy partnerships were also highlighted.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management presented 2025 guidance for modest revenue growth, higher margins, $2.4-$2.5 billion of free cash flow and a $1 billion share repurchase.

Key takeaways

  • Management emphasized demand and backlog in space, communications and solid-rocket motors.
  • LHX NeXt savings reached $800 million in 2024, with a $1.2 billion gross run-rate target.
  • The outlook balances growth initiatives with fixed-price contract, budget and execution risks.

Management priorities

  • Execute LHX NeXt savings toward the $1.2 billion gross run-rate target.
  • Expand solid-rocket motor capacity and software-defined communications, including Link 16.
  • Develop AI and autonomy partnerships while pursuing the 2026 revenue framework.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
LHX REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $5B Q4 '23 actual $5B, beat Q1 '25 estimate $5B Q1 '25 actual $5B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $5B Q2 '25 actual $5B, match Q3 '25 estimate $5B Q3 '25 actual $5B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5B Q2 '26 actual $5B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $6B Q3 '26 actual $6B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $6B Q4 '26 actual $6B, miss Q1 '27 estimate $5B Q1 '27 actual $6B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $6B Q2 '27 actual $6B, beat Q3 '27 estimate $6B Q4 '27 estimate $6B Q1 '28 estimate $6B Q2 '28 estimate $6B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy34 ratings
Bullish2573.5%
Neutral720.6%
Bearish25.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$244.19Current
$193Low
$271.85Average
$367High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 16, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainOct 15, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 14, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainOct 12, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 9, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 3, 2026
Show 29 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $244.2. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$365$248.93 +49.5%Sep 14, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$315$262.17 +29.0%Aug 26, 2026
UBSGavin Parsons$323$343.92 +32.3%Jan 14, 2026
Truist FinancialMichael Ciarmoli$364$343.76 +49.1%Jan 14, 2026
Vertical ResearchRobert Stallard$355$350.48 +45.4%Jan 13, 2026
See 40 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

L3Harris Technologies, Inc. is a prominent technology firm specializing in aerospace and defense, delivering vital, high-stakes solutions to governmental and commercial clients across the globe. Its diverse operations are organized into several key segments: The Integrated Mission Systems division is responsible for providing versatile intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) platforms, alongside various communication technologies. This unit also offers comprehensive support for fleet management, as well as the development, modification, and routine maintenance of sensors for ISR and airborne operations. Furthermore, it develops and integrates specialized mission systems tailored for naval vessels and maritime operations, including sophisticated signals and multi-intelligence platforms, autonomous surface and undersea vehicles, and advanced power and ship control electronics. Cutting-edge electro-optical and infrared technologies are also part of its offerings.…

Historical context

All LHX earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-16T00:01:26.053560+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-16T12:30:41.300029+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-16T12:30:41.297284+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-16. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.