Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusHold49 ratings
Bullish2346.9%
Neutral1734.7%
Bearish918.4%
Lennar Corporation · LEN · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026
Lennar Holds Volume Guidance as Margins Improve Despite Housing Headwinds
The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive operating thesis: resilient housing demand, lower construction costs, disciplined incentives, and an asset-light land model may support earnings quality over the next year. The evidence is balanced by affordability pressure, resale competition, labor constraints, and land-related costs; the absence of reported EPS and revenue actuals limits confidence.
Reported After market closeNYSEConsumer Cyclical
$18.98B market cap
80quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
—
Consensus $1.30
EPS surprise
—
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
—
Consensus $8.31B
Revenue surprise
—
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
event-close to next-session close
Stock move
-4.1%
Event window
SPY move
-0.1%
Same window
Abnormal move
-4.0%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
3.5×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
0.0%
Up to 20 sessions
LENSPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about LEN FY2026 Q3
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
What drove LEN's -4.1% move after FY2026 Q3 earnings?What changed in LEN's guidance and outlook in FY2026 Q3?Give me the bull and bear case for LEN after FY2026 Q3 earnings.
Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.
Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis highlights volume meeting guidance, further margin improvement, lower incentive spend, a record-low construction cycle time, and continued reliance on third-party land-bank partnerships. Resale competition and labor constraints are more prominent counterweights, while management maintained its strategic direction.
Guidance delta
Maintained relative to the prior-quarter analysis; management continued to emphasize even-flow production, affordability support, and margin discipline.
Key takeaways
- Management said Q3 volume met guidance while margins improved and incentive spend declined.
- Record-low construction cycle time and a land-light model remain central to the efficiency thesis.
- Higher rates, inflation, resale competition, labor constraints, and land costs remain key counterweights.
- Mortgage financing programs and an 83% capture rate support affordability and demand conversion.
- The transcript analysis indicates a confident tone, but the scorecard lacks reported EPS and revenue actuals.
Management priorities
- Maintain even-flow production and monetize land inventory.
- Accelerate technology integration to reduce land acquisition and development costs.
- Optimize land-bank option terms and preserve capital efficiency.
- Use mortgage capture and financing programs to support affordability.
- Adjust pricing and incentives as interest-rate conditions evolve.
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Estimate
Beat
Miss
Match
Analyst 52W Price Targets
$76.43Current
$60Low
$121.32Average
$236High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 20, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Barclays | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Citizens | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Sep 17, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Sep 16, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Sep 14, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Sep 11, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 15, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jun 16, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Underperform | Market Perform | Downgrade | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Seaport Global | Sell | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Wedbush | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Underperform | Market Perform | Downgrade | Sep 22, 2025 |
| JMP Securities | Market Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Zelman & Assoc | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Citizens Capital Markets | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Maintain | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Mar 25, 2025 |
| BTIG | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Dec 20, 2024 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 27, 2024 |
| Oppenheimer | Perform | Perform | Maintain | Mar 15, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Jun 1, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Mar 16, 2023 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Dec 16, 2022 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Mar 16, 2021 |
| Susquehanna | Positive | Neutral | Upgrade | Sep 17, 2020 |
| CFRA | Hold | Hold | Maintain | May 11, 2020 |
| Buckingham Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 3, 2019 |
| Buckingham | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 3, 2019 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Aug 13, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 26, 2019 |
| Argus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 15, 2018 |
| Maxim Group | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 23, 2018 |
| Mizuho | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jan 18, 2018 |
| MKM Partners | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Oct 4, 2017 |
| BTIG Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 4, 2017 |
| Keefe Bruyette & Woods | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 21, 2016 |
| Sterne Agee CRT | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jan 19, 2016 |
| Sterne Agee | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jan 19, 2016 |
| FBR Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 22, 2015 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jan 15, 2015 |
| Compass Point | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 13, 2014 |
| CRT Capital | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jun 27, 2013 |
| FBN Securities | Sector Perform | Underperform | Upgrade | Apr 3, 2013 |
| Williams Capital | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 16, 2013 |
| Topeka | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Dec 7, 2012 |
| ISI Group | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 25, 2012 |
| Williams Financial | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 17, 2012 |
| Guggenheim | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Mar 27, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $76.43. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Mike Dahl | $69 | $75.96 | -9.7% | Sep 18, 2026 |
| BTIG | Ryan Gilbert | $63 | $79.7 | -17.6% | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $70 | $79.7 | -8.4% | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Jonathan Bettenhausen | $75 | $80.07 | -1.9% | Sep 16, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Sam Reid | $80 | $77.9 | +4.7% | Sep 11, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Jonathan Bettenhausen | $80 | $86.24 | +4.7% | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Christopher Graja | $108 | $84.76 | +41.3% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| UBS | John Lovallo | $94 | $89.75 | +23.0% | Jun 16, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $85 | $91.91 | +11.2% | Jun 15, 2026 |
| BTIG | Analyst unavailable | $67 | $90.3 | -12.3% | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $85 | $90.3 | +11.2% | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $79 | $90.3 | +3.4% | Jun 15, 2026 |
| BTIG | Analyst unavailable | $73 | $90.49 | -4.5% | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $125 | $120.9 | +63.5% | Jan 13, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $88 | $109.55 | +15.1% | Jan 9, 2026 |
| UBS | John Lovallo | $122 | $105.4 | +59.6% | Jan 6, 2026 |
| UBS | John Lovallo | $137 | $109.32 | +79.2% | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Susan Maklari | $120 | $112.23 | +57.0% | Dec 18, 2025 |
| BTIG | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $112.23 | +17.8% | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $110 | $112.23 | +43.9% | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Barclays | Matthew Bouley | $88 | $112.23 | +15.1% | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $92 | $112.23 | +20.4% | Dec 18, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $95 | $112.23 | +24.3% | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Barclays | Matthew Bouley | $98 | $123.91 | +28.2% | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $114 | $126.39 | +49.2% | Oct 7, 2025 |
| JMP Securities | Aaron Hecht | $140 | $127.32 | +83.2% | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $135 | $132.68 | +76.6% | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $110 | $117.56 | +43.9% | Mar 24, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Sam Reid | $190 | $182.25 | +148.6% | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Stephen Kim | $236 | $185.8 | +208.8% | Sep 24, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Rafe Jadrosich | $190 | $185.3 | +148.6% | Sep 23, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Anthony Pettinari | $196 | $184.62 | +156.4% | Sep 23, 2024 |
| BTIG | Carl Reichardt | $216 | $182.19 | +182.6% | Sep 23, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Mike Dahl | $160 | $184.87 | +109.3% | Sep 23, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Susan Maklari | $190 | $182.19 | +148.6% | Sep 23, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Susan Maklari | $182 | $192.45 | +138.1% | Sep 20, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Sam Reid | $205 | $179.42 | +168.2% | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Susan Maklari | $174 | $170.94 | +127.7% | Jul 22, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Mike Dahl | $145 | $148.72 | +89.7% | Jun 20, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Susan Maklari | $180 | $148.72 | +135.5% | Jun 20, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Stephen Kim | $237 | $148.72 | +210.1% | Jun 20, 2024 |
| Barclays | Matthew Bouley | $177 | $148.72 | +131.6% | Jun 20, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Anthony Pettinari | $183 | $153.06 | +139.4% | Jun 14, 2024 |
| Wedbush | Jay McCanless | $144 | $153.95 | +88.4% | Jun 10, 2024 |
| Argus Research | Chris Graja | $175 | $160.27 | +129.0% | Apr 11, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Collin Verron | $144 | $156.57 | +88.4% | Mar 15, 2024 |
| UBS | John Lovallo | $198 | $156.57 | +159.1% | Mar 15, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Deepa Raghavan | $175 | $156.57 | +129.0% | Mar 15, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Stephen Kim | $238 | $156.57 | +211.4% | Mar 15, 2024 |
| Raymond James | Buck Horne | $165 | $148.23 | +115.9% | Dec 19, 2023 |
| Raymond James | Buck Horne | $150 | $115.97 | +96.3% | Sep 14, 2023 |
| Deutsche Bank | Nishu Sood | $105 | $116.46 | +37.4% | Jun 13, 2023 |
| Citigroup | Anthony Pettinari | $113 | $98.96 | +47.8% | Mar 14, 2023 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $79 | $93.18 | +3.4% | Dec 16, 2022 |
| J.P. Morgan | Analyst unavailable | $97 | $84.26 | +26.9% | Nov 22, 2022 |
| JMP Securities | Aaron Hecht | $115 | $80.5 | +50.5% | Oct 4, 2022 |
| Barclays | Matthew Bouley | $85 | $69.64 | +11.2% | Jun 29, 2022 |
| Wedbush | Jay McCanless | $88 | $69.48 | +15.1% | Jun 29, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Buck Horne | $75 | $69.64 | -1.9% | Jun 29, 2022 |
| Evercore ISI | Stephen Kim | $112 | $69.64 | +46.5% | Jun 29, 2022 |
| UBS | John Lovallo | $108 | $69.64 | +41.3% | Jun 29, 2022 |
| KeyBanc | Kenneth Zener | $60 | $69.64 | -21.5% | Jun 29, 2022 |
| BTIG | Carl Reichardt | $97 | $72.04 | +26.9% | Jun 28, 2022 |
| UBS | John Lovallo | $154 | $82.51 | +101.5% | Mar 28, 2022 |
| BTIG | Carl Reichardt | $118 | $88.22 | +54.4% | Mar 21, 2022 |
| KeyBanc | Kenneth Zener | $75 | $86.27 | -1.9% | Mar 15, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Susan Maklari | $140 | $92.02 | +83.2% | Feb 16, 2022 |
| KeyBanc | Kenneth Zener | $86 | $96.86 | +12.5% | Jan 19, 2022 |
| Seaport Global | Mark Weintraub | $133 | $107.74 | +74.0% | Jan 14, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Buck Horne | $125 | $108.3 | +63.5% | Dec 21, 2021 |
| Argus Research | Chris Graja | $120 | $105.4 | +57.0% | Dec 20, 2021 |
| JMP Securities | Aaron Hecht | $130 | $105.43 | +70.1% | Dec 17, 2021 |
| Wedbush | Jay McCanless | $130 | $105.43 | +70.1% | Dec 17, 2021 |
Track every rating change on LEN the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationLennar Corporation, an influential homebuilder in the United States, operates primarily under its widely recognized Lennar brand, alongside its various subsidiaries. The company structures its diverse business initiatives across several distinct divisions: regional homebuilding segments (East, Central, Texas, and West), a Financial Services arm, a Multifamily property development unit, and a broader "Lennar Other" category. At the heart of its operations, Lennar is deeply involved in the creation and sale of single-family homes, encompassing both attached and detached designs.…
Historical context
All LEN earningsConsumer Cyclical peers this season
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEN-B Lennar Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | — | — | Lennar: Efficiency Gains Offset Housing-Market Pressures |
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| DECK Deckers Outdoor Corporation | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +6.8% | -0.2% | Deckers Crosses $1 Billion Quarterly Revenue as HOKA and UGG DTC Drive Margin Gains |
| TSCO Tractor Supply Company | FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | -1.0% | +3.3% | TSCO Q2: Comp Sales Turn Negative as Pet Ecosystem Expands |
| PKG Packaging Corporation of America | FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +1.7% | +2.5% | PKG Beats Q2 EPS Guidance as Greif Integration Hits Stride |
| PHM PulteGroup, Inc. | FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +5.1% | +2.0% | PulteGroup Q2: Margins Rebound to 25%, Orders Up 6% as Spec Inventory Tightens |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- FPSFY2026 Q4 · September 15, 2026+4.3% EPS+9.5% move
- TCOMFY2026 Q2 · September 15, 2026+22.3% EPS+3.0% move
- KRFY2026 Q2 · September 11, 2026+2.8% EPS+2.7% move
- ORCLFY2027 Q1 · September 10, 2026+10.3% EPS-1.7% move
- BKRFY2026 Q2 · July 26, 2026+25.2% EPS-3.5% move
- LWFY2026 Q4 · July 24, 2026+39.0% EPS+0.8% move
Missed on EPS
Get the LEN recap when the next report posts
One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.
Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-09-17T21:19:50.797803+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-03T01:23:14.877038+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-20T21:10:41.034545+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-20T21:10:41.031643+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.