Leidos Holdings, Inc. · LDOS · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Leidos raises guidance as defense bookings accelerate

The supplied Q2 analysis supports a constructive near-term operating thesis for Leidos: defense bookings, new program opportunities, and raised full-year guidance strengthen the growth case. That case is balanced by health-segment payment uncertainty, possible in-sourcing, government funding risk, and execution demands.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $16.13B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.26 Consensus $2.91
EPS surprise +12.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.56B Consensus $4.44B
Revenue surprise +2.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +10.0% Event window
SPY move +1.8% Same window
Abnormal move +8.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +6.6% Up to 20 sessions
LDOSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the supplied prior-quarter analysis, Leidos moved from a prior expected Q2 revenue and margin low point to reported 7% year-over-year revenue growth, record operating cash flow, stronger defense bookings, and further raised full-year guidance. The current analysis also identifies a $12 billion digital-opportunity pipeline and a framework agreement exceeding $1 billion for 3,000 low-cost containerized munitions by 2030.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year revenue, EPS, and operating cash-flow guidance; the supplied analysis puts full-year capex at $250 million.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 revenue grew 7% year over year to $4.6 billion, while adjusted EBITDA margin was 13.8% and operating cash flow reached a record $793 million.
  • Defense momentum strengthened, with book-to-bill above 2 and new opportunities in munitions, unmanned vessels, and satellite payloads.
  • Health execution remains a watch item because VBA incentive payments are suspended, although management expects stable margins and contract extensions.
  • Capital allocation remains focused on modest capex, share repurchases, and the pending SES-Analogic joint venture.

Management priorities

  • Scale containerized munitions and small cruise missile production.
  • Advance the medium unmanned surface vessel program and satellite payload opportunities.
  • Expand secure AI and cloud services through the CoreWeave partnership.
  • Support MHS GENESIS and the My Service Treatment Record pilot while pursuing health-services growth.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
LDOS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $4B Q4 '23 actual $4B, beat Q1 '25 estimate $4B Q1 '25 actual $4B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4B Q2 '25 actual $4B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4B Q3 '25 actual $4B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4B Q2 '26 actual $4B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4B Q3 '26 actual $4B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4B Q4 '26 actual $4B, miss Q1 '27 estimate $4B Q1 '27 actual $4B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $4B Q2 '27 actual $5B, beat Q3 '27 estimate $5B Q4 '27 estimate $5B Q1 '28 estimate $5B Q2 '28 estimate $5B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy28 ratings
Bullish1760.7%
Neutral1139.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$123.31Current
$105Low
$164.41Average
$230High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 18, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 12, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 11, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainAug 7, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 5, 2026
Show 23 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $123.31. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Cowen & Co.Analyst unavailable$135$133.05 +9.5%Sep 8, 2026
Wells FargoDavid Strauss$165$143.83 +33.8%Aug 17, 2026
Goldman SachsNoah Poponak$132$140.89 +7.0%Aug 12, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$145$137.57 +17.6%Aug 9, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$150$130.6 +21.6%Aug 5, 2026
See 44 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Leidos Holdings, Inc., along with its various subsidiaries, delivers a broad spectrum of services and innovative solutions across key markets: defense, intelligence, civil government, and health. The company operates both domestically within the United States and on an international scale. Its operations are organized into three principal divisions: Defense Solutions, Civil, and Health. The Defense Solutions segment is dedicated to providing national security systems and specialized support spanning air, land, sea, space, and cyberspace domains. Its extensive client base includes the U.S. Intelligence Community, the Department of Defense, NASA, various military branches, allied foreign governments, and other federal and commercial entities within the national security sector.…

Historical context

All LDOS earnings

Technology peers this season

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ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-04T20:14:38.262288+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-09T01:23:14.388487+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T23:20:59.074076+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T23:20:59.071272+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.