Leidos Holdings, Inc. · LDOS · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Leidos pairs record FY2024 with a North Star 2030 growth plan

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: Leidos enters the next period with strong backlog, federal demand, and a multi-year growth plan, while budget timing and execution risks remain material.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $15.67B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.24
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $4.13B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -3.6% Event window
SPY move +0.1% Same window
Abnormal move -3.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.9% Up to 20 sessions
LDOSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management moved from the prior quarter's raised FY2024 outlook to a maintained 2025 outlook and provided more detail on North Star 2030, including federal IT modernization, defense platforms, and health-services expansion.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook; the analysis cites 2025 revenue guidance of $16.9-$17.3 billion and EPS guidance of $10.35-$10.75.

Key takeaways

  • Management described record FY2024 results and highlighted federal IT modernization, defense, and health-services demand.
  • Backlog grew 18% year over year, while the December-quarter book-to-bill ratio reached 1.7.
  • The North Star 2030 strategy centers on IT modernization, war-fighting capabilities, and privatization.
  • Capital allocation remained active, with debt leverage reduced to 2.2x and share repurchases continuing.

Management priorities

  • Execute North Star 2030 initiatives over the next three years.
  • Expand Defense Enclave Services and autonomous maritime and hypersonic platforms.
  • Deepen federal-agency partnerships while maintaining disciplined capital allocation.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
LDOS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $4B Q4 '23 actual $4B, beat Q1 '25 estimate $4B Q1 '25 actual $4B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4B Q2 '25 actual $4B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4B Q3 '25 actual $4B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4B Q2 '26 actual $4B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4B Q3 '26 actual $4B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4B Q4 '26 actual $4B, miss Q1 '27 estimate $4B Q1 '27 actual $4B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $4B Q2 '27 actual $5B, beat Q3 '27 estimate $5B Q4 '27 estimate $5B Q1 '28 estimate $5B Q2 '28 estimate $5B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy28 ratings
Bullish1657.1%
Neutral1242.9%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$124.85Current
$105Low
$164.04Average
$230High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeOct 8, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainOct 6, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainOct 6, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 18, 2026
Show 23 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $124.85. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesSheila Kahyaoglu$130$117.81 +4.1%Oct 6, 2026
Cowen & Co.Analyst unavailable$135$133.05 +8.1%Sep 8, 2026
Wells FargoDavid Strauss$165$143.83 +32.2%Aug 17, 2026
Goldman SachsNoah Poponak$132$140.89 +5.7%Aug 12, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$145$137.57 +16.1%Aug 9, 2026
See 45 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Leidos Holdings, Inc., along with its various subsidiaries, delivers a broad spectrum of services and innovative solutions across key markets: defense, intelligence, civil government, and health. The company operates both domestically within the United States and on an international scale. Its operations are organized into three principal divisions: Defense Solutions, Civil, and Health. The Defense Solutions segment is dedicated to providing national security systems and specialized support spanning air, land, sea, space, and cyberspace domains. Its extensive client base includes the U.S. Intelligence Community, the Department of Defense, NASA, various military branches, allied foreign governments, and other federal and commercial entities within the national security sector.…

Historical context

All LDOS earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-28T00:00:20.742579+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-19T01:40:42.232469+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-19T01:40:42.229677+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-19. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.