Kinder Morgan, Inc. · KMI · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

KMI: Gas-demand growth supports expansion, but execution risks remain

The supplied analysis supports a constructive KMI growth thesis: strong natural-gas demand and a growing project pipeline may support earnings progression, but the case depends on project execution, permitting and disciplined capital allocation.

Reported After market closeNYSEEnergy $76.16B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.25 Consensus $0.27
EPS surprise -6.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.70B Consensus $4.05B
Revenue surprise -8.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -0.4% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -0.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.8% Up to 20 sessions
KMISPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis emphasized additional pipeline expansion plans, new CO2 flood initiatives and a larger set of potential large projects, while retaining a confident tone and maintained guidance. Compared with the prior analysis, the main shift was greater emphasis on execution, permitting and commodity-related risks.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook, with the analysis pointing to expected year-over-year EBITDA and EPS growth despite commodity-price softness.

Key takeaways

  • Management sees durable natural-gas demand from LNG, power generation, industrial activity and data centers.
  • The project backlog and planned pipeline expansions support a constructive medium-term growth case.
  • Commodity softness, permitting challenges, slower RNG start-ups and leverage remain important offsets.

Management priorities

  • Advance pipeline expansions and other large capital projects.
  • Scale CO2 flood operations and related production initiatives.
  • Fund growth while maintaining balance-sheet and capital-allocation discipline.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KMI REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $4B Q4 '23 actual $4B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $4B Q1 '24 actual $4B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $4B Q2 '24 actual $4B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $4B Q3 '24 actual $4B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $4B Q2 '25 actual $4B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4B Q3 '25 actual $4B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4B Q4 '25 actual $5B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '26 actual $5B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4B Q2 '26 actual $4B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4B Q4 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '27 estimate $5B Q2 '27 estimate $4B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold34 ratings
Bullish1647.1%
Neutral1750.0%
Bearish12.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$34.2Current
$15Low
$26.31Average
$43High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 22, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainSep 18, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 23, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainMar 30, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainMar 26, 2026
Show 29 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $34.2. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$36$31.68 +5.3%Sep 22, 2026
RBC CapitalElvira Scotto$36$31.72 +5.3%Sep 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyJulien Dumoulin-Smith$33$31.31 -3.5%Sep 17, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$35$31.41 +2.3%Sep 9, 2026
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$38$31.82 +11.1%Jul 29, 2026
See 44 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Kinder Morgan, Inc. operates as a leading energy infrastructure company across North America. Its extensive operations are categorized into four primary business segments: Natural Gas Pipelines, Products Pipelines, Terminals, and CO2. The Natural Gas Pipelines segment manages a vast network of interstate and intrastate natural gas pipelines, along with underground storage systems. This includes natural gas gathering systems, processing and treatment facilities, natural gas liquids fractionation plants, transportation systems, and infrastructure for liquefied natural gas liquefaction and storage. Within its Products Pipelines segment, the company owns and operates pipelines designed for refined petroleum products, crude oil, and condensate, supported by associated product terminals and facilities for petroleum pipeline transmix.…

Historical context

All KMI earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T23:10:42.368474+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T23:10:42.365320+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.