KLA Corporation · KLAC · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2024

KLA: AI and advanced packaging support a confident outlook

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: AI-led process-control intensity, leading-edge node transitions, memory and advanced packaging can support demand, while China exposure, export controls, NAND recovery and mix-related margin pressure remain material constraints.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $227.67B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $7.33 Consensus $7.05
EPS surprise +4.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.84B Consensus $2.75B
Revenue surprise +3.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -3.7% Event window
SPY move -2.0% Same window
Abnormal move -1.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.9% Up to 20 sessions
KLACSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior analysis, the growth case broadened from AI, leading-edge logic and advanced packaging to include DRAM/HBM and a continuing services contribution. Management also emphasized AI-enabled product architecture and hybrid-bonding inspection, while China exposure was expected to fall as a percentage of sales.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its Q4 and 2025 outlook; no guidance change was identified in the supplied analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue and EPS exceeded guidance in the supplied analysis.
  • Leading-edge logic, AI chips, DRAM/HBM, and advanced packaging were identified as growth drivers.
  • The services business continued its reported growth streak, while China exposure was expected to decline as a share of sales.
  • The main offsets are export controls, NAND recovery timing, memory-investment risk, and potential mix pressure on margins.

Management priorities

  • Launch AI-enhanced product upgrades and GPU-based architecture.
  • Continue R&D investment and expand advanced-packaging inspection, including hybrid-bonding capabilities.
  • Support tool life extensions and higher-value service contracts.
  • Maintain the capital-return program through repurchases and dividends.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KLAC REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q4 '24 estimate $3B Q4 '24 actual $3B, beat Q1 '25 estimate $3B Q1 '25 actual $3B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q3 '26 actual $3B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4B Q4 '26 actual $4B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $4B Q2 '27 estimate $4B Q3 '27 estimate $5B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy42 ratings
Bullish2764.3%
Neutral1330.9%
Bearish24.8%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$170.78Current
$26.5Low
$142.91Average
$325High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 16, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 6, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 1, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 29, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2026
Show 38 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $170.78. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$227$206.85 +32.9%Oct 6, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$200$175.45 +17.1%Sep 1, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$180$179.02 +5.4%Jul 29, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$215$190.8 +25.9%Jul 29, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$250$190.8 +46.4%Jul 29, 2026
See 121 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

KLA Corporation specializes in creating, manufacturing, and distributing advanced solutions vital for process control, process optimization, and yield enhancement throughout the global semiconductor and broader electronics industries. The company organizes its business into four main segments: Semiconductor Process Control, Specialty Semiconductor Process, PCB, Display and Component Inspection, and an 'Other' category. For integrated circuit (IC) fabrication, KLA offers a comprehensive range of products. These include systems for wafer inspection, review, and metrology; defect inspection and metrology for both wafers/substrates and reticles; chemical and materials quality analysis tools; and real-time process management and wafer handling diagnostics essential for IC and original equipment manufacturer (OEM) production. Furthermore, the company develops software for live process control, defect excursion identification, process corrections, and defect classification. KLA also supplies refurbished and remanufactured equipment.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-16T12:00:44.314017+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-16T12:00:44.311044+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-16. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.