KKR & Co. Inc. · KKR · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

KKR Beats Q1 Estimates but Lowers 2026 Operating EPS Guidance

KKR delivered a strong Q1 FY2026, beating EPS estimates by 10.3% and revenue by 7.6% on the back of 30% management-fee growth and record capital raising. However, the narrative shifted from the prior quarter's raised guidance to a lowered outlook: management cautioned that the full-year $7+ adjusted net income (ANI) per share target may fall short as some monetizations are deferred to 2027. The stock's -2.09% abnormal move on the report session and -11.25% subsequent drift reflect investor focus on the guidance cut rather than the quarterly beat. With the bullish score declining from 85 to 78, the market is weighing slower monetization timing against still-robust fee growth and fundraising momentum.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $92.18B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.39 Consensus $1.26
EPS surprise +10.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.35B Consensus $2.18B
Revenue surprise +7.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.3% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move -2.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -11.2% Up to 20 sessions
KKRSPY benchmark

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What changed

EPS of $1.39 beat the $1.26 consensus by 10.3%; revenue of $2.35B beat the $2.18B estimate by 7.6%. Fee-related earnings per share rose 23% YoY and management fees climbed 30%, diversified across PE, credit, and real assets. Capital raising reached $28B in Q1 and $127B year-to-date. Monetization activity increased over 50% YoY, with realized carried interest up 120% YoY. The Arctos acquisition closed, adding roughly $10B in fee-paying AUM. The dividend was increased to $0.78 per share and $317M of stock was repurchased. Guidance sentiment shifted from raised in Q4 2025 to lowered in Q1 2026, with the $7+ ANI per-share target potentially missed.

Guidance delta

In Q4 2025, management raised guidance and expressed confidence in exceeding 2026 FRE and dividend targets. In Q1 2026, guidance sentiment was lowered: management cautioned that the 2026 adjusted operating earnings per share (ANI) target of $7+ may fall short, with some monetization exits postponed to 2027. The dividend was increased to $0.78 per share as previously announced.

Key takeaways

  • Fee-related earnings and management fees surged, with a diversified fee base across PE, credit, and real assets
  • Capital raising momentum remains strong at $28B in Q1 and $127B year-to-date
  • Monetization activity increased over 50% YoY with realized carry up 120% YoY
  • 2026 ANI per-share target of $7+ may be missed; some exits shifted to 2027
  • Share repurchases, dividend increase, and Arctos acquisition signal confidence in long-term earnings durability

Management priorities

  • Integrate Arctos and explore new wealth solutions, including possible evergreen and sports-focused vehicles
  • Scale AI initiatives across portfolio companies to drive EBITDA improvements
  • Deploy additional capital in digital infrastructure and data-center investments
  • Maintain aggressive share repurchase program and continue dividend growth
  • Further expand employee ownership programs to enhance portfolio company performance

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KKR REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2B Q4 '23 actual $4B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1B Q1 '24 actual $10B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $4B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $6B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $5B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $5B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '27 estimate $3B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy27 ratings
Bullish2488.9%
Neutral311.1%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$91.64Current
$63Low
$117.98Average
$190High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 27, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 19, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 13, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainOct 12, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 8, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 27, 2026
Show 22 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $91.64. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$127$91.34 +38.6%Oct 26, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$121$86.21 +32.0%Oct 19, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$138$89 +50.6%Oct 16, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$122$89.14 +33.1%Oct 13, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$130$89.67 +41.9%Oct 8, 2026
See 69 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

KKR & Co. Inc. is a prominent global investment powerhouse, deeply engaged in both private equity and real estate. The firm's diverse investment strategies encompass direct capital deployment as well as fund-of-funds approaches, specializing in corporate acquisitions, leveraged and management buyouts, growth equity, and a range of special situations including credit, distressed assets, and turnarounds. They also target mature and mezzanine financing opportunities, spanning companies across the lower and middle market segments. While opportunistic across all industries, KKR exhibits a keen focus on technology sectors, including software, cybersecurity, semiconductors, consumer electronics, the Internet of Things (IoT), internet services, IT infrastructure, and FinTech. Their extensive portfolio also encompasses energy, infrastructure, and a broad array of real estate ventures.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-29T05:22:26.959254+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-29T05:22:26.956282+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-07-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.