Korea Electric Power Corporation · KEP · FY2015 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2015

KEPCO Q3: Strong profit, but one-time gains and policy risks matter

The quarter supports a constructive operating view: lower fuel costs, overseas growth, new plant capacity and debt reduction were positive. However, the quality and durability of reported profit require caution because a KRW6.4 trillion land-sale gain was material, while coal taxes, regulation, tariffs and emissions costs remain unresolved.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $13.60B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.47 Consensus —
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $24470.00B Consensus —
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.5% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move +1.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.1% Up to 20 sessions
KEPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, Q3 added a reported KRW6.4 trillion land-sale gain, stronger reported profit, a KRW4 trillion debt reduction and greater emphasis on the coal-tax and emissions-cost burden. The plant-buildout and UAE expansion priorities continued.

Guidance delta

Maintained; no change to guidance sentiment was identified.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 performance benefited from lower fuel costs, stronger overseas revenue and a KRW6.4 trillion land-sale gain.
  • Management highlighted a large 2016-2017 plant-completion pipeline spanning coal and nuclear units.
  • Coal-tax increases, currency effects, tariff review and emissions costs remain key uncertainties.
  • Debt fell by KRW4 trillion in Q3, with further reduction targeted by year-end.

Management priorities

  • Complete Shin Kori 3 and 4 on the stated schedule.
  • Bring seven new coal plants totaling 6,500 MW online during 2016.
  • Advance UAE projects and finalize tariff and regulatory work.
  • Continue debt reduction and reflect REC costs in financial reporting.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KEP REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '23 actual $24.5T, None Q4 '23 actual $22.5T, None Q1 '24 actual $23.3T, None Q2 '24 actual $15B, None Q1 '25 actual $17B, None Q2 '25 estimate $16B Q2 '25 actual $16B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $19B Q3 '25 actual $20B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $16B Q4 '25 actual $16B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $17B Q1 '26 actual $16B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $15B Q2 '26 actual $16B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $20B Q4 '26 estimate $23.5T Q1 '27 estimate $25.5T Q2 '27 estimate $23.3T
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold5 ratings
Bullish00.0%
Neutral5100.0%
Bearish00.0%

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Bank of America Neutral UnderperformUpgradeNov 21, 2016
B of A Securities Neutral UnderperformUpgradeNov 21, 2016
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 24, 2016
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeJun 21, 2016
Credit Suisse Neutral OutperformDowngradeMay 12, 2014

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO) functions as a comprehensive electric utility, responsible for the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity within South Korea and in various international markets. Its operations are organized into key segments: Transmission and Distribution, Nuclear Power Generation, Thermal Power Generation, and a broader 'Others' category. KEPCO boasts a diverse energy portfolio, generating power from a wide array of sources including nuclear, coal, oil, liquefied natural gas (LNG), internal combustion engines, combined-cycle plants, integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) facilities, hydroelectric dams, wind and solar farms, fuel cells, biogas, and other emergent technologies. As of December 31, 2021, the company commanded an impressive generation fleet comprising 763 units, encompassing nuclear, thermal, hydroelectric, and internal combustion facilities, collectively boasting an installed capacity of 82,459 megawatts.…

Historical context

All KEP earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-11T06:39:45.180704+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-26T02:40:42.834813+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-26. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.