Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. · KDP · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

KDP Reaffirms Outlook as Ghost Expands Its Energy Platform

KDP’s reaffirmed outlook is supported by share gains, productivity and expansion in energy and premium beverages, while coffee softness and execution risks temper the picture.

Reported Before market openNASDAQConsumer Defensive $47.11B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.51 Consensus $0.51
EPS surprise 0.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.89B Consensus $3.92B
Revenue surprise -0.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -4.8% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -5.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -7.7% Up to 20 sessions
KDPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

KDP highlighted the Ghost majority-stake acquisition, Arizona asset integration and planned Bloom rollout; it also disclosed hurricane-related production disruption.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reaffirmed its full-year sales and EPS outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Management reaffirmed the full-year outlook despite a mixed operating backdrop.
  • Ghost broadens KDP’s energy platform alongside C4, Bloom and Black Rifle.
  • Volume and mix gains, share gains and productivity remain important support for the outlook.
  • U.S. coffee softness, pricing pressure and integration execution are the main offsets.

Management priorities

  • Integrate Ghost and transition its distribution.
  • Scale the energy platform and premium beverage partnerships.
  • Continue productivity savings and growth-oriented investment.
  • Use pricing, innovation and portfolio actions to support growth.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KDP REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $4B Q4 '23 actual $4B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $3B Q1 '24 actual $3B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $4B Q2 '24 actual $4B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $4B Q3 '24 actual $4B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $4B Q2 '25 actual $4B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4B Q3 '25 actual $4B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4B Q4 '25 actual $4B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '26 actual $4B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $7B Q2 '26 actual $7B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $7B Q4 '26 estimate $8B Q1 '27 estimate $7B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy29 ratings
Bullish1862.1%
Neutral1137.9%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$34.62Current
$24Low
$36.25Average
$43High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 15, 2026
HSBC Buy HoldUpgradeAug 13, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 10, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 7, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainAug 7, 2026
Show 24 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $34.62. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyDara Mohsenian$38$31.06 +9.8%Aug 20, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$40$29.56 +15.5%Aug 13, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$38$30.01 +9.8%Aug 10, 2026
RBC CapitalNik Modi$42$30.88 +21.3%Aug 4, 2026
UBSPeter Grom$38$31.05 +9.8%Jul 16, 2026
See 38 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is a prominent beverage firm with operations spanning both the United States and global markets. The company structures its business across four primary divisions: Coffee Systems, Packaged Beverages, Beverage Concentrates, and Latin America Beverages. Its Coffee Systems division is responsible for the production and distribution of an array of finished products linked to its coffee brewing systems, including K-Cup single-serve pods, brewing machines, and specialized coffee blends. Brewers are offered for sale via external distributors, various retail outlets, and directly through its official website, keurig.com. The Packaged Beverages segment focuses on manufacturing and distributing its proprietary packaged drink labels.…

Historical context

All KDP earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T09:40:43.680873+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T09:40:43.678164+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.