Johnson & Johnson · JNJ · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

J&J edges past Q1 estimates and raises 2026 guidance

J&J's beat and guidance raise rest on launch momentum in Innovative Medicine (ICOTYDE, INLEXZO) and MedTech (VARIPULSE Pro, TECNIS PureSee), plus execution toward the planned mid-2027 Orthopedics separation. Management's double-digit-growth-by-decade-end ambition and $55B U.S. manufacturing commitment underpin a confident tone. The stock did not hold an outsized reaction on the day (a modestly negative abnormal move) and has drifted lower since, so the thesis is one of execution risk against an ambitious outlook rather than a clean fundamental win.

Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare $652.31B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.70 Consensus $2.68
EPS surprise +0.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $24.06B Consensus $23.61B
Revenue surprise +1.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.9% Event window
SPY move +1.2% Same window
Abnormal move -0.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.6% Up to 20 sessions
JNJSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

J&J reported Q1 FY2026 with adjusted EPS of $2.70 versus the $2.68 estimate and revenue of $24.06B versus the $23.61B estimate. Management raised full-year 2026 sales guidance to a midpoint of $100.2-$100.8B, lifted adjusted EPS guidance by $0.02, and increased the dividend 3.1% to $5.36 per share.

Guidance delta

raised

Key takeaways

  • Adjusted Q1 EPS of $2.70 beat the $2.68 estimate and revenue of $24.06B beat the $23.61B estimate.
  • Q1 operational sales grew 6.4%, with Innovative Medicine up 7.4% and MedTech up 4.6%.
  • Full-year 2026 sales guidance raised to a $100.2-$100.8B midpoint and adjusted EPS guided $0.02 higher.
  • Dividend increased 3.1% to $5.36 per share, marking 64 consecutive years of growth.
  • $55B committed to U.S. manufacturing and R&D through 2029, with $12B already invested.

Management priorities

  • Execute launches of ICOTYDE, INLEXZO, VARIPULSE Pro and TECNIS PureSee as growth engines.
  • Hold the raised 2026 sales and EPS guidance while protecting adjusted operating margin.
  • Advance the planned separation of the Orthopedics business by mid-2027.
  • Deploy the $55B U.S. manufacturing and R&D investment program through 2029.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
JNJ EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.66 Q1 '24 actual $2.71, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.71 Q2 '24 actual $2.82, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.21 Q3 '24 actual $2.42, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.68 Q2 '25 actual $2.77, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.76 Q3 '25 actual $2.80, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.46 Q4 '25 actual $2.46, match Q1 '26 estimate $2.68 Q1 '26 actual $2.70, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.84 Q2 '26 actual $2.90, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.85 Q4 '26 estimate $3.00 Q1 '27 estimate $2.89 Q2 '27 estimate $3.12
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold40 ratings
Bullish2152.5%
Neutral1640.0%
Bearish37.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$271.22Current
$90Low
$224.52Average
$320High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
HSBC Buy BuyMaintainSep 10, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 2, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 3, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 16, 2026
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 16, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 16, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 13, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 10, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 8, 2026
Leerink Partners Outperform Market PerformUpgradeMay 13, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainApr 15, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainApr 15, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainMar 5, 2026
Freedom Capital Markets Hold HoldMaintainJan 27, 2026
Freedom Broker Hold HoldMaintainJan 27, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainJan 22, 2026
Bernstein Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJan 9, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainDec 19, 2025
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 16, 2024
Daiwa Capital Neutral OutperformDowngradeJul 23, 2024
Atlantic Equities Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 4, 2023
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 21, 2023
Mizuho Buy BuyMaintainJun 7, 2023
SVB Leerink Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 20, 2023
Independent Research Buy HoldUpgradeJul 20, 2020
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainMar 27, 2020
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 17, 2019
Argus Buy BuyMaintainMay 5, 2018
Stifel Nicolaus Hold HoldMaintainApr 18, 2018
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeOct 11, 2017
BTIG Research Sell NeutralDowngradeJul 21, 2017
BTIG Sell NeutralDowngradeJul 21, 2017
Standpoint Research Sell SellMaintainMay 20, 2016
Societe Generale Hold HoldMaintainApr 6, 2016
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainFeb 4, 2016
Bank of America Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 16, 2014
Davenport Hold NeutralMaintainDec 10, 2012
PiperJaffray Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 18, 2012
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 18, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $271.22. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$320$267.08 +18.0%Sep 10, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$320$271.19 +18.0%Sep 2, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$287$257.59 +5.8%Aug 6, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$280$254.45 +3.2%Aug 3, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$282$256.35 +4.0%Aug 3, 2026
Argus ResearchDavid Toung$300$266.13 +10.6%Jul 29, 2026
Johnson RiceIlya Zubkov$280$249.76 +3.2%Jul 16, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$305$248.95 +12.5%Jul 16, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$265$250.5 -2.3%Jul 16, 2026
Johnson RiceAnalyst unavailable$261$250.49 -3.8%Jul 16, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$282$247.02 +4.0%Jul 16, 2026
Morgan StanleyTerence Flynn$294$247.02 +8.4%Jul 16, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$272$247.02 +0.3%Jul 16, 2026
Stifel NicolausRick Wise$260$247.02 -4.1%Jul 15, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$287$257.6 +5.8%Jul 13, 2026
Morgan StanleyTerence Flynn$284$267.24 +4.7%Jul 8, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$290$258.66 +6.9%Jul 6, 2026
GuggenheimVamil Divan$270$253.56 -0.4%Jun 26, 2026
Johnson RiceAnalyst unavailable$270$253.29 -0.4%Jun 26, 2026
Leerink PartnersDavid Risinger$265$224.26 -2.3%May 13, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$266$232.71 -1.9%Apr 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$283$239.66 +4.3%Apr 15, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$265$240.1 -2.3%Apr 15, 2026
Stifel NicolausRick Wise$250$240.1 -7.8%Apr 15, 2026
BarclaysMatt Miksic$255$240.1 -6.0%Apr 15, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$267$239.5 -1.6%Apr 10, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$253$237.19 -6.7%Mar 18, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$255$233.35 -6.0%Feb 3, 2026
Morgan StanleyTerrance Flynn$262$224.44 -3.4%Jan 28, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsIlya Zubkov$220$225.16 -18.9%Jan 27, 2026
GuggenheimVamil Divan$240$218.49 -11.5%Jan 23, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$265$220.18 -2.3%Jan 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyTerence Flynn$200$220.37 -26.3%Jan 22, 2026
Stifel NicolausRick Wise$220$218.01 -18.9%Jan 22, 2026
Goldman SachsAsad Haider$250$218.01 -7.8%Jan 22, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$240$218.01 -11.5%Jan 22, 2026
BernsteinLee Hambright$208$205.75 -23.3%Jan 9, 2026
BarclaysMatt Miksic$217$207.56 -20.0%Dec 30, 2025
Goldman SachsAsad Haider$240$210.33 -11.5%Dec 18, 2025
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$240$209.08 -11.5%Dec 17, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$197$210.6 -27.4%Dec 12, 2025
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$230$206.54 -15.2%Dec 11, 2025
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$240$199.96 -11.5%Dec 10, 2025
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$227$202.48 -16.3%Dec 5, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$197$205.34 -27.4%Dec 2, 2025
Johnson RiceIlya Zubkov$190$193.18 -29.9%Oct 22, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsIlya Zubkov$190$193.18 -29.9%Oct 22, 2025
Argus ResearchDavid Toung$210$191.19 -22.6%Oct 15, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$209$190.85 -22.9%Oct 15, 2025
Morgan StanleyTerence Flynn$190$190.85 -29.9%Oct 15, 2025
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$190$190.85 -29.9%Oct 15, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$214$187.22 -21.1%Oct 14, 2025
RBC CapitalShagun Singh$209$191.3 -22.9%Oct 10, 2025
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$193$188.64 -28.8%Oct 6, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$198$185.98 -27.0%Oct 3, 2025
Wells FargoLarry Biegelsen$212$185.98 -21.8%Oct 3, 2025
Raymond JamesJayson Bedford$162$154.36 -40.3%Apr 14, 2025
GuggenheimVamil Divan$166$151.87 -38.8%Feb 3, 2025
Goldman SachsChris Shibutani$159$164.28 -41.4%Oct 16, 2024
Morgan StanleyTerence Flynn$175$164.1 -35.5%Oct 16, 2024
RBC CapitalShagun Singh$181$164.1 -33.3%Oct 16, 2024
CitigroupJoanne Wuensch$185$164.1 -31.8%Oct 16, 2024
Wells FargoLarry Biegelsen$166$164.1 -38.8%Oct 15, 2024
Stifel NicolausRick Wise$170$164.1 -37.3%Oct 15, 2024
CitigroupJoanna Wuensch$180$163.77 -33.6%Oct 15, 2024
Cantor FitzgeraldLouise Chen$215$161.6 -20.7%Oct 14, 2024
Johnson RiceNarumi Nakagiri$150$154.24 -44.7%Jul 23, 2024
Stifel NicolausRick Wise$160$157.16 -41.0%Jul 17, 2024
Johnson RiceChris Shibutani$160$144.44 -41.0%May 30, 2024
Goldman SachsChris Shibutani$160$144.42 -41.0%May 30, 2024
UBSDanielle Antalffy$180$152.34 -33.6%May 22, 2024
Johnson RiceMorten Herholdt$170$145.08 -37.3%Apr 18, 2024
Johnson RiceLouise Chen$215$144.32 -20.7%Apr 17, 2024
RBC CapitalShagun Singh$175$144.45 -35.5%Apr 17, 2024
Stifel NicolausRick Wise$155$144.45 -42.9%Apr 16, 2024
Morgan StanleyTerence Flynn$169$155.77 -37.7%Mar 27, 2024
Raymond JamesJayson Bedford$110$156.35 -59.4%Dec 28, 2023
Johnson RiceShagun Singh$178$157.24 -34.4%Oct 5, 2023
Johnson RiceTrung Huynh$175$170.45 -35.5%Jul 21, 2023
Raymond JamesJohn Ransom$90$156.6 -66.8%May 24, 2023
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$205$176.17 -24.4%Dec 12, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$176$178.79 -35.1%Dec 6, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$178$178.49 -34.4%Dec 1, 2022
UBSAnalyst unavailable$180$170.71 -33.6%Jul 21, 2022
Wells FargoLarry Biegelsen$195$170.71 -28.1%Jul 20, 2022
Leerink PartnersAnalyst unavailable$194$170.86 -28.5%Jul 20, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$192$171.69 -29.2%Jul 20, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$201$171.69 -25.9%Jul 20, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$174$178.5 -35.8%Jul 8, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$210$183.51 -22.6%Apr 20, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$196$183.46 -27.7%Apr 20, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$205$182.64 -24.4%Apr 20, 2022
Raymond JamesJayson Bedford$195$177.66 -28.1%Apr 18, 2022
Morgan StanleyMatthew Harrison$173$179.84 -36.2%Apr 11, 2022
Societe GeneraleFlorent Cespedes$177$171.79 -34.7%Jan 28, 2022
Goldman SachsChris Shibutani$163$168.38 -39.9%Jan 26, 2022
Credit SuisseMatt Miksic$200$170.46 -26.3%Dec 29, 2021
UBSKevin Caliendo$183$166.8 -32.5%Jul 22, 2021
Argus ResearchDavid Toung$190$166.8 -29.9%Jul 22, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Johnson & Johnson is a holding company, which engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of products in the healthcare field. It operates through the Innovative Medicine and MedTech segments. The Innovative Medicine segment focuses on immunology, infectious diseases, neuroscience, oncology, cardiovascular and metabolism, and pulmonary hypertension. The MedTech segment includes a portfolio of products used in interventional solutions, orthopaedics, surgery, and vision categories. The company was founded by Robert Wood Johnson I, James Wood Johnson, and Edward Mead Johnson Sr. in 1887 and is headquartered in New Brunswick, NJ.

Historical context

All JNJ earnings

Healthcare peers this season

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MDT Medtronic plc FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +4.3% +1.5% Medtronic raises FY27 outlook as growth broadens across platforms

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T21:41:07.855996+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T21:41:07.853171+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.