Johnson & Johnson · JNJ · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

J&J Maintains Outlook as Pipeline and MedTech Shape Growth

The supplied analyses support a constructive but conditional view: J&J is pursuing growth through launches, pipeline investment, acquisitions, and a higher-growth MedTech mix, while execution and legal, tariff, competitive, and regulatory risks remain significant.

Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare $655.37B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.46 Consensus $2.46
EPS surprise 0.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $24.56B Consensus $24.15B
Revenue surprise +1.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.1% Event window
SPY move +1.2% Same window
Abnormal move -1.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +13.3% Up to 20 sessions
JNJSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the outlook was maintained rather than raised. The current analysis places more emphasis on the execution of recent acquisitions, the orthopedics separation, and the balance between growth investments and litigation, tariff, and competitive pressures.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook while emphasizing continued growth, margin improvement, product launches, and portfolio reshaping.

Key takeaways

  • Management emphasized product launches, pipeline progress, and expansion in higher-growth therapeutic and MedTech areas.
  • The orthopedics separation remains a central portfolio-shaping initiative.
  • Litigation, tariffs, biosimilar erosion, regulatory timing, and acquisition-related dilution remain material risks to execution.

Management priorities

  • Advance launches and regulatory submissions across oncology, immunology, neuroscience, and MedTech.
  • Invest in research, manufacturing capacity, and newer robotics, catheter, and vision platforms.
  • Execute the orthopedics separation while integrating recent acquisitions.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
JNJ EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2.27 Q4 '23 actual $2.29, beat Q1 '24 estimate $2.66 Q1 '24 actual $2.71, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.71 Q2 '24 actual $2.82, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.21 Q3 '24 actual $2.42, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.68 Q2 '25 actual $2.77, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.76 Q3 '25 actual $2.80, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.46 Q4 '25 actual $2.46, match Q1 '26 estimate $2.68 Q1 '26 actual $2.70, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.84 Q2 '26 actual $2.90, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.85 Q4 '26 estimate $3.00 Q1 '27 estimate $2.89 Q2 '27 estimate $3.12
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold40 ratings
Bullish2152.5%
Neutral1640.0%
Bearish37.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$271.95Current
$90Low
$224.52Average
$320High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
HSBC Buy BuyMaintainSep 10, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 2, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 3, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 16, 2026
Show 35 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $271.95. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$320$267.08 +17.7%Sep 10, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$320$271.19 +17.7%Sep 2, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$287$257.59 +5.5%Aug 6, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$280$254.45 +3.0%Aug 3, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$282$256.35 +3.7%Aug 3, 2026
See 94 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Johnson & Johnson is a holding company, which engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of products in the healthcare field. It operates through the Innovative Medicine and MedTech segments. The Innovative Medicine segment focuses on immunology, infectious diseases, neuroscience, oncology, cardiovascular and metabolism, and pulmonary hypertension. The MedTech segment includes a portfolio of products used in interventional solutions, orthopaedics, surgery, and vision categories. The company was founded by Robert Wood Johnson I, James Wood Johnson, and Edward Mead Johnson Sr. in 1887 and is headquartered in New Brunswick, NJ.

Historical context

All JNJ earnings

Healthcare peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
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COO The Cooper Companies, Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +2.7% -14.7% CooperCompanies beats expectations as inventory reduction weighs on vision revenue
MDT Medtronic plc FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +4.3% +1.5% Medtronic raises FY27 outlook as growth broadens across platforms

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T03:01:00.290077+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T03:01:00.286981+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.