Jabil Inc. · JBL · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026

Jabil enters FY2027 with AI-led growth and capacity risks

The supplied analysis supports a constructive demand case for Jabil over the next year: AI infrastructure, diversified end markets and cash generation underpin the FY2027 outlook. The case remains conditional on capacity execution, component availability, inventory normalization and margin performance during the ramp.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $30.04B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $4.40 Consensus $4.07
EPS surprise +8.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $10.62B Consensus $9.71B
Revenue surprise +9.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -10.0% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -9.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
JBLSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The narrative moved from a raised FY2026 outlook and initial AI-capacity expansion to a FY2027 plan centered on $44.5 billion of revenue, $22.1 billion of AI revenue, broader manufacturing capacity and greater shareholder returns. Management also highlighted physical AI and a shift toward higher-margin automation and robotics, while the analysis flags new execution and supply-chain risks.

Guidance delta

Management projected FY2027 revenue of $44.5 billion, core margin of 6.1% and EPS of $17.55; the prior-quarter analysis had focused on the FY2026 outlook.

Key takeaways

  • AI infrastructure remains the primary growth engine, with FY2027 AI revenue targeted at $22.1 billion, up 54% year over year.
  • Management projected FY2027 revenue of $44.5 billion, up 24% year over year, with 6.1% core margin and $17.55 EPS.
  • The asset-light model targets net CapEx of 1.5%–2% of revenue while free cash flow is expected to exceed $1.6 billion.
  • Jabil plans roughly 4 million square feet of additional capacity and expects more than 700 million drug-delivery injectors in FY2027.
  • Demand is broad across data centers, automotive, defense, healthcare and energy, but component shortages and execution remain material risks.

Management priorities

  • Expand manufacturing capacity across the U.S., India, Mexico and Vietnam.
  • Invest in factory automation, computer-vision inspection and AI-driven workflow tools.
  • Pursue selective acquisitions and expand physical AI capabilities.
  • Maintain disciplined share repurchases while preserving an investment-grade credit profile.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
JBL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.54 Q1 '24 actual $2.60, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.66 Q2 '24 actual $1.68, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.85 Q3 '24 actual $1.89, beat Q4 '24 estimate $2.22 Q4 '24 actual $2.30, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.31 Q3 '25 actual $2.55, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.92 Q4 '25 actual $3.29, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.70 Q1 '26 actual $2.85, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.51 Q2 '26 actual $2.69, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.10 Q3 '26 actual $3.16, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4.07 Q4 '26 actual $4.40, beat Q1 '27 estimate $3.64 Q2 '27 estimate $3.79 Q3 '27 estimate $4.33 Q4 '27 estimate $5.03
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy23 ratings
Bullish1356.5%
Neutral1043.5%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$286.86Previous close
$90Low
$328.25Average
$475High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainSep 8, 2026
UBS Buy NeutralUpgradeAug 11, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJun 18, 2026
Raymond James Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainJun 18, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJun 18, 2026
Show 18 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $286.86. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$375$310.57 +30.7%Sep 8, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$475$369.89 +65.6%Jun 18, 2026
Raymond JamesMelissa Fairbanks$450$377.05 +56.9%Jun 18, 2026
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$470$374.98 +63.8%Jun 18, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$430$374.98 +49.9%Jun 18, 2026
See 30 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Jabil Inc. is a global provider of manufacturing services and comprehensive solutions. The company organizes its operations into two main divisions: Electronics Manufacturing Services (EMS) and Diversified Manufacturing Services (DMS). Its offerings span the entire lifecycle of electronic products, from initial design and production to ongoing product management. Jabil provides a range of electronic design services, including the creation of application-specific integrated circuits (ASIC), firmware development, and rapid prototyping capabilities. They also engineer custom plastic and metal enclosures, integrating essential electromechanical components such as printed circuit board assemblies (PCBAs). Furthermore, Jabil excels in advanced three-dimensional mechanical design, performing detailed analysis of electronic, electromechanical, and optical assemblies. This is complemented by various industrial design services, mechanism development, and tooling management.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-01T11:12:01.404145+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-01T01:23:08.245602+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T11:36:05.906342+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T11:36:05.903770+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.