Invesco Ltd. · IVZ · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Invesco: Record AUM and ETF Flows Offset Mix and China Risks

The supplied analysis is supportive of a constructive near-term operating thesis for Invesco: record AUM, broad net inflows, ETF momentum, improved margins and zero net debt provide evidence of resilient demand and operating leverage. The case remains conditional because fee-rate pressure, China-related flow risk, Alpha implementation costs and the absence of explicit guidance could limit how durable that growth is.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $12.45B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.44 Consensus $0.44
EPS surprise 0.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.52B Consensus $1.11B
Revenue surprise +36.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.1% Event window
SPY move -0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +0.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.3% Up to 20 sessions
IVZSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, AUM rose from a reported $1.7 trillion to $1.8 trillion and net long-term inflows remained strong at $16.5 billion versus $16.7 billion previously. ETF inflows increased from $12.8 billion to $17.7 billion, operating margin improved from 30.9% to 31.6%, and the supplied analysis again described zero net debt and resumed buybacks. The risk discussion shifted toward China-stimulus sensitivity, MassMutual preferred shares and the timing of Alpha costs.

Guidance delta

No explicit guidance was provided in the supplied analysis; guidance sentiment is therefore not assessed as raised or lowered.

Key takeaways

  • Management described record AUM of $1.8 trillion and $16.5 billion of net long-term inflows in Q3.
  • ETF inflows led at $17.7 billion, while fixed income and private-market real-estate debt also showed demand; fundamental equity had modest outflows.
  • Operating margin improved 70 basis points to 31.6%, and the balance sheet reached zero net debt.
  • The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating picture, but leaves fee pressure, China volatility, and Alpha costs as important tests.

Management priorities

  • Continue share buybacks at approximately $25 million per quarter.
  • Complete the Alpha platform transition through 2025 while managing implementation costs.
  • Launch five new U.S. ETFs and one new EMEA ETF.
  • Expand private-market offerings through wealth-management channels and pursue additional partnerships.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
IVZ REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1B Q4 '23 actual $1B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1B Q1 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1B Q2 '24 actual $1B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $1B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1B Q3 '25 actual $1B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $1B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $1B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '27 estimate $1B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold28 ratings
Bullish1242.9%
Neutral1657.1%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$28.2Current
$17Low
$28.95Average
$36High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 13, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 12, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 9, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainOct 9, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 25, 2026
Show 23 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $28.2. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$36$28.8 +27.7%Oct 13, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$36$29.68 +27.7%Oct 9, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$34$29.69 +20.6%Oct 9, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$41$30.38 +45.4%Oct 6, 2026
Morgan StanleyMichael Cyprys$31$30.68 +9.9%Sep 25, 2026
See 44 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Invesco Ltd. engages in the investment management business. Its products include mutual funds, unit trusts, exchange-traded funds, closed-end funds, and retirement plans. The company was founded in December 1935 and is headquartered in Atlanta, GA.

Historical context

All IVZ earnings

Financial Services peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T13:40:44.405191+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T13:40:44.402476+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.