Invitation Homes Inc. · INVH · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Invitation Homes raises guidance as rentals and new platforms gain traction

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: strong occupancy and lease-rate growth, higher full-year guidance, and emerging construction-lending and ResiBuilt platforms support the operating outlook, while property taxes, turnover, market-level new-lease softness, and execution risks temper the case.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $16.12B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.37 Consensus $0.17
EPS surprise +116.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $747.5M Consensus $731.1M
Revenue surprise +2.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -1.5% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move -3.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.5% Up to 20 sessions
INVHSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management raised full-year guidance, increased disposition guidance, highlighted the enacted 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, and shifted the forward-purchase pipeline toward short-term builder-tape acquisitions while continuing to emphasize buybacks, construction lending, and ResiBuilt.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year core FFO and AFFO guidance and increased disposition guidance by $300 million.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 performance beat expectations, with occupancy above 97%, core FFO per share up 5%, and AFFO up nearly 6%.
  • Management raised full-year core FFO and AFFO guidance and increased its disposition outlook.
  • Capital allocation centers on share repurchases and selective smaller-portfolio acquisitions.
  • Construction lending and ResiBuilt are being developed as additional growth platforms.
  • Property taxes, second-half turnover, soft new-lease markets, and ResiBuilt execution remain key risks.

Management priorities

  • Support lease-rate growth and resident experience while managing turnover and local supply-demand conditions.
  • Continue share repurchases where management sees discounts and pursue selective smaller-portfolio acquisitions.
  • Expand the construction-lending pipeline toward $350 million of commitments.
  • Advance the ResiBuilt development platform and evaluate joint-venture opportunities.
  • Maintain attention to property-tax developments and regulatory implementation.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
INVH EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.45 Q4 '23 actual $0.21, miss Q1 '24 estimate $0.46 Q1 '24 actual $0.23, miss Q2 '24 estimate $0.47 Q2 '24 actual $0.12, miss Q3 '24 estimate $0.17 Q3 '24 actual $0.15, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.48 Q2 '25 actual $0.23, miss Q3 '25 estimate $0.47 Q3 '25 actual $0.22, miss Q4 '25 estimate $0.18 Q4 '25 actual $0.27, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.18 Q1 '26 actual $0.26, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.17 Q2 '26 actual $0.37, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.18 Q4 '26 estimate $0.18 Q1 '27 estimate $0.18
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy34 ratings
Bullish1955.9%
Neutral1441.2%
Bearish12.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$27.02Current
$27Low
$36.37Average
$50High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Outperform NeutralUpgradeSep 21, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 21, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 17, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 25, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 5, 2026
Show 29 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $27.02. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$32$26.91 +18.5%Sep 21, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$32$26.91 +18.5%Sep 21, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$28$27.3 +3.6%Sep 17, 2026
OppenheimerTyler Batory$33$30.4 +22.2%Aug 3, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$33$29.05 +22.2%Jun 24, 2026
See 52 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Invitation Homes Inc., an S&P 500 company, is the nation’s premier single-family home leasing and management company, helping to expand housing through new development and strategic partnerships. Their purpose, Unlock the Power of Home, reflects their commitment to address America’s housing needs by delivering high-quality living solutions and genuine care to those who choose the flexibility and value of leasing. Invitation Homes Inc. was incorporated in 6th June 2012 and is based in Dallas, United States.

Historical context

All INVH earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-30T19:07:02.029163+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-03T01:23:14.877038+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T13:00:53.673867+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T13:00:53.671033+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.