Intuit Inc. · INTU · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q2 2026

Intuit Beats and Raises but Stock Plunges 20% as Revenue Growth Decelerates

Intuit delivered a Q3 FY26 beat — $12.80 EPS vs. $12.57 estimated and $8.56B revenue vs. $8.54B estimated — and raised full-year guidance to 13-14% revenue growth. Yet revenue growth decelerated from 17% in Q2 to 10% this quarter, and the market reacted severely, sending shares down approximately 20% with a subsequent drift of -16%. The quarter marked a strategic pivot: a 17% workforce reduction, Mailchimp rightsizing, and an August launch of an AI-driven Expert platform with consumption-based pricing. TurboTax Live remains the primary growth engine with 36% revenue growth and is projected to exceed 50% of TurboTax franchise revenue, but the DIY tax segment is under pressure and total IRS filings declined roughly 30 basis points. Management's decision to raise guidance contrasts sharply with the market's skepticism about the growth reconfiguration. With the stock at $312.99 versus a…

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $85.61B market cap
100quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Intuit Inc. provides financial management, payments and capital, compliance, and marketing products and services in the United States. The company operates in four segments: Global Business Solutions, Consumer, Credit Karma, and ProTax. The Global Business Solutions segment provides QuickBooks services, which include financial and business management online services, desktop software, payroll solutions, time tracking, merchant payment processing and bill pay solutions, checking accounts, and financing services for small and mid-market businesses; and Mailchimp, a marketing automation and customer relationship management.…

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $12.80 Consensus $13
EPS surprise +1.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $8.56B Consensus $8.54B
Revenue surprise +0.2% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
INTU EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.98 Q1 '24 actual $2.47, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.30 Q2 '24 actual $2.63, beat Q3 '24 estimate $9.37 Q3 '24 actual $9.88, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.85 Q4 '24 actual $1.99, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.66 Q4 '25 actual $2.75, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.09 Q1 '26 actual $3.34, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.68 Q2 '26 actual $4.15, beat Q3 '26 estimate $12.57 Q3 '26 actual $12.80, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.54 Q1 '27 estimate $4.07 Q2 '27 estimate $4.85 Q3 '27 estimate $14.28

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy44 ratings
Bullish3068.2%
Neutral1022.7%
Bearish49.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$312.99Previous close
$250Low
$567.91Average
$880High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Jul 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeJul 21, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainJul 20, 2026
Stifel Hold BuyDowngradeJun 18, 2026
Goldman Sachs Sell NeutralDowngradeJun 2, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 26, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMay 21, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 21, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainMay 21, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 21, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 21, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 21, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainMay 21, 2026
Freedom Broker Hold BuyDowngradeMay 21, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 21, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainMay 21, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 21, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 21, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainMay 11, 2026
Rothschild & Co Buy NeutralUpgradeMar 10, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 22, 2025
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 22, 2025
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 23, 2025
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector PerformUpgradeApr 17, 2025
Erste Group Hold BuyDowngradeJun 14, 2024
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 29, 2023
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 6, 2023
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainAug 25, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2023
Exane BNP Paribas Neutral UnderperformUpgradeJul 19, 2023
MoffettNathanson Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 22, 2022
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainAug 23, 2019
Argus Buy BuyMaintainNov 21, 2018
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainAug 8, 2018
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainJun 11, 2018
First Analysis Underweight Equal WeightDowngradeMay 23, 2018
Raymond James Underperform Market PerformDowngradeSep 27, 2017
William Blair Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 19, 2017
Benchmark Buy BuyMaintainApr 27, 2017
Brean Capital Buy BuyMaintainAug 24, 2016
Wedbush Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 20, 2015
FBR Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainAug 21, 2015
Evercore Partners Underweight Equal WeightDowngradeOct 2, 2014
Millman Research Hold BuyDowngradeNov 16, 2012
Bank oferica Buy BuyMaintainMay 18, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $312.99. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAdam Wood$335$293.82 +7.0%Jul 21, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$427$291.09 +36.4%Jul 20, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$250$289.76 -20.1%Jul 14, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$275$269.08 -12.1%Jun 17, 2026
Goldman SachsGabriela Borges$276$353.76 -11.8%Jun 2, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesSiti Panigrahi$500$319.94 +59.7%May 26, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$480$308.06 +53.4%May 22, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$410$307.5 +31.0%May 21, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$406$383.93 +29.7%May 21, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$412$306.81 +31.6%May 21, 2026
UBSTaylor McGinnis$360$383.93 +15.0%May 21, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$360$383.93 +15.0%May 21, 2026
Stifel NicolausBrad Reback$375$383.93 +19.8%May 21, 2026
JefferiesBrent Thill$550$383.93 +75.7%May 21, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAlex Zukin$400$383.93 +27.8%May 21, 2026
RBC CapitalRishi Jaluria$500$383.93 +59.7%May 21, 2026
BarclaysRaimo Lenschow$443$383.93 +41.5%May 21, 2026
Evercore ISIKirk Materne$400$383.93 +27.8%May 21, 2026
BarclaysRaimo Lenschow$540$451.57 +72.5%Mar 16, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$633$453.43 +102.2%Mar 16, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAlex Zukin$550$435.13 +75.7%Mar 12, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$575$466.78 +83.7%Mar 6, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$720$359.55 +130.0%Feb 24, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$650$380.55 +107.7%Feb 22, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesSiti Panigrahi$675$389.57 +115.7%Feb 19, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$624$437.5 +99.4%Feb 10, 2026
Goldman SachsGabriela Borges$720$646.9 +130.0%Jan 12, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$700$651.15 +123.6%Jan 8, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$739$633.84 +136.1%Jan 6, 2026
BMO CapitalDaniel Jester$810$637.44 +158.8%Nov 21, 2025
Independent ResearchAnalyst unavailable$875$649.73 +179.6%Nov 18, 2025
RBC CapitalRishi Jaluria$850$661.99 +171.6%Sep 2, 2025
Morgan StanleyKeith Weiss$880$662.66 +181.2%Aug 22, 2025
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$800$662.66 +155.6%Aug 22, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$725$662.66 +131.6%Aug 22, 2025
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$825$662.66 +163.6%Aug 22, 2025
BarclaysRaimo Lenschow$785$662.66 +150.8%Aug 22, 2025
BMO CapitalDaniel Jester$870$754.35 +178.0%Jul 10, 2025
Wells FargoMichael Turrin$880$753.98 +181.2%Jun 13, 2025
UBSTaylor McGinnis$750$720.13 +139.6%May 23, 2025
JefferiesBrent Thill$850$720.13 +171.6%May 23, 2025
Goldman SachsKash Rangan$750$670.86 +139.6%May 19, 2025
Evercore ISIKirk Materne$725$619.03 +131.6%Sep 27, 2024
CitigroupSteven Enders$760$619.03 +142.8%Sep 27, 2024
RBC CapitalRishi Jaluria$760$644.99 +142.8%Sep 23, 2024
Goldman SachsKash Rangan$765$619.85 +144.4%Aug 23, 2024
Piper SandlerArvind Ramnani$768$619.95 +145.4%Aug 23, 2024
Stifel NicolausBrad Reback$795$665.29 +154.0%Aug 23, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesBrad Sills$780$665.29 +149.2%Aug 23, 2024
BarclaysRaimo Lenschow$740$665.29 +136.4%Aug 23, 2024
Morgan StanleyKeith Weiss$685$645.83 +118.9%Aug 14, 2024
JefferiesBrent Thill$770$592.22 +146.0%Jun 12, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesSiti Panigrahi$725$608.86 +131.6%May 24, 2024
Stifel NicolausBrad Reback$690$662.26 +120.5%May 24, 2024
Goldman SachsKash Rangan$705$662.26 +125.2%May 24, 2024
Deutsche BankBrad Zelnick$740$662.26 +136.4%May 24, 2024
BMO CapitalDaniel Jester$700$671.1 +123.6%May 23, 2024
Wells FargoMichael Turrin$750$670.15 +139.6%May 21, 2024
UBSTaylor McGinnis$670$661.18 +114.1%May 20, 2024
KeyBancJosh Beck$740$661.18 +136.4%May 20, 2024
Morgan StanleyKeith Weiss$740$632.63 +136.4%May 13, 2024
KeyBancAlex Markgraff$720$643.96 +130.0%Mar 27, 2024
Stifel NicolausBrad Reback$720$664.5 +130.0%Feb 23, 2024
Loop Capital MarketsDaniel Jester$605$554.52 +93.3%Sep 7, 2023
BNP ParibasStefan Slowinski$532$495.43 +70.0%Jul 19, 2023
Loop Capital MarketsDaniel Jester$485$419.78 +55.0%May 24, 2023
CitigroupSteven Enders$475$454.11 +51.8%May 23, 2023
KeyBancJosh Beck$450$419.81 +43.8%Feb 24, 2023
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$525$400.55 +67.7%Nov 30, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$475$394.38 +51.8%Nov 30, 2022
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$448$379.71 +43.1%Nov 30, 2022
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$525$379.71 +67.7%Nov 30, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$465$379.71 +48.6%Nov 30, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$520$384.02 +66.1%Nov 22, 2022
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$467$375.73 +49.2%Nov 21, 2022
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$475$398.56 +51.8%Sep 30, 2022
Piper SandlerArvind Ramnani$553$472.2 +76.7%Aug 24, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$560$479.6 +78.9%Aug 24, 2022
Compass PointJosh Beck$525$449.56 +67.7%Aug 24, 2022
KeyBancJosh Beck$525$449.56 +67.7%Aug 24, 2022
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$525$474.14 +67.7%Aug 18, 2022
Loop Capital MarketsJosh Beck$500$387.92 +59.7%May 25, 2022
Deutsche BankBrad Zelnick$625$358.97 +99.7%May 25, 2022
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$465$358.97 +48.6%May 25, 2022
Morgan StanleyKeith Weiss$550$367.78 +75.7%May 23, 2022
BarclaysRaimo Lenschow$480$367.78 +53.4%May 21, 2022
Wells FargoMichael Turrin$635$445.58 +102.9%Apr 28, 2022
Morgan StanleyKeith Weiss$720$482.84 +130.0%Apr 9, 2022
Stifel NicolausBrad Reback$580$480.5 +85.3%Mar 28, 2022
BarclaysRaimo Lenschow$625$487.18 +99.7%Feb 26, 2022
JefferiesBrent Thill$700$486.51 +123.6%Feb 25, 2022
GuggenheimKenneth Wong$785$486.51 +150.8%Feb 25, 2022
Evercore ISIKirk Materne$645$486.51 +106.1%Feb 25, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesBradley Sills$650$486.51 +107.7%Feb 25, 2022
Piper SandlerArvind Ramnani$674$486.51 +115.3%Feb 25, 2022
Goldman SachsKash Rangan$715$486.51 +128.4%Feb 25, 2022
J.P. MorganSterling Auty$640$486.51 +104.5%Feb 25, 2022
Deutsche BankBrad Zelnick$650$496.45 +107.7%Feb 24, 2022
Wells FargoMichael Turrin$725$495.5 +131.6%Feb 17, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesSiti Panigrahi$650$544.02 +107.7%Feb 6, 2022
KeyBancJosh Beck$700$515.99 +123.6%Jan 25, 2022
BarclaysRaimo Lenschow$715$550.79 +128.4%Jan 17, 2022
BNP ParibasStefan Slowinski$470$429.96 +50.2%May 27, 2021
RBC CapitalMatthew Hedberg$525$440.61 +67.7%May 26, 2021
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Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -20.0% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -20.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 8.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -16.1% Up to 20 sessions
INTUSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Revenue growth decelerated from 17% YoY in Q2 to 10% YoY in Q3 FY26. Full-year guidance was raised to 13-14% top-line growth, an upgrade from Q2's maintained stance. A 17% workforce reduction was announced to simplify operations — a major structural change not discussed in Q2. Mailchimp is undergoing rightsizing after Q2 analysis flagged uncertainty around its growth trajectory. TurboTax Live is projected to exceed 50% of TurboTax revenue this year, up from being a growth driver in Q2. DIY tax segment weakness emerged as a new concern, with value-based pricing planned for sub-$50k filers. A new AI-driven Expert platform with consumption-based pricing was announced for August launch. QuickBooks Free and QuickBooks Lite were introduced to target new business formation. IRS filing volume declined approximately 30 basis points, adding pressure to overall tax volume. The bullish score declined from 85 (Q2) to 78 (Q3), reflecting elevated execution and competitive concerns.

Guidance delta

Intuit raised full-year revenue and non-GAAP guidance, now targeting 13-14% top-line growth. This is an upgrade from Q2's maintained stance, where management had reaffirmed FY2026 guidance and expected double-digit revenue growth. The raise came despite revenue growth decelerating from 17% (Q2) to 10% (Q3), signaling confidence that assisted tax, mid-market, and money portfolio momentum can offset DIY tax weakness.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 FY26 revenue of $8.56B beat estimates by 0.2%; EPS of $12.80 beat by 1.8%
  • Full-year guidance raised to 13-14% revenue growth, up from Q2's maintained stance
  • Revenue growth decelerated from 17% (Q2) to 10% (Q3), triggering an approximately 20% stock decline
  • TurboTax Live delivered 38% customer growth and 36% revenue growth, projected to surpass 50% of TurboTax revenue this year
  • 17% workforce reduction and Mailchimp rightsizing aim to streamline operations and fund AI growth initiatives
  • New AI-driven Expert platform and consumption-based pricing launching in August

Management priorities

  • Launch unified AI-driven Expert platform in August with consumption-based pricing for AI and human-intelligence services
  • Roll out QuickBooks Free and QuickBooks Lite to capture new entrepreneur formation
  • Expand QuickBooks Workforce and Intuit Business Credit Card offerings
  • Scale TurboTax Live and shift DIY tax toward value-based pricing for sub-$50k filers
  • Continue AI partnerships with Anthropic and OpenAI while maintaining proprietary data architecture
  • Execute 17% workforce reduction and Mailchimp rightsizing to improve margins and fund growth

Related earnings events

Technology

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-20T22:22:30.786618+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-29T08:12:56.902925+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-29T08:12:56.900165+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.