Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. · ICE · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

ICE posts record Q2 as MarketAxess deal expands fixed-income strategy

ICE’s Q2 evidence supports a constructive operating trajectory: record results, raised fixed-income data guidance, demand for AI-enabled products, and a MarketAxess transaction aimed at broadening the fixed-income network. The thesis depends on regulatory approval, integration execution, and sustained market activity.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $85.85B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.90 Consensus $1.84
EPS surprise +3.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.67B Consensus $2.63B
Revenue surprise +1.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.3% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move -0.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.2% Up to 20 sessions
ICESPY benchmark

Ask FN2 about ICE FY2026 Q2

Transcript, numbers and history already loaded

Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.

Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the supplied prior-quarter analysis, ICE moved from discussing expansion initiatives to announcing the MarketAxess acquisition, accelerated capex, higher share repurchases, and raised Fixed Income & Data Services growth guidance. The company also highlighted ICE Compass and further AI development in ICE Aurora.

Guidance delta

Management raised Fixed Income & Data Services revenue-growth guidance to 7–8%.

Key takeaways

  • ICE described Q2 2026 as its best quarter ever, with record net revenue and adjusted EPS of $1.90.
  • The planned $5.7 billion cash acquisition of MarketAxess is intended to expand ICE’s fixed-income liquidity, data, and execution network.
  • Management accelerated capex, increased Q2 share repurchases to $651 million, and highlighted AI-enabled products as growth initiatives.

Management priorities

  • Integrate MarketAxess into ICE’s fixed-income platform and connect its treasury-rates platform with ICE Treasury Clearing.
  • Expand AI-enabled products including ICE Compass and ICE Aurora, with additional monetization efforts in mortgage technology.
  • Continue data-center expansion and develop private-credit trading and data solutions with Apollo.

Follow ICE with an agent that reads every filing, transcript, and price print. Free to start.

Try FN2 free

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ICE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.29 Q4 '23 actual $1.33, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.48 Q1 '24 actual $1.48, match Q2 '24 estimate $1.49 Q2 '24 actual $1.52, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.55 Q3 '24 actual $1.55, match Q2 '25 estimate $1.77 Q2 '25 actual $1.81, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.60 Q3 '25 actual $1.71, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.68 Q4 '25 actual $1.71, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.23 Q1 '26 actual $2.35, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.84 Q2 '26 actual $1.90, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.90 Q4 '26 estimate $1.94 Q1 '27 estimate $2.23
Show less

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy36 ratings
Bullish3391.7%
Neutral38.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$152.93Previous close
$84Low
$166.17Average
$218High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 15, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 10, 2026
Show 31 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $152.93. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Raymond JamesPatrick O\'Shaughnessy$218$160.7 +42.5%Sep 1, 2026
Deutsche BankBrian Bedell$178$154.55 +16.4%Jul 31, 2026
Piper SandlerPatrick Moley$190$137.61 +24.2%Jul 15, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$163$135.76 +6.6%Jul 10, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$180$133.08 +17.7%Jul 9, 2026
See 54 more

Track every rating change on ICE the moment it posts. Free to start.

Start free

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) manages a global network of regulated financial venues, encompassing exchanges, clearing houses, and listing platforms. These operations serve diverse markets, including commodities, financial instruments, fixed income products, and equities, with a geographical footprint spanning key financial centers such as the United States, United Kingdom, European Union, Singapore, Israel, and Canada. The company's business is segmented into three core areas: Exchanges, Fixed Income and Data Services, and Mortgage Technology. Within its Exchanges segment, ICE oversees a robust network comprising 13 regulated exchanges and 6 clearing houses. These extensive marketplaces enable the listing, trading, and clearing of a wide spectrum of derivatives contracts and financial securities.…

Historical context

All ICE earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

Get the ICE recap when the next report posts

One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-30T22:07:08.256355+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-04T01:23:15.205020+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T10:51:00.312817+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T10:51:00.310273+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.