Iamgold Corporation · IAG · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

IAMGOLD: Côté ramp-up supports guidance, costs remain a watchpoint

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: Côté’s ramp-up, a higher gold-price environment, deleveraging, and resource development provide potential support, while raised cost guidance and operating, grade, and permitting risks require continued evidence.

Reported After market closeNYSEBasic Materials $10.87B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.13 Consensus $0.14
EPS surprise -7.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $580.9M Consensus $729.7M
Revenue surprise -20.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -2.8% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move -3.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +34.4% Up to 20 sessions
IAGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior analysis, the current quarter emphasized that Côté had reached nameplate throughput and remained supportive of production guidance, while all-in sustaining cost guidance was raised because of royalties, currency, and temporary re-handling costs. Management also highlighted a $40 million term-loan repayment, Essakane’s revised cash structure, and added sustaining capital for Côté upgrades.

Guidance delta

Production guidance remained maintained, while all-in sustaining cost guidance was raised; management expects costs to decline after the second cone crusher is installed.

Key takeaways

  • Côté Gold’s ramp-up was identified as the main operating driver and was described as ahead of schedule.
  • Management highlighted strong liquidity, debt repayment, and a revised Essakane cash-repatriation structure.
  • The growth pipeline centers on Côté-Gosselin, Nelligan, and Monster Lake, while near-term costs and execution remain important watchpoints.

Management priorities

  • Commission the second cone crusher in Q4.
  • Continue Côté-Gosselin, Nelligan, and Monster Lake drilling and resource work.
  • Further deleverage the balance sheet and manage Essakane’s operating and permitting outlook.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
IAG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.02 Q4 '23 actual $0.06, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.03 Q1 '24 actual $0.11, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.09 Q2 '24 actual $0.16, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.10 Q3 '24 actual $0.18, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.14 Q2 '25 actual $0.13, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.21 Q3 '25 actual $0.30, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.55 Q4 '25 actual $0.70, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.52 Q1 '26 actual $0.66, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.42 Q2 '26 actual $0.42, match Q3 '26 estimate $0.49 Q4 '26 estimate $0.57 Q1 '27 estimate $0.68 Q2 '27 estimate $0.71
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold30 ratings
Bullish1240.0%
Neutral1136.7%
Bearish723.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$18.8Current
$2.75Low
$14.54Average
$34High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 11, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 16, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainAug 12, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 9, 2026
Raymond James Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 10, 2025
CIBC Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 10, 2025
Show 25 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $18.8. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesFahad Tariq$24$20.5 +27.7%Aug 20, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$22$14.98 +17.0%Jul 14, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$20$15.34 +6.4%Jul 9, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$25$23.21 +33.0%Feb 25, 2026
CIBCAnalyst unavailable$34$18.83 +80.9%Feb 4, 2026
See 16 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

IAMGOLD Corp. engages in the exploration, development and production of gold and mineral resource properties. It owns and operates the Westwood mine in Quebec and the Cote Gold project, a development project located in Ontario. The firm also operates the Rosebel mine in Suriname, the Essakane mine in Burkina Faso, the Saramacca project, an exploration project located in Suriname, the Boto project, an exploration project located in Senegal. The company was founded by William D. Pugliese, Mark I. Nathanson, and Larry E. Phillips on March 27, 1990 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Historical context

All IAG earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-11T16:40:43.749520+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-11T16:40:43.746806+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-11. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.