The Hershey Company · HSY · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Hershey sees resilient demand, innovation and margin support

The Q2 update supports a constructive but conditional view of Hershey's trajectory: management described resilient underlying consumption and a strong second-half product calendar, while cocoa deflation and productivity initiatives may support margins. The case still depends on demand elasticity, execution of seasonal launches, resolution of Dots constraints and control of freight and logistics costs.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $34.17B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.90 Consensus $1.43
EPS surprise +32.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.79B Consensus $2.63B
Revenue surprise +5.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -3.6% Event window
SPY move +1.7% Same window
Abnormal move -5.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.3% Up to 20 sessions
HSYSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management described Q2 consumption as stronger than reported shipment trends suggested and modestly increased its outlook. The discussion added detail on Crem bars, the Hershey movie tie-in, Halloween plans, Dots automation planned for 2027 and an emphasis on organic investment and selective M&A rather than additional second-half buybacks.

Guidance delta

Management modestly increased its outlook while maintaining the broader full-year framework; the supplied analysis does not provide the revised numerical guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Management said Q2 consumption was understated by non-measured-channel growth and Easter shipment timing.
  • Second-half growth initiatives include Crem bars, a Hershey movie tie-in and expanded Halloween merchandising.
  • Dots supply constraints are being addressed through automation planned for 2027.
  • Expected cocoa deflation and productivity actions support the margin outlook, but freight, logistics and demand elasticity remain risks.

Management priorities

  • Execute the second-half innovation and seasonal merchandising calendar.
  • Resolve Dots supply constraints through automation and capacity investment.
  • Advance productivity and cost-optimization initiatives.
  • Prioritize organic growth and evaluate selective strategic M&A.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
HSY EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.95 Q4 '23 actual $2.02, beat Q1 '24 estimate $2.76 Q1 '24 actual $3.07, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.44 Q2 '24 actual $1.27, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2.56 Q3 '24 actual $2.34, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.99 Q2 '25 actual $1.21, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.07 Q3 '25 actual $1.30, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.40 Q4 '25 actual $1.71, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.04 Q1 '26 actual $2.35, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.46 Q3 '26 estimate $2.28 Q4 '26 estimate $2.39

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold35 ratings
Bullish822.8%
Neutral2468.6%
Bearish38.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$167.92Current
$129.11Low
$212.19Average
$260High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainAug 21, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 3, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 31, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 31, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 31, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 23, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainJul 22, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 9, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 25, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 20, 2026
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 4, 2026
TD Cowen Buy HoldUpgradeMay 1, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 23, 2026
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainMar 30, 2026
Jefferies Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 2, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy SellUpgradeSep 16, 2025
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 15, 2025
Bernstein Market Perform OutperformDowngradeOct 7, 2024
Argus Research Hold BuyDowngradeAug 14, 2024
Exane BNP Paribas Neutral OutperformDowngradeMar 26, 2024
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 3, 2023
Cowen & Co. Perform Market PerformMaintainSep 14, 2022
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 29, 2022
CFRA Sell HoldDowngradeApr 23, 2020
Edward Jones Buy HoldUpgradeMar 25, 2020
Bank of America Neutral BuyDowngradeDec 20, 2019
Stifel Nicolaus Hold HoldMaintainJul 26, 2019
Piper Jaffray Underweight NeutralDowngradeJun 20, 2019
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 25, 2018
PiperJaffray Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 27, 2018
Argus Hold BuyDowngradeMay 5, 2018
Berenberg Hold SellUpgradeDec 18, 2017
Societe Generale Hold SellUpgradeFeb 28, 2017
Tigress Financial Neutral BuyDowngradeJul 11, 2016
Nomura Sell ReduceMaintainApr 20, 2015
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $167.92. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$206$187.84 +22.7%Aug 21, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$200$175.05 +19.1%Aug 3, 2026
BernsteinAlexia Howard$201$174.83 +19.7%Jul 31, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$190$174.91 +13.1%Jul 31, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$191$177.2 +13.7%Jul 31, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$190$177.23 +13.1%Jul 31, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$225$170.25 +34.0%Jul 23, 2026
BarclaysAndrew Lazar$208$171.7 +23.9%Jul 21, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$190$170.27 +13.1%Jul 16, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$200$174.41 +19.1%Jul 9, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$255$191.12 +51.9%May 27, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesJohn Baumgartner$185$192.8 +10.2%May 20, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$208$181.92 +23.9%May 4, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$220$182.34 +31.0%May 4, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$240$182.34 +42.9%May 1, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$227$188.65 +35.2%Apr 23, 2026
Stifel NicolausMatthew Smith$215$191.45 +28.0%Apr 21, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$225$197.93 +34.0%Apr 14, 2026
Piper SandlerMichael Lavery$249$226.94 +48.3%Feb 25, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$195$226.07 +16.1%Feb 24, 2026
StephensAnalyst unavailable$260$230.61 +54.8%Feb 12, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$238$230.12 +41.7%Feb 6, 2026
D.A. DavidsonBrian Holland$243$230.2 +44.7%Feb 6, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$267$231.42 +59.0%Feb 6, 2026
BernsteinAlexia Howard$250$230.98 +48.9%Feb 6, 2026
Evercore ISIDavid Palmer$250$232.75 +48.9%Feb 6, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$230$224.38 +37.0%Feb 6, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$236$224.38 +40.5%Feb 6, 2026
BarclaysAndrew Lazar$240$224.38 +42.9%Feb 6, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$207$194.84 +23.3%Feb 2, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$188$194.54 +12.0%Jan 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyMegan Alexander Clapp$214$190.67 +27.4%Jan 28, 2026
BernsteinAlexia Howard$84$189.2 -50.0%Jan 26, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$210$198.36 +25.1%Jan 16, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$210$195.73 +25.1%Jan 14, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$213$179.28 +26.8%Jan 6, 2026
Wells FargoChris Carey$182$182.41 +8.4%Jan 5, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$193$188.16 +14.9%Dec 19, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$211$181.83 +25.7%Dec 15, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$195$180.98 +16.1%Dec 4, 2025
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$181$180.63 +7.8%Dec 4, 2025
Piper SandlerMichael Lavery$180$182.66 +7.2%Nov 21, 2025
BarclaysAndrew Lazar$188$169.63 +12.0%Nov 3, 2025
Evercore ISIDavid Palmer$215$167.89 +28.0%Oct 31, 2025
Morgan StanleyMegan Alexander Clapp$184$168.3 +9.6%Oct 31, 2025
Stifel NicolausMatthew Smith$185$167.17 +10.2%Oct 31, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$190$169.35 +13.1%Oct 31, 2025
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$195$181.38 +16.1%Oct 24, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$193$193.02 +14.9%Oct 16, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$205$194.39 +22.1%Oct 8, 2025
Goldman SachsLeah Jordan$222$190.28 +32.2%Sep 16, 2025
Piper SandlerMichael Lavery$167$187.83 -0.5%Sep 9, 2025
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$188$190.41 +12.0%Aug 4, 2025
Piper SandlerMichael Lavery$168$175.67 +0.0%Nov 8, 2024
Stifel NicolausMatthew Smith$180$179.69 +7.2%Nov 7, 2024
Piper SandlerMichael Lavery$165$183.47 -1.7%Oct 23, 2024
CFRAArun Sundaram$169$183.47 +0.6%Oct 22, 2024
Redburn PartnersBingqing Zhu$165$184.67 -1.7%Oct 22, 2024
JefferiesRob Dickerson$163$191 -2.9%Sep 26, 2024
BarclaysAndrew Lazar$202$195.14 +20.3%Sep 24, 2024
Piper SandlerMichael Lavery$179$201.31 +6.6%Sep 17, 2024
Wells FargoChris Carey$205$197.92 +22.1%May 6, 2024
Coker PalmerThomas Palmer$204$197.92 +21.5%May 5, 2024
Wells FargoChris Carey$200$183.31 +19.1%Apr 17, 2024
Deutsche BankSteve Powers$197$194.19 +17.3%Apr 8, 2024
BernsteinAlexia Howard$235$191.96 +39.9%Jan 29, 2024
Morgan StanleyPamela Kaufman$246$243.66 +46.5%Mar 20, 2023
Craig-HallumAnthony Stoss$129.11$233.86 -23.1%Feb 3, 2023
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$230$233.05 +37.0%Feb 3, 2023
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$260$234.77 +54.8%Feb 3, 2023
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$220$227.7 +31.0%Jan 3, 2023
Morgan StanleyPamela Kaufman$231$234.89 +37.6%Dec 20, 2022
UBSAnalyst unavailable$269$236.69 +60.2%Dec 8, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$246$232.4 +46.5%Dec 6, 2022
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$235$218.12 +39.9%Nov 15, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$210$227.48 +25.1%Apr 29, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$222$227.2 +32.2%Apr 29, 2022
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$255$227.48 +51.9%Apr 29, 2022
Credit SuisseRobert Moskow$227$201.88 +35.2%Feb 4, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesBryan Spillane$225$201.88 +34.0%Feb 4, 2022
Piper SandlerMichael Lavery$205$203.01 +22.1%Feb 3, 2022
Goldman SachsJason English$227$203.01 +35.2%Feb 3, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesJohn Baumgartner$196$203.01 +16.7%Feb 3, 2022
Morgan StanleyPamela Kaufman$191$193.17 +13.7%Jan 11, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Hershey Company, operating with its various subsidiaries, serves as a key manufacturer and distributor of both sweet confections and general household pantry items. Its market reach extends across the United States and globally. The enterprise strategically divides its operations into three main business segments: North America Confectionery, North America Salty Snacks, and an International division. Its extensive product catalog features a wide array of offerings. This includes various chocolate and non-chocolate candies, as well as refreshing chewing gums and mints. Beyond traditional treats, Hershey also supplies pantry essentials such as baking ingredients, dessert toppings, a range of beverages, and sundae syrups. Furthermore, their snack collection encompasses diverse items like spreads, meat snacks, various bars and snack bites, popcorn, and protein bars.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-30T17:06:19.168319+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-04T01:23:15.205020+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T15:30:57.233450+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T15:30:57.230628+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.