Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company · HPE · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026

HPE raises outlook as AI demand drives record backlog

The supplied analysis supports the view that resilient AI-infrastructure demand is strengthening HPE's near-term growth trajectory, but the durability of orders, supply availability, and margin conversion remain key tests.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $80.43B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.11 Consensus $0.93
EPS surprise +19.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $12.20B Consensus $11.97B
Revenue surprise +1.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +5.0% Event window
SPY move +1.0% Same window
Abnormal move +4.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +11.6% Up to 20 sessions
HPESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Versus the prior quarter, HPE's analysis points to continued record demand with orders up 42% year over year, a higher FY27 outlook, a new hyperscaler inferencing deal, and an expanded Oracle networking opportunity. Supply constraints remain a central limitation.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY26 and FY27 outlooks; FY27 revenue growth is expected at 13%-17% and EPS up to $4.60.

Key takeaways

  • AI-related demand across networking, servers and storage drove record results and orders.
  • Orders grew 42% year over year, but memory and wafer constraints limited revenue conversion.
  • Management highlighted Juniper integration, Oracle networking, and a new hyperscaler inferencing deal.

Management priorities

  • Convert the record backlog as supply constraints ease.
  • Advance Juniper integration and capture planned synergies.
  • Expand GreenLake, AI-factory offerings, and Helios-related infrastructure opportunities.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
HPE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.50 Q4 '23 actual $0.52, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.45 Q1 '24 actual $0.48, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.39 Q2 '24 actual $0.42, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.47 Q3 '24 actual $0.50, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.35 Q2 '25 actual $0.38, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.42 Q3 '25 actual $0.44, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.58 Q4 '25 actual $0.62, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.59 Q1 '26 actual $0.65, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.54 Q2 '26 actual $0.79, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.93 Q3 '26 actual $1.11, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.26 Q1 '27 estimate $1.03
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold39 ratings
Bullish1846.1%
Neutral2051.3%
Bearish12.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$60.76Current
$13Low
$47.28Average
$86High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group In Line OutperformDowngradeSep 14, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 4, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 3, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 3, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
Show 34 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $60.76. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$70$48.4 +15.2%Sep 3, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$67$48.59 +10.3%Sep 3, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$65$49.12 +7.0%Sep 3, 2026
UBSDavid Vogt$59$51.86 -2.9%Sep 3, 2026
Piper SandlerJames Fish$57$51.86 -6.2%Sep 3, 2026
See 81 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) is a global technology firm that provides comprehensive solutions, empowering clients across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, and Japan to efficiently capture, analyze, and utilize their data. The company's diverse product range features adaptable servers for various computing demands, including general-purpose, workload-optimized, and specific lines like HPE ProLiant rack and tower servers, HPE BladeSystem, and HPE Synergy. HPE also offers a full suite of storage solutions, from traditional tape and storage networking to advanced disk products such as HPE Modular Storage Arrays and HPE XP. Additionally, its portfolio includes specialized high-performance computing (HPC) offerings like HPE Apollo and Cray, alongside critical infrastructure platforms such as HPE Superdome Flex, HPE Nonstop, HPE Integrity, and HPE Edgeline.…

Historical context

All HPE earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-09-03T14:21:50.464216+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-20T01:23:12.707946+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T01:00:45.723831+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T01:00:45.720998+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.