Robinhood Markets, Inc. · HOOD · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Robinhood outlines 2025 growth plan amid crypto and credit risks

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating trajectory: product expansion, Gold adoption, net deposits, crypto activity and international rollout could support continued growth. That thesis remains conditional on regulatory execution, credit performance and the company’s ability to preserve operating leverage.

Reported After market closeNASDAQFinancial Services $99.37B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.41
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $930.2M
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +14.1% Event window
SPY move +1.1% Same window
Abnormal move +13.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -38.5% Up to 20 sessions
HOODSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis adds a first $1 billion revenue quarter, a larger Gold base, the Legend platform’s early revenue contribution, Bitstamp integration and a broader crypto-wallet and event-contract roadmap. The growth plan remains ambitious, while the risk focus has sharpened around crypto regulation, Gold credit exposure and competition.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook and described a goal of double-digit 2025 revenue growth with low-single-digit operating-expense growth.

Key takeaways

  • The analysis describes a record $1 billion revenue quarter and $3 billion annual revenue.
  • Gold subscribers were approaching 3 million, with attach rates above 10% overall and above 30% among new customers.
  • Management highlighted Legend, crypto, derivatives, event contracts and international expansion as growth avenues.
  • Bitstamp integration is intended to broaden institutional crypto access, while wallet expansion and tokenization remain part of the product roadmap.
  • The growth case is balanced by regulatory, credit, competition and interest-rate risks.

Management priorities

  • Expand Gold, including the credit-card and advisory offering.
  • Continue product rollout across Legend, crypto, derivatives and event contracts.
  • Integrate Bitstamp and expand international availability.
  • Broaden the Robinhood wallet and add tokens where regulatory conditions permit.
  • Keep operating-expense growth low-single-digit while pursuing double-digit revenue growth.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
HOOD REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $457M Q4 '23 actual $471M, beat Q1 '24 estimate $552M Q1 '24 actual $624M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $640M Q2 '24 actual $688M, beat Q3 '24 estimate $643M Q3 '24 actual $274M, miss Q2 '25 estimate $915M Q2 '25 actual $989M, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1B Q3 '25 actual $1B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $1B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $1B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '27 estimate $1B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy26 ratings
Bullish2076.9%
Neutral415.4%
Bearish27.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$110.52Previous close
$5Low
$109.76Average
$171High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 14, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 13, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 9, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 7, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 5, 2026
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainSep 30, 2026
Show 21 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $110.52. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$134$109.87 +21.2%Oct 13, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$130$109.02 +17.6%Oct 12, 2026
Morgan StanleyMichael Cyprys$160$107.01 +44.8%Oct 9, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$132$112 +19.4%Oct 7, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsCraig Siegenthaler$156$112.74 +41.2%Oct 5, 2026
See 158 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Robinhood Markets, Inc. operates a financial services platform available to users throughout the United States. This platform empowers individuals to engage in a wide array of investments, encompassing common stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), options contracts, gold, and various cryptocurrencies. Beyond its core trading functionalities, the company dedicates efforts to providing educational and informational resources.…

Historical context

All HOOD earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-29T00:04:08.037886+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-14T05:10:45.170982+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-14T05:10:45.169034+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-14. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.