W.W. Grainger, Inc. · GWW · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Grainger raises guidance as demand expands across its businesses

Grainger's Q2 analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: resilient demand across High-Touch Solutions and Endless Assortment, plus higher guidance, point to continued growth. The durability of earnings depends on separating recurring operating progress from the one-time tariff refund and managing mix, freight, private-label costs, and pricing.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $60.33B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $12.01 Consensus $11.30
EPS surprise +6.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $5.02B Consensus $4.96B
Revenue surprise +1.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -5.2% Event window
SPY move +1.8% Same window
Abnormal move -7.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.7% Up to 20 sessions
GWWSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, Grainger reported stronger Q2 demand, raised full-year sales and EPS guidance, and identified data-center activity as a growth contributor. The quarter also added a new Oregon distribution center and a CFO transition, while tariff refunds provided a nonrecurring gross-margin benefit.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year guidance to 11.5%–13% daily organic sales growth and EPS of $45.50–$47.25, from the prior quarter's 9.5%–12% organic sales growth and EPS of $44.25–$46.25.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 sales grew 10.3% year over year, or 13.7% on a daily-organic basis, with operating margin of 16.1%.
  • High-Touch Solutions and Endless Assortment both showed strong volume growth, including demand tied to data-center projects.
  • IEEPA tariff refunds supported gross margin but were described as nonrecurring.
  • Grainger announced a new Northwest Distribution Center and a CFO transition.

Management priorities

  • Start up the Northwest Distribution Center in Oregon.
  • Execute September pricing actions intended to offset inflationary cost increases.
  • Continue private-label brand expansion, SKU optimization, and technology-enabled distribution investment.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GWW EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $8.05 Q4 '23 actual $8.33, beat Q1 '24 estimate $9.62 Q1 '24 actual $9.62, match Q2 '24 estimate $9.58 Q2 '24 actual $9.76, beat Q3 '24 estimate $9.97 Q3 '24 actual $9.87, miss Q2 '25 estimate $10.07 Q2 '25 actual $9.97, miss Q3 '25 estimate $9.98 Q3 '25 actual $10.21, beat Q4 '25 estimate $9.46 Q4 '25 actual $9.44, miss Q1 '26 estimate $10.21 Q1 '26 actual $11.65, beat Q2 '26 estimate $11.30 Q2 '26 actual $12.01, beat Q3 '26 estimate $11.68 Q4 '26 estimate $10.93 Q1 '27 estimate $12.72
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold39 ratings
Bullish923.1%
Neutral2666.7%
Bearish410.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$1,268.62Current
$422Low
$1,082.39Average
$1,428High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 24, 2026
Barclays Underweight UnderweightMaintainAug 11, 2026
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 6, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainAug 5, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 5, 2026
Show 34 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $1,268.62. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$1,400$1,322.05 +10.4%Aug 24, 2026
BarclaysGuy Hardwick$1,185$1,297.45 -6.6%Aug 11, 2026
D.A. DavidsonChris Dankert$1,260$1,270.92 -0.7%Aug 6, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$1,428$1,304.06 +12.6%Aug 5, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$1,375$1,300.45 +8.4%Aug 5, 2026
See 42 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

W.W. Grainger, Inc. stands as a significant global supplier of maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) supplies and related services. Its market presence spans several international regions, including the United States, Japan, Canada, and the United Kingdom. The company structures its operations into two principal divisions: High-Touch Solutions N.A. and Endless Assortment. Grainger's extensive product offerings cover essential categories such as safety and security provisions, equipment for material handling and storage, plumbing and pump components, cleaning and facility upkeep items, and…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-04T21:12:37.558512+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-09T01:23:14.388487+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T22:10:53.341589+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T22:10:53.338881+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.