The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. · GS · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Goldman Sachs: Record results, stronger platforms, execution risks remain

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: deal activity, alternatives fundraising and asset-and-wealth-management scale provide growth support, but the evidence is balanced by execution, credit and regulatory risks. Guidance was not provided in the analysis.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $266.26B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $12.25 Consensus $11.03
EPS surprise +11.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $15.18B Consensus $14.12B
Revenue surprise +7.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.0% Event window
SPY move -0.1% Same window
Abnormal move -1.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.1% Up to 20 sessions
GSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the supplied current-quarter analysis adds the Industry Ventures acquisition, a T. Rowe Price collaboration and the One Goldman Sachs 3.0 operating model. It also points to stronger reported momentum in M&A, FICC, equities and alternatives fundraising, while keeping capital, credit and execution risks in focus.

Guidance delta

No guidance change was provided in the supplied analysis.

Key takeaways

  • The supplied analysis describes record third-quarter revenue and earnings, with strength in M&A, FICC and equities.
  • M&A momentum and sponsor activity were identified as important growth drivers.
  • Alternatives fundraising reached a quarterly record, while the firm targeted $100 billion for the full year.
  • Management highlighted One Goldman Sachs 3.0, an AI-enabled operating model focused on efficiency and capacity.
  • The main counterweights are regulatory capital, credit, market-volatility and execution risks.

Management priorities

  • Scale the M&A franchise and capture continued sponsor activity
  • Expand alternatives fundraising and private-market strategies
  • Roll out One Goldman Sachs 3.0 across the operating model
  • Integrate Industry Ventures and deepen the T. Rowe Price collaboration
  • Grow asset and wealth management scale and margins

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GS EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $3.51 Q4 '23 actual $5.48, beat Q1 '24 estimate $8.56 Q1 '24 actual $11.58, beat Q2 '24 estimate $8.34 Q2 '24 actual $8.62, beat Q3 '24 estimate $6.89 Q3 '24 actual $8.40, beat Q2 '25 estimate $9.65 Q2 '25 actual $10.91, beat Q3 '25 estimate $11.03 Q3 '25 actual $12.25, beat Q4 '25 estimate $11.70 Q4 '25 actual $14.01, beat Q1 '26 estimate $16.47 Q1 '26 actual $17.55, beat Q2 '26 estimate $14.47 Q2 '26 actual $20.98, beat Q3 '26 estimate $14.44 Q4 '26 estimate $15.25 Q1 '27 estimate $18.72 Q2 '27 estimate $18.52
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold55 ratings
Bullish2240.0%
Neutral3054.5%
Bearish35.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$902.56Current
$290Low
$723.25Average
$1,325High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 1, 2026
HSBC Hold HoldMaintainSep 28, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 25, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 23, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 3, 2026
Show 50 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $902.56. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$1,000$900.36 +10.8%Oct 1, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$1,150$1,017.73 +27.4%Aug 3, 2026
HSBCSaul Martinez$995$1,055.03 +10.2%Jul 20, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$1,300$1,152.07 +44.0%Jul 16, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$1,200$1,152.07 +33.0%Jul 16, 2026
See 108 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) operates as a prominent global financial services firm, offering an extensive array of services to corporations, financial institutions, governmental bodies, and individuals worldwide. The company's operations are organized into four primary divisions: Investment Banking, Global Markets, Asset Management, and Consumer & Wealth Management. The Investment Banking segment furnishes strategic advisory services covering intricate transactions such as mergers, acquisitions, divestitures, corporate defense strategies, restructurings, and spin-offs. It also extends various lending facilities, including middle-market, relationship, and acquisition financing, in addition to transaction banking services.…

Historical context

All GS earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-04T15:00:43.222401+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-04T15:00:43.219608+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.