The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. · GS · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Goldman Sachs: Strong Execution, With Regulatory Risks Still in View

The evidence supports a constructive but qualified view: strong execution, durable financing and asset-management businesses, and efficiency initiatives provide support, while regulatory uncertainty, Platform Solutions drag, and macro sensitivity limit confidence.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $256.60B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $8.03
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $12.42B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +6.0% Event window
SPY move +1.8% Same window
Abnormal move +4.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.1% Up to 20 sessions
GSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the emphasis shifted toward a newly created Capital Solutions Group, broader private-credit and financing capabilities, stronger alternatives activity, and more explicit AI-led efficiency work. Platform Solutions remains a drag, while regulatory and macro risks remain central concerns.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management's outlook remained positive, with emphasis on deal activity, durable revenue streams, financing growth, and efficiency initiatives.

Key takeaways

  • Management described strong execution across investment banking, equities, financing, and asset and wealth management.
  • The strategic focus shifted further toward private credit, Capital Solutions, alternatives, and wealth-management lending.
  • AI, automation, and organizational redesign were presented as efficiency initiatives that could support operating leverage.
  • The main counterweights are regulatory uncertainty, Platform Solutions drag, macro-policy volatility, and credit or deal-activity risk.

Management priorities

  • Scale the Capital Solutions Group and alternative origination capabilities.
  • Grow private-credit and financing balances while managing risk.
  • Expand wealth-management lending and advisor coverage.
  • Use AI, automation, and technology upgrades to improve operating efficiency.
  • Return excess capital while preserving regulatory buffers.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $10B Q4 '23 actual $11B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $13B Q1 '24 actual $14B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $12B Q2 '24 actual $13B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $12B Q3 '24 actual $13B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $14B Q2 '25 actual $15B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $14B Q3 '25 actual $15B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $15B Q4 '25 actual $13B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $17B Q1 '26 actual $17B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $16B Q2 '26 actual $20B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $17B Q3 '26 actual $19B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $17B Q1 '27 estimate $19B Q2 '27 estimate $19B Q3 '27 estimate $19B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold55 ratings
Bullish2240.0%
Neutral3054.5%
Bearish35.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$881.26Previous close
$290Low
$744.85Average
$1,325High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 16, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainOct 14, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 14, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 14, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 6, 2026
Show 50 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $881.26. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Goldman SachsStephen Biggar$1,280$885.9 +45.2%Oct 14, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$1,010$891.91 +14.6%Oct 14, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$1,050$887.21 +19.1%Oct 8, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$970$904.21 +10.1%Oct 6, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$1,000$900.36 +13.5%Oct 1, 2026
See 112 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) operates as a prominent global financial services firm, offering an extensive array of services to corporations, financial institutions, governmental bodies, and individuals worldwide. The company's operations are organized into four primary divisions: Investment Banking, Global Markets, Asset Management, and Consumer & Wealth Management. The Investment Banking segment furnishes strategic advisory services covering intricate transactions such as mergers, acquisitions, divestitures, corporate defense strategies, restructurings, and spin-offs. It also extends various lending facilities, including middle-market, relationship, and acquisition financing, in addition to transaction banking services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-10T21:07:34.652430+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-19T11:40:43.220968+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-19T11:40:43.218170+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-19. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.