Garmin Ltd. · GRMN · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Garmin raises 2026 outlook as wearables and marine drive Q2

Garmin's Q2 evidence supports a constructive growth case: record revenue, margin expansion, stronger FY2026 guidance, and continued fitness, marine, and product-launch momentum. The case is tempered by cost pressure, a non-recurring tariff refund, weaker near-term auto OEM revenue, and execution dependence on future products and the 2027 Mercedes-Benz program.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $54.04B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.81 Consensus $2.30
EPS surprise +22.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.02B Consensus $1.93B
Revenue surprise +5.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +16.2% Event window
SPY move -1.5% Same window
Abnormal move +17.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.0% Up to 20 sessions
GRMNSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management moved from maintained to raised FY2026 guidance. Q2 also added evidence of higher-margin product momentum, the Training Peaks and TrainHeroic acquisitions, and a Thailand manufacturing facility, while highlighting memory-chip costs and H2 auto OEM weakness.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY2026 guidance to $8.05 billion of revenue and $10 EPS from the prior quarter's maintained outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 record revenue and margin expansion were led by fitness, marine, and favorable product mix.
  • Fitness remains the primary growth engine, with service revenue and new products supporting the strategy.
  • Higher memory-chip costs, softer auto OEM revenue, and the non-recurring tariff refund are key offsets.

Management priorities

  • Launch products across wearables, aviation, and marine.
  • Complete the Thailand facility and ramp it up in early 2027.
  • Expand service revenue and Connect Plus while integrating Training Peaks and TrainHeroic.
  • Prepare for the Mercedes-Benz auto OEM program in 2027.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GRMN EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.40 Q4 '23 actual $1.72, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.01 Q1 '24 actual $1.42, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.44 Q2 '24 actual $1.58, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.44 Q3 '24 actual $1.99, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.90 Q2 '25 actual $2.17, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.99 Q3 '25 actual $1.99, match Q4 '25 estimate $2.40 Q4 '25 actual $2.79, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.84 Q1 '26 actual $2.08, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.30 Q2 '26 actual $2.81, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.35 Q4 '26 estimate $2.92
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold28 ratings
Bullish621.4%
Neutral2071.4%
Bearish27.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$280.31Current
$140Low
$262.89Average
$370High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Tigress Financial Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 30, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 30, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 16, 2026
Longbow Research Buy NeutralUpgradeDec 3, 2025
Show 23 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $280.31. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$370$301.94 +32.0%Aug 6, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$289$291.65 +3.1%Jul 30, 2026
BarclaysTim Long$297$294.83 +6.0%Jul 30, 2026
Tigress FinancialAnalyst unavailable$325$237.45 +15.9%May 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$249$250.6 -11.2%Apr 30, 2026
See 19 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Garmin Ltd. specializes in the design, development, manufacturing, marketing, and global distribution of diverse wireless products and solutions. Its operations span across North and South America, the Asia Pacific region, the Australian Continent, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company's offerings are organized into several key segments: Fitness: This division caters to athletes and active individuals with products like specialized running and multi-sport watches, cycling computers, activity trackers, smartwatches, and various fitness-related accessories. Additionally, it supports these offerings with its Garmin Connect web and mobile platforms, alongside Connect IQ, an ecosystem for app development. Outdoor: Garmin's Outdoor category features rugged adventure watches, portable GPS devices, golf-specific instruments and accompanying mobile applications, plus specialized dog tracking and training systems.…

Historical context

All GRMN earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-13T21:15:14.389999+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-03T01:23:14.877038+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T03:00:51.856974+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T03:00:51.854208+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.