Generac Holdings Inc. · GNRC · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Generac Beats on EPS as Data-Center Demand Drives 28% C&I Growth; Backlog Tops $700M

Generac's Q1 FY2026 results mark a clear inflection from the prior quarter's soft residential demand. The 12% YoY revenue recovery, 28% C&I surge, and 35% EPS beat reflect data-center generator demand materializing faster than expected, reinforced by the Enercon acquisition and a non-binding $600M hyperscale notice to proceed. With backlog now over $700M, management has raised full-year guidance for both sales and adjusted EBITDA margins. The stock's 16.5% abnormal move on the report and subsequent 10.5% drift suggest the market is repricing the data-center growth narrative. At $196, the stock trades at a roughly 52% discount to the consensus target of $298.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $11.30B market cap
100quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Generac Holdings Inc. specializes in the engineering, manufacturing, and global distribution of diverse power generation systems, energy storage solutions, and related electrical products. The company caters to residential users, light commercial enterprises, and industrial sectors worldwide. At its core, Generac produces vital components such as engines, alternators, batteries, advanced electronic controls, and robust steel enclosures. For homeowners, the company provides a range of automatic standby generators, from 7.5kW up to 150kW, including air-cooled models (7.5kW-26kW) and more powerful liquid-cooled units (22kW-150kW). Many of these residential systems are compatible with Mobile Link, a remote monitoring platform. Generac also offers portable generators, spanning outputs from 800W to 17.5kW, alongside an extensive catalog of outdoor power equipment like trimmers, mowers, log splitters, and pressure washers.…

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.80 Consensus $1
EPS surprise +35.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.06B Consensus $1.05B
Revenue surprise +0.7% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GNRC REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1B Q4 '23 actual $1B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $885M Q1 '24 actual $889M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1,000M Q2 '24 actual $998M, miss Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $1B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $1B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $1B Q3 '25 actual $1B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $1B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $1B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '27 estimate $1B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy38 ratings
Bullish2873.7%
Neutral1026.3%
Bearish00.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$198.09Current
$75Low
$261.4Average
$460High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Jul 31, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 30, 2026
Canaccord Genuity Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 30, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 2, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJun 11, 2026
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeMay 22, 2026
Show 31 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $198.09. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$214$192.3 +8.0%Jul 30, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$333$192.85 +68.1%Jul 30, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$333$196.07 +68.1%Jul 30, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$305$191.26 +54.0%Jul 30, 2026
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$283$195.19 +42.9%Jul 30, 2026
Stifel NicolausStephen Gengaro$285$195.19 +43.9%Jul 30, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$278$195.19 +40.3%Jul 30, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$325$215.61 +64.1%Jul 22, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$285$278.62 +43.9%Jun 29, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$335$239.11 +69.1%Jun 11, 2026
See 54 more

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Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +16.5% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +16.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +10.5% Up to 20 sessions
GNRCSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Q1 net sales rose 12% YoY to $1.06B, recovering from Q4's 12% decline. C&I sales jumped 28% (vs. 10% in Q4), led by data-center megawatt-generator demand and the Allmand and Enercon acquisitions. Residential standby sales were flat, but EBITDA margins expanded 500bps from the Generac Home re-organization and pricing after winter storm Fern. Backlog grew to over $700M, including a non-binding $600M notice to proceed from a hyperscale customer for 2027 deliveries. EPS of $1.80 beat the $1.33 estimate by 35.3%. Revenue narrowly topped the $1.05B consensus. Management tone was confident and guidance sentiment was raised, consistent with the prior quarter's direction but at a materially faster growth rate.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year 2026 net sales and adjusted EBITDA margin guidance. C&I sales are now expected to grow in the mid-to-high 20% range, accelerating from the prior 10% YoY pace. Residential growth remains projected in the mid-teens for 2026. Capex outlook is increasing, driven by the new Sussex, Wisconsin facility (production starting H2 2026) and continued investment in the Nebraska plant.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 net sales rose 12% YoY to $1.06B, a sharp recovery from Q4's 12% decline, with EPS of $1.80 beating the $1.33 consensus by 35%.
  • C&I sales surged 28% YoY, driven by data-center megawatt-generator demand plus the Allmand and Enercon acquisitions; C&I is now expected to grow in the mid-to-high 20% range in 2026.
  • A non-binding $600M notice to proceed from a hyperscale customer and backlog exceeding $700M provide revenue visibility through 2027.
  • Residential EBITDA margin expanded 500bps despite flat standby sales, reflecting the Generac Home re-organization and favorable pricing after winter storm Fern.
  • The Enercon acquisition (closed April 1, 2026) adds in-house enclosure and switchgear capabilities, solving packaging bottlenecks for large genset packages.
  • Supply-chain security has improved through exclusive multiyear engine agreements and multi-sourcing of alternators and cooling packages.

Management priorities

  • Scale data-center megawatt-generator capacity, with the new Sussex, Wisconsin facility beginning production in H2 2026.
  • Convert hyperscaler pilot programs into long-term supply agreements, building on the $600M notice to proceed.
  • Expand the product line to 3.2-4 MW generators to become a full-line provider for data-center backup power.
  • Integrate Enercon's enclosure and switchgear business into the C&I segment to enhance margin profile.
  • Scale domestic production of Power Micro micro-inverters and Power Cell storage solutions.
  • Pursue additional capacity additions through greenfield sites or further M&A.

Related earnings events

Industrials

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-31T16:02:30.607954+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-31T16:02:30.605166+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.