Gilead Sciences, Inc. · GILD · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Gilead: HIV growth and Yeztugo momentum support a broader pipeline

The latest analysis supports a cautiously constructive view of Gilead’s growth setup: resilient HIV demand, early Yeztugo coverage and Livdelzi momentum are tangible supports, while policy headwinds and execution-dependent pipeline opportunities keep the longer-term case conditional.

Reported After market closeNASDAQHealthcare $179.47B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.47 Consensus $2.13
EPS surprise +16.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $7.77B Consensus $7.45B
Revenue surprise +4.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +1.1% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +0.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.8% Up to 20 sessions
GILDSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis adds 75% Yeztugo payer coverage, more explicit 2026 launch and regulatory milestones, and a quantified Medicare Part D headwind. The underlying narrative remains constructive, but uptake, formulary and execution risks remain central.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year HIV revenue growth guidance to approximately 5%, despite a stated $900 million Medicare Part D redesign headwind.

Key takeaways

  • Yeztugo reached 75% payer coverage three months ahead of schedule, supporting the company’s stated 2026 growth outlook.
  • HIV franchise momentum remained the central growth driver, while Livdelzi surpassed $100 million in quarterly sales.
  • Pipeline milestones in bulevirtide, Trodelvy and ARTISTRY add potential catalysts, but depend on regulatory and launch execution.
  • The quarter extended the prior period’s constructive setup: strong Yeztugo rollout and raised HIV expectations, with policy and uptake risks still present.

Management priorities

  • Expand Yeztugo payer coverage and manage launch inventory.
  • Advance ARTISTRY and cell-therapy programs.
  • Pursue regulatory and commercial progress for bulevirtide and first-line Trodelvy.
  • Maintain expense discipline while investing in the pipeline.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GILD EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.76 Q4 '23 actual $1.72, miss Q1 '24 estimate $-1.49 Q1 '24 actual $-1.32, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.61 Q2 '24 actual $2.01, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.53 Q3 '24 actual $2.02, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.96 Q2 '25 actual $2.01, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.13 Q3 '25 actual $2.47, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.81 Q4 '25 actual $1.86, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.91 Q1 '26 actual $2.03, beat Q2 '26 estimate $-7.25 Q2 '26 actual $-6.75, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.12 Q4 '26 estimate $2.25 Q1 '27 estimate $2.12
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy58 ratings
Bullish3967.3%
Neutral1831.0%
Bearish11.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$144.74Current
$54Low
$122.13Average
$180High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
HSBC Buy BuyMaintainSep 10, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainAug 5, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainAug 5, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 5, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 29, 2026
Show 53 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $144.74. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
HSBCMorten Herholdt$175$145.65 +20.9%Sep 10, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$150$132.76 +3.6%Aug 5, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$123$135.25 -15.0%Aug 5, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$145$134.32 +0.2%Jul 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$165$131.23 +14.0%Jul 27, 2026
See 100 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Gilead Sciences, Inc. is a global biopharmaceutical enterprise, with operations spanning the United States, Europe, and numerous international markets. Its core mission involves discovering, developing, and commercializing innovative medications to address critical health needs. The company's extensive product portfolio encompasses treatments for a variety of severe conditions. For HIV/AIDS, it supplies key therapies such as Biktarvy, Genvoya, Descovy, Odefsey, Truvada, Complera/Eviplera, Stribild, and Atripla. In response to the 2019 coronavirus pandemic, Gilead provides Veklury, an injectable drug for intravenous administration. Its offerings for liver diseases include Epclusa, Harvoni, Vosevi, Vemlidy, and Viread.…

Historical context

All GILD earnings

Healthcare peers this season

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CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
COO The Cooper Companies, Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +2.7% -14.7% CooperCompanies beats expectations as inventory reduction weighs on vision revenue
MDT Medtronic plc FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +4.3% +1.5% Medtronic raises FY27 outlook as growth broadens across platforms

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T04:00:42.975890+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T04:00:42.972842+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.