GE Aerospace · GE · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

GE Aerospace raises outlook as services demand and backlog strengthen

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view of GE Aerospace's trajectory: commercial-services demand, a large backlog, installed-base growth, and operational investment support earnings growth, while execution, inflation, tariffs, seasonality, and fleet-retirement assumptions could temper the path.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $321.19B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.66 Consensus $1.43
EPS surprise +16.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $11.02B Consensus $9.55B
Revenue surprise +15.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.2% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move -2.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.6% Up to 20 sessions
GESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis is more constructive than the prior quarter: guidance was raised, the longer-term profit and free-cash-flow outlook improved, and the backlog and capacity-expansion plans strengthened the growth case. Risks shifted toward monitoring execution against higher targets, supply-chain inflation, tariffs, and second-half seasonality.

Guidance delta

Management raised 2025 guidance and lifted the 2028 profit and free-cash-flow outlook, according to the supplied transcript analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 performance was led by strong commercial-services demand and higher engine deliveries.
  • Management cited a record backlog and a larger installed base as support for the longer-term outlook.
  • Operational initiatives include FLIGHT DECK, AI-enabled inspection, and expanded MRO capacity.
  • Supply-chain tightness, tariffs, seasonality, and legacy-fleet retirements remain key watch items.

Management priorities

  • Expand internal and external capacity by roughly 40% by the end of the decade.
  • Ramp LEAP deliveries and aftermarket services as the installed base grows.
  • Continue durability-kit and high-pressure-turbine-blade upgrades across major engine programs.
  • Invest more than $1 billion in MRO, component-repair facilities, and test infrastructure.
  • Advance the RISE open-fan program and use AI tools to improve inspection and turnaround times.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GE REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $17B Q4 '23 actual $19B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $15B Q1 '24 actual $16B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $8B Q2 '24 actual $9B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $9B Q3 '24 actual $10B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $10B Q2 '25 actual $11B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $10B Q3 '25 actual $12B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $11B Q4 '25 actual $12B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $11B Q1 '26 actual $12B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $12B Q2 '26 actual $13B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $13B Q4 '26 estimate $13B Q1 '27 estimate $13B Q2 '27 estimate $14B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy34 ratings
Bullish2367.6%
Neutral1132.4%
Bearish00.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$309.56Current
$55Low
$224.45Average
$455High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 30, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainSep 23, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 23, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 20, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 17, 2026
Show 30 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $309.56. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$435$321.4 +40.5%Sep 23, 2026
Melius ResearchAnalyst unavailable$350$323.66 +13.1%Sep 14, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$450$361.52 +45.4%Jul 27, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$421$341.19 +36.0%Jul 23, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$390$348.83 +26.0%Jul 20, 2026
See 65 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Based in Evendale, Ohio, GE Aerospace is a prominent American aviation enterprise with roots tracing back to its 1878 founding by Thomas Alva Edison. The company specializes in manufacturing and supplying jet and turboprop engines, along with integrated systems, for an extensive range of aircraft, including those in commercial, military, business, and general aviation use. Its robust brand lineup features Avio Aero, Unison, GE Additive, and Dowty Propellers. GE Aerospace organizes its activities into two core segments: Commercial Engines & Services, and Defense & Propulsion Technologies. The Commercial Engines & Services division oversees the design, development, production, and maintenance of jet engines for commercial airframes, business aviation, and aeroderivative applications. Meanwhile, the Defense & Propulsion Technologies segment is dedicated to providing vital engines and critical systems for defense-related aerospace needs.

Historical context

All GE earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-04T18:00:42.680253+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-04T18:00:42.677186+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.