Futu Holdings Limited · FUTU · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Futu pairs strong 2025 growth with AI, crypto and bank expansion

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: strong client and asset growth, maintained account guidance, and product expansion provide evidence for continued momentum, while crypto licensing, market volatility, competition and execution remain material constraints.

Reported Before market openNASDAQFinancial Services $14.85B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.07 Consensus $2.88
EPS surprise +6.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $827.1M Consensus $802.9M
Revenue surprise +3.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -6.3% Event window
SPY move -1.5% Same window
Abnormal move -4.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.0% Up to 20 sessions
FUTUSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the supplied current analysis adds a maintained 2026 target of 800,000 net new funded accounts, high-single-digit to low-teen crypto penetration across key markets, a natural-language quantitative-strategy feature, and AI-powered anti-money-laundering and fraud detection for Airstar Bank.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook and set a 2026 target of 800,000 net new funded accounts, while crypto expansion remains subject to licensing.

Key takeaways

  • Management reported strong 2025 growth, with revenue up 68% year over year and client assets at HKD 1.23 trillion.
  • Futu added 950,000 funded accounts in 2025 and maintained a 2026 target of 800,000 net new funded accounts.
  • AI and crypto are central product priorities, including natural-language quantitative strategies and expanded crypto services.
  • Airstar Bank is being developed as a broader wealth-management platform, including mutual funds and insurance.
  • Net asset inflows remained strong despite market volatility and mark-to-market losses in Hong Kong stocks.

Management priorities

  • Expand client acquisition across Hong Kong, Malaysia, Japan and a new Asian market.
  • Roll out additional AI tools, including open API access and broader asset-class coverage.
  • Launch full crypto services pending licensing and expand coverage in Singapore and the United States.
  • Add wealth-management products through Airstar Bank, including mutual funds and insurance.
  • Continue strengthening compliance, anti-money-laundering and fraud-detection capabilities.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FUTU REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '23 estimate $323M Q3 '23 actual $339M, beat Q4 '23 estimate $332M Q4 '23 actual $304M, miss Q1 '24 estimate $323M Q1 '24 actual $331M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $45M Q2 '24 actual $401M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $600M Q2 '25 actual $677M, beat Q3 '25 estimate $789M Q3 '25 actual $823M, beat Q4 '25 estimate $803M Q4 '25 actual $827M, beat Q1 '26 estimate $761M Q1 '26 actual $747M, miss Q2 '26 estimate $786M Q2 '26 actual $918M, beat Q3 '26 estimate $826M Q4 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '27 estimate $6B Q2 '27 estimate $7B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy12 ratings
Bullish758.3%
Neutral433.3%
Bearish18.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$102.16Current
$27Low
$126.25Average
$236High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 26, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainMar 16, 2026
Citigroup Buy NeutralUpgradeNov 21, 2025
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 21, 2025
UBS Buy BuyMaintainMar 17, 2025
Show 7 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $102.16. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesZoey Zong$170.5$104.5 +66.9%May 28, 2026
Goldman SachsShuo Yang$102.13$89.76 -0.0%May 25, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$205$154.85 +100.7%May 4, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$225$133.94 +120.3%Mar 27, 2026
Goldman SachsShuo Yang$213.39$162.57 +108.9%Feb 2, 2026
See 12 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Futu Holdings Limited is a global provider of digital brokerage services for securities and the distribution of wealth management products, with operations based in Hong Kong. The company's primary offerings include a full spectrum of online financial services delivered through its proprietary digital platforms, Futubull and Moomoo. These services cover brokerage for trading securities and derivatives, margin lending, and the distribution of investment funds. Beyond trading, Futu also supplies financial market data and analytical information. Its "Money Plus" brand, integrated into the Futubull and Moomoo platforms, grants clients access to a diverse array of online wealth management products, such as mutual funds, private funds, bonds, structured products, and other investment vehicles. A key component of its ecosystem is the "NiuNiu Community," an interactive online forum where users and clients can freely share insights, pose questions, and discuss financial ideas. Futu Holdings Limited was established in 2007 and is headquartered in Admiralty, Hong Kong.

Historical context

All FUTU earnings

Financial Services peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-02T16:16:10.906715+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-02T16:16:10.903917+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.