Futu Holdings Limited · FUTU · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Futu pairs strong growth with higher acquisition and regulatory risks

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating trajectory: strong client, revenue and margin growth, a broad product pipeline and raised guidance. The thesis is conditional on Futu controlling acquisition and G&A costs, securing relevant licenses and sustaining trading activity.

Reported Before market openNASDAQFinancial Services $13.91B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $13.30
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $3.85B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -3.8% Event window
SPY move -1.3% Same window
Abnormal move -2.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -30.4% Up to 20 sessions
FUTUSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, Futu's paying-client base exceeded 2.4 million, revenue growth accelerated to 87% year over year, gross margin reached 82.5%, and guidance sentiment moved from maintained to raised. The current analysis also highlights U.S. margin trading, AI integration, crypto expansion and structured products, alongside higher CAC and G&A concerns.

Guidance delta

Raised versus the prior quarter; management's 2025 plan includes 800,000 new paying clients and continued asset inflows.

Key takeaways

  • Paying clients exceeded 2.4 million, up 41% year over year, with 215,000 added in Q4.
  • Revenue rose 87% year over year to HK$4.4 billion, while gross margin expanded to 82.5%.
  • Product expansion spans U.S. margin trading, options, crypto and AI-powered analysis.
  • The main watchpoints are acquisition costs, G&A growth, licensing and market sensitivity.

Management priorities

  • Roll out additional crypto trading pairs and launch crypto trading in the U.S.
  • Expand AI-driven features, including stock synthesis and automated announcement analysis.
  • Add equity derivatives, structured notes and wealth-management products.
  • Continue product iteration with more than 200 app updates and new feature releases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FUTU EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $7.48 Q4 '23 actual $0.81, miss Q1 '24 estimate $6.77 Q1 '24 actual $0.95, miss Q2 '24 estimate $1.03 Q2 '24 actual $1.11, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.13 Q2 '25 actual $2.32, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.06 Q3 '25 actual $2.93, miss Q4 '25 estimate $2.88 Q4 '25 actual $3.07, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.89 Q1 '26 actual $0.77, miss Q2 '26 estimate $2.98 Q2 '26 actual $3.33, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.27 Q4 '26 estimate $24.29 Q1 '27 estimate $26.54 Q2 '27 estimate $30.80
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy12 ratings
Bullish758.3%
Neutral433.3%
Bearish18.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$99.19Current
$27Low
$126.25Average
$236High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 26, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainMar 16, 2026
Citigroup Buy NeutralUpgradeNov 21, 2025
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 21, 2025
UBS Buy BuyMaintainMar 17, 2025
CLSA Outperform UnderperformUpgradeMar 18, 2024
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight UnderweightUpgradeJan 4, 2024
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainNov 24, 2023
Truist Securities Underperform UnderperformMaintainMay 25, 2023
Credit Suisse Neutral OutperformDowngradeDec 16, 2022
BOCOM International Buy NeutralUpgradeAug 2, 2021
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 14, 2021
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $99.19. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesZoey Zong$170.5$104.5 +71.9%May 28, 2026
Goldman SachsShuo Yang$102.13$89.76 +3.0%May 25, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$205$154.85 +106.7%May 4, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$225$133.94 +126.8%Mar 27, 2026
Goldman SachsShuo Yang$213.39$162.57 +115.1%Feb 2, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$236$165.9 +137.9%Nov 20, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$232$190.64 +133.9%Aug 22, 2025
JefferiesZoey Zong$109.2$58.24 +10.1%Nov 19, 2024
Morgan StanleyChiyao Huang$115$89.08 +15.9%Nov 18, 2024
Deutsche BankJohnny Xie$118.4$98.75 +19.4%Nov 11, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesEmma Xu$108$96.25 +8.9%Oct 16, 2024
CitigroupJudy Zhang$79$62.67 -20.4%Aug 22, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesEmma Xu$80.2$59.71 -19.1%Aug 21, 2024
Morgan StanleyChiyao Huang$70$76.91 -29.4%May 29, 2024
CLSAHu Shen$65$54.25 -34.5%Mar 18, 2024
US Tiger SecuritiesEmma Xu$27$40.65 -72.8%Dec 30, 2022
DaiwaLeon Qi$64$39.88 -35.5%Dec 30, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Futu Holdings Limited is a global provider of digital brokerage services for securities and the distribution of wealth management products, with operations based in Hong Kong. The company's primary offerings include a full spectrum of online financial services delivered through its proprietary digital platforms, Futubull and Moomoo. These services cover brokerage for trading securities and derivatives, margin lending, and the distribution of investment funds. Beyond trading, Futu also supplies financial market data and analytical information. Its "Money Plus" brand, integrated into the Futubull and Moomoo platforms, grants clients access to a diverse array of online wealth management products, such as mutual funds, private funds, bonds, structured products, and other investment vehicles. A key component of its ecosystem is the "NiuNiu Community," an interactive online forum where users and clients can freely share insights, pose questions, and discuss financial ideas. Futu Holdings Limited was established in 2007 and is headquartered in Admiralty, Hong Kong.

Historical context

All FUTU earnings

Financial Services peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-02-27T00:01:03.097539+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T23:50:41.821812+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T23:50:41.819009+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.