Fortive Corporation · FTV · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Fortive leans on recurring revenue as tariffs and demand weigh

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive post-spin thesis: recurring revenue, software, innovation, and disciplined capital allocation provide operating support, but tariff exposure and uneven government and healthcare demand limit visibility.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $17.07B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.58 Consensus $0.58
EPS surprise -0.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.52B Consensus $1.01B
Revenue surprise +49.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.5% Event window
SPY move -0.1% Same window
Abnormal move -2.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.2% Up to 20 sessions
FTVSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Fortive completed the Ralliant spin-off ahead of schedule and described a post-spin business with about 50% recurring revenue. The company maintained full-year adjusted EPS guidance while emphasizing tariff uncertainty, government spending pressure, and healthcare reimbursement changes as key constraints.

Guidance delta

Maintained full-year adjusted EPS guidance of $2.50-$2.60; no change was identified in the supplied analysis.

Key takeaways

  • The Ralliant spin-off is complete, leaving Fortive with a simpler structure and about 50% recurring revenue.
  • Management highlighted recurring-revenue growth, software and AI enhancements, and disciplined capital allocation as the post-spin growth framework.
  • Tariff uncertainty, constrained government spending, healthcare reimbursement changes, and demand volatility remain the main near-term risks.

Management priorities

  • Execute the Fortive Accelerated strategy through innovation, commercial execution, and recurring-revenue growth.
  • Pursue accretive bolt-on acquisitions with financial and strategic discipline.
  • Use cash flow for leverage reduction, share repurchases, dividends, and selected M&A.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FTV EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.93 Q4 '23 actual $0.98, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.80 Q1 '24 actual $0.83, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.92 Q2 '24 actual $0.93, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.93 Q3 '24 actual $0.97, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.58 Q2 '25 actual $0.58, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.57 Q3 '25 actual $0.68, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.84 Q4 '25 actual $0.90, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.64 Q1 '26 actual $0.70, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.71 Q2 '26 actual $0.74, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.70 Q4 '26 estimate $0.87 Q1 '27 estimate $0.75 Q2 '27 estimate $0.79
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold30 ratings
Bullish1136.7%
Neutral1756.7%
Bearish26.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$56.05Current
$50Low
$71.28Average
$90High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 8, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainOct 5, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 19, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJun 3, 2026
JP Morgan Underweight UnderweightMaintainMay 12, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMay 4, 2026
Show 25 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $56.05. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$63$57.8 +12.4%Oct 5, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$67$61.8 +19.5%Jul 2, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$59$60.59 +5.3%Jun 3, 2026
Argus ResearchJohn Eade$68$60.79 +21.3%May 11, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$61$60.73 +8.8%May 4, 2026
See 46 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Fortive Corporation is a global industrial technology company that specializes in the conception, development, manufacturing, marketing, and servicing of sophisticated professional and engineered products, as well as software platforms and associated services. Its Intelligent Operating Solutions division aims to boost efficiency and safety in operations. This segment delivers a variety of offerings, including advanced tools for ensuring equipment reliability, comprehensive enterprise software for managing environmental, health, safety, and quality (EHSQ) compliance, and specialized software for the entire lifecycle of facilities and assets. It also provides solutions for pre-construction planning and procurement, robust professional testing instruments, precise calibration tools for electrical, pressure, and temperature measurements, and portable devices for gas detection.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-08T13:50:42.131751+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-08T13:50:42.128902+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-08. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.