Fortinet, Inc. · FTNT · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Fortinet’s SASE momentum is strong, but services remain the key watchpoint

The current analysis provides evidence for resilient demand through strong Unified SASE, SecOps, and FortiSASE growth, but it does not establish an unqualified one-year growth case. The main counterweights are nine consecutive quarters of services revenue decline, maintained rather than raised guidance, and Q4 revenue guidance below street expectations.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $132.77B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.74 Consensus $0.63
EPS surprise +17.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.72B Consensus $1.70B
Revenue surprise +1.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -6.3% Event window
SPY move -1.1% Same window
Abnormal move -5.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.9% Up to 20 sessions
FTNTSPY benchmark

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What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the company shifted from raised guidance and broad billings strength to maintained guidance with a modestly below-street Q4 revenue outlook. At the same time, FortiSASE billing growth accelerated to more than 100% year over year, operating margin reached a record 37%, and management added emphasis on Secure AI data centers, FortiASIC, and services recovery in H2 2026.

Guidance delta

Guidance was maintained. Q4 guidance calls for 12% revenue growth, modestly below street expectations; management still targets a Rule of 45 trajectory and expects services revenue to rebound in H2 2026.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 billings grew 14% and operating margin reached a record 37%.
  • FortiSASE billings grew more than 100% year over year, with adoption among large enterprises reaching 15%, up 55% year over year.
  • Management highlighted AI-driven security, Secure AI data centers, FortiASIC performance, and sovereign SASE as growth drivers.
  • Services revenue has declined for nine consecutive quarters and is expected to improve in the second half of 2026.
  • The Q4 revenue outlook is modestly below street expectations, tempering an otherwise confident update.

Management priorities

  • Expand FortiSASE, Unified SASE, SecOps, and AI-driven security offerings.
  • Launch FortiOS 8.0 and a new MPA ASIC early next year.
  • Expand the Secure AI data center portfolio and global cloud delivery infrastructure.
  • Increase sales capacity to sustain Rule of 45 targets.
  • Improve services revenue and attach rates as product billings translate into services.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FTNT REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1B Q4 '23 actual $1B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1B Q1 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1B Q2 '24 actual $1B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold67 ratings
Bullish2841.8%
Neutral3349.2%
Bearish69.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$180.95Current
$55Low
$112.87Average
$203High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Bernstein Market Perform Market PerformMaintainSep 17, 2026
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 31, 2026
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainJul 30, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainJul 30, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Show 63 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $180.95. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$145$171.77 -19.9%Sep 17, 2026
WedbushAnalyst unavailable$155$158.85 -14.3%Sep 10, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$160$156.4 -11.6%Jul 31, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$185$156.05 +2.2%Jul 30, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$165$156.26 -8.8%Jul 30, 2026
See 119 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Fortinet, Inc. specializes in delivering extensive, unified, and automated cybersecurity solutions to a global clientele, encompassing the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. At its core, the company offers FortiGate, a powerful platform combining hardware and software licenses that provides a comprehensive suite of security and networking functionalities. This includes firewall capabilities, intrusion prevention, anti-malware defense, virtual private network (VPN) services, application control, web filtering, anti-spam measures, and wide area network (WAN) acceleration. Beyond its flagship product, Fortinet provides a diverse portfolio of specialized security tools. These range from FortiSwitch for secure network switching and FortiAP for robust wireless connectivity, to FortiExtender, a versatile hardware appliance. For centralized network visibility and control, clients utilize FortiAnalyzer for logging, analysis, and reporting, and FortiManager for scalable administration of FortiGate devices.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-04T00:20:43.493898+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-04T00:20:43.491160+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.