Fortinet, Inc. · FTNT · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Fortinet: Strong execution, with refresh timing and tariffs in focus

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: resilient security demand and expansion into AI and SASE may support continued growth, while refresh timing, tariffs, supply-chain conditions, and integration execution remain material tests.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $132.06B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.60
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $1.59B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +2.8% Event window
SPY move -0.9% Same window
Abnormal move +3.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -10.8% Up to 20 sessions
FTNTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior analysis, the emphasis shifted from a raised outlook and anticipated refresh cycle toward maintained guidance, stronger focus on AI security and acquisition integration, and clearer near-term concerns around billings, tariffs, and execution.

Guidance delta

Management's outlook was maintained versus the prior analysis, with continued growth plans but caution around near-term billings and tariff exposure.

Key takeaways

  • Management described strong execution and sustained demand across security software, services, and hardware.
  • The strategy is broadening through AI security features, SASE, and the integration of recent acquisitions.
  • The main debate is whether refresh-driven demand and newer offerings can offset tariff, supply-chain, and competitive risks.

Management priorities

  • Expand AI-driven security and threat-intelligence services.
  • Scale unified SaaS and SASE offerings across enterprise customers.
  • Use refresh campaigns, sales capacity, and channel partnerships to support growth.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FTNT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.43 Q4 '23 actual $0.51, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.38 Q1 '24 actual $0.43, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.41 Q2 '24 actual $0.57, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.52 Q3 '24 actual $0.63, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.59 Q2 '25 actual $0.64, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.63 Q3 '25 actual $0.74, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.74 Q4 '25 actual $0.81, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.62 Q1 '26 actual $0.82, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.75 Q2 '26 actual $0.90, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.86 Q4 '26 estimate $0.83 Q1 '27 estimate $0.79
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold67 ratings
Bullish2841.8%
Neutral3349.2%
Bearish69.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$179.99Current
$55Low
$120.23Average
$210High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Underweight UnderweightMaintainOct 23, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 20, 2026
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainOct 15, 2026
Mizuho Underperform UnderperformMaintainOct 15, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 13, 2026
Show 63 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $179.99. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Arete ResearchAnalyst unavailable$117$170.93 -35.0%Oct 21, 2026
Truist FinancialJunaid Siddiqui$200$171.47 +11.1%Oct 20, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$200$180.16 +11.1%Oct 15, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$160$184.05 -11.1%Oct 15, 2026
RBC CapitalDan Bergstrom$205$195.01 +13.9%Oct 12, 2026
See 125 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Fortinet, Inc. specializes in delivering extensive, unified, and automated cybersecurity solutions to a global clientele, encompassing the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. At its core, the company offers FortiGate, a powerful platform combining hardware and software licenses that provides a comprehensive suite of security and networking functionalities. This includes firewall capabilities, intrusion prevention, anti-malware defense, virtual private network (VPN) services, application control, web filtering, anti-spam measures, and wide area network (WAN) acceleration. Beyond its flagship product, Fortinet provides a diverse portfolio of specialized security tools. These range from FortiSwitch for secure network switching and FortiAP for robust wireless connectivity, to FortiExtender, a versatile hardware appliance. For centralized network visibility and control, clients utilize FortiAnalyzer for logging, analysis, and reporting, and FortiManager for scalable administration of FortiGate devices.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-23T00:02:36.799981+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T03:30:43.947945+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T03:30:43.945051+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.