Fabrinet · FN · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q2 2026

Fabrinet beats with record Q3 revenue, EPS as optical demand surges

Management delivered a record quarter that reconfirms durable growth: Q3 revenue of $1.214 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $3.72 both beat guidance, led by a 35% rise in optical communications and a 90% YoY jump in data-center interconnect modules. The stock fell roughly 8% the session after the report even as the numbers beat, consistent with the market digesting datacom supply constraints, then drifted about 10% higher. The binding constraint is supply, not demand: a capacity roadmap adding roughly $8.5 billion of revenue capacity (Building 10, Pinehurst conversion, new Thailand facilities), new hyperscale and merchant transceiver programs, and an investment in Raytec to bolster co-packaged optics support management's view of continued acceleration into fiscal 2027.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $14.27B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.72 Consensus $3.56
EPS surprise +4.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.21B Consensus $1.19B
Revenue surprise +2.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -8.0% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move -8.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +9.8% Up to 20 sessions
FNSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Fabrinet posted record Q3 results with revenue and EPS above guidance. Q4 guidance was raised to $1.25-1.29 billion. The company announced new hyperscale and merchant transceiver programs, a minority investment in Raytec Semiconductor to strengthen co-packaged optics, and significant capacity expansion via Building 10 and a new Thailand facility, while datacom revenue remained constrained by component shortages.

Guidance delta

Raised. Management guided Q4 revenue to $1.25-1.29 billion and expressed confidence that new hyperscale, merchant and CPO programs would sustain acceleration into fiscal 2027, up from the $1.15-1.20 billion guided for the reported quarter.

Key takeaways

  • Record Q3 revenue of $1.214 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $3.72 both beat guidance.
  • Optical Communications rose 35% year over year, with data-center interconnect modules up 90% YoY.
  • Datacom demand outpaces supply due to component shortages (lasers, memory, ASICs).
  • Management raised Q4 guidance to $1.25-1.29 billion of revenue.
  • New hyperscale and merchant transceiver programs plus a CPO investment position the company for fiscal 2027.

Management priorities

  • Ramp two datacom transceiver programs to hyperscalers starting Q4
  • Qualify and commence merchant transceiver programs in H2 2027
  • Advance co-packaged optics program with three customer projects
  • Complete Building 10 floors by year-end and commission the new Thailand factory
  • Continue investment in Raytec and expand silicon-photonic packaging capabilities

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FN EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2.03 Q2 '24 actual $2.08, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.11 Q3 '24 actual $2.39, beat Q4 '24 estimate $2.25 Q4 '24 actual $2.41, beat Q1 '25 estimate $2.38 Q1 '25 actual $2.39, match Q4 '25 estimate $2.64 Q4 '25 actual $2.65, match Q1 '26 estimate $2.82 Q1 '26 actual $2.92, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.26 Q2 '26 actual $3.36, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.56 Q3 '26 actual $3.72, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.81 Q1 '27 estimate $3.98 Q2 '27 estimate $4.21

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy24 ratings
Bullish1875.0%
Neutral625.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$417.39Current
$100Low
$348.67Average
$800High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainAug 18, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 18, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 18, 2026
B. Riley Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 3, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainJan 22, 2026
Northland Capital Markets Outperform Market PerformUpgradeMar 21, 2024
Lake Street Buy BuyMaintainAug 22, 2023
HC Wainwright & Co. Buy BuyMaintainAug 22, 2023
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainMar 1, 2023
Loop Capital Buy BuyMaintainApr 26, 2022
MKM Partners Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 17, 2021
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainFeb 2, 2021
B. Riley FBR Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 2, 2021
Northland Outperform Market PerformUpgradeSep 30, 2019
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2019
TD Securities Buy HoldUpgradeFeb 27, 2019
William O'Neil & Co Buy BuyMaintainNov 9, 2018
B. Riley Buy BuyMaintainNov 7, 2017
PiperJaffray Overweight OverweightMaintainJan 4, 2016
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainJan 4, 2016
Northland Securities Outperform OutperformMaintainNov 3, 2015
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainMay 4, 2015
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 8, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $417.39. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$739$598.58 +77.1%Aug 18, 2026
BarclaysTim Long$702$717.8 +68.2%May 5, 2026
Northland SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$800$684.33 +91.7%Apr 20, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$540$457.98 +29.4%Feb 4, 2026
BarclaysTim Long$548$499.61 +31.3%Feb 3, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$570$488.36 +36.6%Jan 22, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$537$489 +28.7%Jan 14, 2026
Northland SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$600$479.51 +43.8%Dec 22, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$499$459.6 +19.6%Nov 5, 2025
Northland SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$550$473.16 +31.8%Nov 4, 2025
BarclaysTim Long$329$327.12 -21.2%Aug 19, 2025
BarclaysGeorge Wang$234$220.9 -43.9%May 6, 2025
NeedhamRyan Koontz$280$230.1 -32.9%Nov 5, 2024
Rosenblatt SecuritiesMike Genovese$260$188.83 -37.7%May 7, 2024
NeedhamAlex Henderson$220$197.14 -47.3%Mar 22, 2024
Northland SecuritiesTim Savageaux$220$206.8 -47.3%Mar 21, 2024
Lake StreetTroy Jensen$130$117.8 -68.9%Aug 21, 2023
Northland SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$155$121.61 -62.9%Feb 7, 2023
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$150$132.06 -64.1%Feb 7, 2023
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$156$127.61 -62.6%Dec 20, 2022
Loop Capital MarketsFahad Najam$129$100.73 -69.1%Apr 28, 2022
B.Riley FinancialDave Kang$100$101.47 -76.0%Feb 2, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Fabrinet provides optical packaging and precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing services in North America, the Asia-Pacific, and Europe. The company offers a range of advanced optical and electro-mechanical capabilities in the manufacturing process, including process design and engineering, supply chain management, manufacturing, printed circuit board assembly, packaging, integration, final assembly, and testing. Its products include switching products, including reconfigurable optical add-drop multiplexers, optical amplifiers, modulators, and other optical components and modules that enable network managers to route voice, video, and data communications traffic through fiber optic cables at various wavelengths, speeds, and over various distances.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-26T01:21:01.283727+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-26T01:21:01.280889+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-26. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.