Flowserve Corporation · FLS · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Flowserve raises EPS outlook as backlog reaches a record $3.5 billion

Flowserve's Q3 supports a constructive operating picture: bookings, margins and backlog improved, and management raised the low end of FY26 EPS guidance. The counterevidence is meaningful: Middle East disruption, deferred maintenance and Trillium integration remain execution risks.

Reported After market closeNYSEIndustrials $10.21B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.07 Consensus $0.98
EPS surprise +9.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.24B Consensus $1.24B
Revenue surprise -0.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +11.9% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +12.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
FLSSPY benchmark

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What changed

Bookings rose 14% year over year, adjusted operating margin expanded to 16.5%, and backlog reached a record $3.5 billion, up 20% year over year. Management raised the low end of FY26 EPS guidance. The Middle East conflict created a $40 million sales headwind, with some projects delayed to 2027.

Guidance delta

Management raised the low end of FY26 EPS guidance; the supplied analysis does not provide the revised numerical range.

Key takeaways

  • Bookings reached $1.4 billion, supported by aftermarket and original equipment demand.
  • Adjusted operating margin expanded 170 basis points to 16.5%, while EPS grew 19%.
  • Record backlog of $3.5 billion provides visibility through 2027, though some regional projects moved out.
  • Aftermarket capture and commercial-excellence efforts are producing growth above the mid-single-digit target.
  • Energy security, nuclear power and data-center cooling were identified as growth drivers.

Management priorities

  • Improve aftermarket capture and booking-funnel conversion through commercial excellence.
  • Continue 80/20 portfolio simplification and roofline consolidation.
  • Integrate Trillium and realize expected margin synergies.
  • Pursue a 20% adjusted operating margin target by 2030.
  • Expand participation in energy, nuclear and data-center cooling opportunities.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FLS EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.61 Q4 '23 actual $0.68, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.47 Q1 '24 actual $0.58, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.63 Q2 '24 actual $0.73, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.67 Q3 '24 actual $0.62, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.78 Q2 '25 actual $0.91, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.80 Q3 '25 actual $0.90, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.94 Q4 '25 actual $1.11, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.82 Q1 '26 actual $0.85, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.86 Q2 '26 actual $0.95, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.98 Q3 '26 actual $1.07, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.31 Q1 '27 estimate $0.94 Q2 '27 estimate $1.10 Q3 '27 estimate $1.12
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold31 ratings
Bullish1341.9%
Neutral1754.9%
Bearish13.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$80.35Current
$33Low
$72.2Average
$94High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 15, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 14, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
TD Cowen Hold BuyDowngradeJun 24, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainApr 13, 2026
Show 26 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $80.35. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$85$70.2 +5.8%Oct 15, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$94$75.8 +17.0%Jul 31, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$93$75.32 +15.7%Jul 31, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$94$75.32 +17.0%Jul 31, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$82$75.32 +2.1%Jul 30, 2026
See 32 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Flowserve Corporation is a global enterprise that specializes in the conception, creation, distribution, and upkeep of industrial equipment crucial for managing fluid movement. The company extends its reach across the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and other international markets. Its operations are structured into two principal divisions: the Flowserve Pump Division (FPD) and the Flow Control Division (FCD). The FPD segment provides a diverse range of pumping solutions, encompassing both custom-engineered and pre-configured pumps and systems, mechanical seals, auxiliary components, and essential replacement parts and upgrades. This division also delivers comprehensive post-sales support, including installation and initial setup, provision of seal system spare parts, repairs, advanced diagnostic services, performance re-rating and enhancement solutions, retrofit initiatives, precision machining, and asset management programs.…

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-29T18:05:50.755802+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-30T01:23:13.979536+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-30T03:30:40.013161+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-30T03:30:40.009496+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.