Five Below, Inc. · FIVE · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Five Below: Q1 growth and raised guidance, with tariff pressure

The supplied analysis supports a constructive near-term operating picture: strong comparable-sales growth, new-store productivity, product innovation and raised sales guidance. The counterweight is that tariff costs, higher SG&A, pricing elasticity and execution risks still need to be managed before the growth case is durable.

Reported After market closeNASDAQConsumer Cyclical $12.32B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.86 Consensus $0.83
EPS surprise +3.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $970.5M Consensus $966.5M
Revenue surprise +0.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +5.6% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +6.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.0% Up to 20 sessions
FIVESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management moved from maintained to raised guidance and reported stronger operating momentum, including 7.1% comparable-sales growth and 55 new stores. The company also disclosed further China-sourcing reduction, SKU-level price adjustments and continued margin pressure from tariffs and higher SG&A.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year sales guidance, while noting that tariffs and higher SG&A continue to pressure margins.

Key takeaways

  • Management reported Q1 sales of $971 million, 7.1% comparable-sales growth and $0.86 adjusted EPS.
  • Management cited higher transactions, new product trends and 55 new-store openings as growth drivers.
  • The company reduced China-sourced goods by about 10 percentage points for the back half and used SKU-level price changes while keeping 80% of items at $5 or less.
  • Tariff mitigation is progressing, but tariff costs and higher SG&A continue to pressure margins.
  • The market reaction was positive relative to the benchmark, though the supplied analysis does not establish a causal explanation.

Management priorities

  • Continue aggressive store expansion, including about 30 net new stores in Q2.
  • Further reduce China sourcing and expand the domestic and Indian vendor base.
  • Maintain pricing discipline while preserving the low-price positioning.
  • Invest in labor, store processes and customer experience.
  • Expand creator-focused social media marketing and product storytelling.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FIVE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $0.24 Q3 '24 actual $0.26, beat Q4 '24 estimate $3.78 Q4 '24 actual $3.65, miss Q1 '25 estimate $0.63 Q1 '25 actual $0.60, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.54 Q2 '25 actual $0.54, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.83 Q1 '26 actual $0.86, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.62 Q2 '26 actual $0.81, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.25 Q3 '26 actual $0.68, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4.00 Q4 '26 actual $4.31, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1.77 Q1 '27 actual $2.22, beat Q2 '27 estimate $1.36 Q3 '27 estimate $1.13 Q4 '27 estimate $5.21 Q1 '28 estimate $2.05
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy48 ratings
Bullish3062.5%
Neutral1837.5%
Bearish00.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$222.72Current
$89Low
$243.76Average
$420High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 17, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 29, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainSep 4, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 3, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
Show 44 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $222.72. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$250$228 +12.2%Sep 29, 2026
Goldman SachsKate McShane$306$222.38 +37.4%Sep 25, 2026
Craig-HallumAnalyst unavailable$325$244.25 +45.9%Sep 3, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$297$241.65 +33.4%Sep 3, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$420$241.86 +88.6%Sep 3, 2026
See 129 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Five Below, Inc. operates as a prominent specialty discount retailer primarily serving the United States market. The company's diverse inventory spans a wide array of personal accessories, from fashionable novelty socks, sunglasses, and jewelry to scarves, gloves, hair accessories, and athletic apparel like tops, bottoms, and t-shirts. Shoppers can also find a comprehensive selection of beauty products, including nail polish, lip gloss, fragrances, and various branded cosmetics. For home and personal spaces, Five Below provides an assortment of items such as lamps, posters, picture frames, cozy fleece blankets, plush toys, pillows, candles, incense, and diverse lighting and novelty décor. This section also includes accent furniture and practical storage solutions. Athletic and recreational interests are covered with sports balls, team merchandise, and fitness essentials like hand weights, jump ropes, and gym balls.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-17T17:10:40.671808+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-17T17:10:40.668951+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-17. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.