Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. · FIS · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

FIS Beats Q1 Estimates, Holds Guidance, Drops 8.8% on AI Revenue Timing Concerns

FIS posted a clean Q1 beat -- EPS of $1.36 versus $1.29 estimated (+5.4%) and revenue of $3.30B versus $3.28B (+0.5%) -- with 6.5% pro forma revenue growth, a 39.6% adjusted EBITDA margin, and free cash flow more than doubling to $474M. The company maintained its full-year 2026 outlook (5.1-5.7% revenue growth, up to 110 bps margin expansion, $2.1B FCF target) and unveiled a co-development partnership with Anthropic to build FIS-owned AI agents for banking. Despite the beat, shares fell 8.8% on an abnormal basis with 2.0x normal volume. The negative reaction likely reflects the shift from raised guidance in the prior quarter to merely maintained guidance, combined with analyst questions about the revenue timing of the Anthropic partnership and softer loan-syndication activity in Capital Markets.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $24.20B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.36 Consensus $1.29
EPS surprise +5.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.29B Consensus $3.28B
Revenue surprise +0.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -8.0% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move -8.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -9.1% Up to 20 sessions
FISSPY benchmark

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What changed

Revenue grew 6.5% pro forma with recurring ACV up 24% year over year, led by Money Movement Hub, lending, and digital banking. Free cash flow doubled to $474M, representing 23% of the full-year $2.1B target in Q1 alone. Three new strategic initiatives were announced: (1) a co-development partnership with Anthropic to build FIS-owned AI agents, with BMO and Amalgamated Bank as design partners; (2) the Lyriq digital-asset platform; and (3) Project Keystone, a tokenized-deposit network with five U.S. banks. Full-year 2026 guidance was maintained rather than raised, despite the Q1 beat.

Guidance delta

Prior quarter (FY2025 results): guidance sentiment was raised, with a 2026 outlook for 30-31% revenue growth, margin expansion, and FCF exceeding $2B. Current quarter (Q1 2026): guidance sentiment is maintained (unchanged), with 2026 revenue growth projected at 5.1-5.7% and margin expansion of up to 110 bps. The shift from raised to maintained guidance, despite a Q1 beat on both EPS and revenue, appears to have contributed to the negative market reaction.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 beat on all metrics: EPS of $1.36 vs. $1.29 estimated (+5.4%) and revenue of $3.30B vs. $3.28B (+0.5%)
  • Pro forma revenue growth of 6.5% with a 39.6% adjusted EBITDA margin and free cash flow of $474M, more than doubling year over year
  • Recurring ACV grew 24% year over year, driven by Money Movement Hub, lending, and digital banking solutions
  • New Anthropic co-development partnership to build FIS-owned AI agents, with BMO and Amalgamated Bank as design partners
  • Lyriq digital-asset platform and Project Keystone tokenized-deposit network with five U.S. banks mark FIS's entry into digital-asset services
  • Full-year 2026 guidance maintained rather than raised: revenue growth 5.1-5.7%, margin expansion up to 110 bps, FCF target of $2.1B

Management priorities

  • Deploy the first financial-crimes AI agent in H2 2026, with broader agent rollout in 2027
  • Scale the Project Keystone tokenized-deposit network and expand to additional banks
  • Deliver $30-40M of cost synergies in 2026 and target $125M total by 2028
  • Achieve $45M of revenue synergies by 2028, primarily from cross-selling TSYS data and core capabilities
  • Continue investing in AI productivity tools such as Copilot to accelerate product development

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FIS EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.19 Q4 '23 actual $0.94, miss Q1 '24 estimate $0.96 Q1 '24 actual $1.10, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.23 Q2 '24 actual $1.36, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.29 Q3 '24 actual $1.40, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.36 Q2 '25 actual $1.36, match Q3 '25 estimate $1.48 Q3 '25 actual $1.51, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.69 Q4 '25 actual $1.68, match Q1 '26 estimate $1.29 Q1 '26 actual $1.36, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.47 Q2 '26 actual $1.48, match Q3 '26 estimate $1.60 Q4 '26 estimate $1.80 Q1 '27 estimate $1.48
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy35 ratings
Bullish2057.1%
Neutral1440.0%
Bearish12.9%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$37.05Current
$37Low
$85.77Average
$160High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainOct 23, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 16, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 16, 2026
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 13, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainOct 13, 2026
Show 31 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $37.06. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialMatthew Coad$37$38.29 -0.1%Oct 23, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldRamsey El-Assal$45$35.93 +21.4%Oct 16, 2026
National BankRamsey El-Assal$45$36.13 +21.4%Oct 16, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$44$34.26 +18.7%Oct 13, 2026
SusquehannaJames Friedman$37$34.26 -0.1%Oct 13, 2026
See 86 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. provides solutions to financial institutions, businesses, and developers worldwide. The company operates through Banking Solutions, Capital Market Solutions, and Corporate and Other segments. It provides core processing and ancillary applications; mobile and online banking; fraud, risk management, and compliance; card and retail payment; electronic funds transfer and network; wealth and retirement; and item processing and output solutions. The company also offers trading and assets, lending, leveraged and syndicated loan markets, and treasury and risk solutions. Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-06-01T17:26:26.660749+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-30T23:31:32.836333+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-30T23:31:32.833631+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-07-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.