First Horizon Corporation · FHN · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

First Horizon Holds Guidance as Deposit Discipline Supports Q1

The quarter supports a cautious version of the operating thesis: deposit pricing discipline, mortgage-warehouse activity, and countercyclical businesses can support performance, but the durability of PPNR growth remains dependent on rates, credit conditions, and macro uncertainty.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $11.11B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.39
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $823.7M
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.6% Event window
SPY move -2.2% Same window
Abnormal move +0.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +17.2% Up to 20 sessions
FHNSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, management again emphasized deposit pricing and countercyclical businesses, while the current analysis added a 9-basis-point NIM increase, lower expenses, and a $360 million Q1 repurchase. Full-year guidance remained unchanged, but tariff and recession uncertainty became more prominent risks.

Guidance delta

Management maintained full-year guidance despite greater macro uncertainty.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted deposit-cost discipline as the main support for a 9-basis-point NIM increase.
  • Mortgage warehouse lending and countercyclical fee businesses remain the primary growth levers in the supplied analysis.
  • Expenses declined and capital returned through a $360 million share repurchase in Q1.
  • The main debate is whether PPNR growth can persist if rate cuts, credit conditions, or tariff uncertainty worsen.

Management priorities

  • Maintain deposit pricing discipline and retain promotional deposits
  • Expand mortgage-warehouse balances with matched wholesale funding
  • Pursue new-to-bank deposit campaigns
  • Continue share repurchases using excess capital
  • Invest $100 million over three years in technology and operational upgrades

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FHN EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.34 Q1 '24 actual $0.35, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.37 Q2 '24 actual $0.36, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.42 Q2 '25 actual $0.45, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.45 Q3 '25 actual $0.51, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.46 Q4 '25 actual $0.52, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.50 Q1 '26 actual $0.53, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.52 Q2 '26 actual $0.54, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.52 Q3 '26 actual $0.53, match Q4 '26 estimate $0.54 Q1 '27 estimate $0.54 Q2 '27 estimate $0.57 Q3 '27 estimate $0.60
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold35 ratings
Bullish1542.9%
Neutral2057.1%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$23.44Previous close
$16Low
$24.96Average
$31High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainOct 19, 2026
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 16, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 16, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainOct 1, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 30, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainSep 22, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform Market PerformMaintainApr 16, 2026
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 16, 2026
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeApr 7, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 7, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainJan 16, 2026
Stephens & Co. Overweight OverweightMaintainJan 16, 2026
Baird Neutral OutperformDowngradeDec 11, 2025
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 10, 2025
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 17, 2025
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 26, 2024
Wedbush Neutral OutperformDowngradeSep 24, 2024
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainJul 3, 2024
Janney Montgomery Scott Neutral BuyDowngradeMar 1, 2022
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainDec 6, 2021
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainJul 21, 2020
Bank of America Buy NeutralUpgradeNov 5, 2019
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeNov 13, 2018
Keefe Bruyette & Woods Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 18, 2018
Hovde Group Outperform Market PerformUpgradeJun 29, 2018
PiperJaffray Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 9, 2018
FBR Capital Market Perform UnderperformUpgradeApr 21, 2015
Compass Point Buy BuyMaintainJan 21, 2014
Sandler O'Neill Hold BuyDowngradeOct 21, 2013
Piper Sandler Hold BuyDowngradeOct 21, 2013
Wunderlich Securities Hold BuyDowngradeSep 10, 2013
Wunderlich Hold BuyDowngradeSep 10, 2013
FIG Partners Market Perform OutperformDowngradeSep 26, 2012
Sterne Agee Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 12, 2012
Guggenheim Buy NeutralUpgradeMay 21, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $23.44. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$27$23.26 +15.2%Oct 16, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$31$23.06 +32.3%Oct 16, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$25$23.31 +6.7%Oct 9, 2026
Evercore ISIJohn Pancari$25$23.02 +6.7%Oct 1, 2026
Hovde GroupAnalyst unavailable$25$23.93 +6.7%Sep 17, 2026
Morgan StanleyRyan Kenny$30$24.94 +28.0%Sep 8, 2026
National BankRyan Kenny$30$24.94 +28.0%Sep 8, 2026
Wells FargoTerry McEvoy$28$25.46 +19.5%Aug 10, 2026
National BankPeter Winter$29$25.1 +23.7%Jul 16, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$27$25.73 +15.2%Jul 6, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$26$25.68 +10.9%Jul 6, 2026
Fundamental ResearchAnalyst unavailable$28.5$25.64 +21.6%Jul 1, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$28$25.64 +19.5%Jul 1, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$29$25.72 +23.7%Feb 4, 2026
National BankJanet Lee$27$24.32 +15.2%Jan 16, 2026
D.A. DavidsonPeter Winter$27$24.26 +15.2%Jan 16, 2026
StephensAnalyst unavailable$29$24.44 +23.7%Jan 16, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$30$24.44 +28.0%Jan 16, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$28$24.16 +19.5%Jan 12, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$27$24.75 +15.2%Jan 9, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$28$24.8 +19.5%Jan 6, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$27$24.38 +15.2%Jan 6, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$26$24.2 +10.9%Dec 18, 2025
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$28$23.72 +19.5%Dec 16, 2025
National BankBernard von Gizycki$28$23.71 +19.5%Dec 16, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$28$21.82 +19.5%Nov 11, 2025
Wells FargoTimur Braziler$23$20.85 -1.9%Oct 16, 2025
JefferiesDavid Chiaverini$25$20.85 +6.7%Oct 15, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$23$20.85 -1.9%Oct 15, 2025
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$25$20.44 +6.7%Oct 15, 2025
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$27$23.43 +15.2%Oct 10, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$29$22.98 +23.7%Oct 8, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$25$23.05 +6.7%Oct 7, 2025
Evercore ISIJohn Pancari$26$22.66 +10.9%Sep 30, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$25$22.85 +6.7%Sep 29, 2025
D.A. DavidsonPeter Winter$24$22.66 +2.4%Sep 25, 2025
Robert W. BairdBrennan Crowley$17$17.39 -27.5%Oct 17, 2024
RBC CapitalJon Arfstrom$20$17.39 -14.7%Oct 17, 2024
StephensRussell Gunther$20$17.39 -14.7%Oct 17, 2024
National BankBenjamin Gerlinger$20$17.39 -14.7%Oct 17, 2024
Evercore ISIJohn Pancari$18$14.92 -23.2%Oct 2, 2024
BarclaysJared Shaw$19$14.67 -18.9%Jun 24, 2024
StephensRussell Gunther$19$16 -18.9%May 22, 2024
Robert W. BairdBrennan Crowley$16$14.17 -31.7%Apr 18, 2024
National BankBenjamin Gerlinger$18.5$14.17 -21.1%Apr 18, 2024
RBC CapitalJon Arfstrom$18$15.15 -23.2%Apr 9, 2024
National BankBrady Gailey$18$14.73 -23.2%Apr 4, 2024
UBSBrody Preston$16$15.12 -31.7%Jan 24, 2024
J.P. MorganSteven Alexopoulos$20$17.26 -14.7%Jan 24, 2022
Morgan StanleyKen Zerbe$21$16.35 -10.4%Dec 6, 2021
Truist FinancialJennifer Demba$20$15.48 -14.7%Sep 3, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

First Horizon Corporation functions as the parent company of First Horizon Bank, offering a diverse range of financial services. Its operations are segmented into three core divisions: Regional Banking, Specialty Banking, and Corporate. The company provides standard banking services to consumers, businesses, financial institutions, and governmental bodies. Beyond core banking, it also underwrites eligible securities, such as fixed-income instruments, via its financial subsidiaries; engages in the sale of loans and derivatives; and provides advisory services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-02T00:05:04.828054+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-26T09:10:43.060773+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-26T09:10:43.058048+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-26. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.