FirstEnergy Corp. · FE · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

FirstEnergy raises EPS outlook as transmission and data-center demand expand

The quarter supports a constructive operating trajectory: management raised EPS guidance and described stronger transmission, data-center and generation investment opportunities. The thesis remains dependent on regulatory approvals, project execution and the durability of projected load growth.

Reported After market closeNYSEUtilities $25.08B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.83 Consensus $0.74
EPS surprise +12.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.15B Consensus $3.89B
Revenue surprise +6.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -1.6% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move -2.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.1% Up to 20 sessions
FESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, FirstEnergy raised full-year EPS guidance, increased its 2025 capital program by 10% to $5.5 billion, and provided a more expansive transmission and West Virginia generation outlook. Management also described materially higher projected data-center-driven peak load.

Guidance delta

Raised and narrowed full-year 2025 EPS guidance to $2.50-$2.56.

Key takeaways

  • Management raised and narrowed full-year 2025 EPS guidance to $2.50-$2.56.
  • Transmission capex is expected to grow 30% in the next five-year plan, with 18% annual rate-base growth.
  • Data-center load growth and West Virginia generation plans support the expanded investment outlook.
  • Strong cash flow and low-cost debt financing support the higher capital program.

Management priorities

  • Expand PJM transmission infrastructure for reliability and load growth
  • Advance West Virginia gas and solar generation projects
  • Pursue state rate-case recoveries and the Ohio multiyear rate plan
  • Develop and disclose the 2026-2030 capital investment plan

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.60 Q4 '23 actual $0.62, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.56 Q1 '24 actual $0.55, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.56 Q2 '24 actual $0.56, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.90 Q3 '24 actual $0.85, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.49 Q2 '25 actual $0.52, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.74 Q3 '25 actual $0.83, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.54 Q4 '25 actual $0.53, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.72 Q1 '26 actual $0.72, match Q2 '26 estimate $0.50 Q2 '26 actual $0.50, match Q3 '26 estimate $0.92 Q4 '26 estimate $0.60 Q1 '27 estimate $0.76
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold24 ratings
Bullish1145.8%
Neutral1354.2%
Bearish00.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$43.34Current
$41Low
$49.29Average
$56High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 11, 2026
TD Cowen Buy HoldUpgradeMay 15, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainApr 21, 2026
Show 20 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $43.34. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$54$48.71 +24.6%Jul 31, 2026
BarclaysNicholas Campanella$55$48.54 +26.9%Jul 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$52$47.66 +20.0%Jun 24, 2026
UBSWilliam Appicelli$51$46.87 +17.7%Jun 11, 2026
New StreetAnalyst unavailable$52$48.94 +20.0%Apr 21, 2026
See 38 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

FirstEnergy Corp. is an American utility company that, through its subsidiaries, provides comprehensive electricity services, encompassing generation, transmission, and distribution throughout the United States. Its operations are structured into Regulated Distribution and Regulated Transmission segments. The company leverages a diverse portfolio of power sources, operating facilities that produce electricity from coal, nuclear, hydroelectric, natural gas, wind, and solar technologies. Its vast infrastructure includes 24,074 circuit miles of overhead and underground transmission lines, complemented by an extensive electric distribution network featuring 273,295 miles of overhead pole lines and underground conduits for primary, secondary, and street lighting circuits. FirstEnergy serves approximately 6 million customers across six states: Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Maryland, New Jersey, and New York. The corporation was established in 1996 and is based in Akron, Ohio.

Historical context

All FE earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-04T16:20:42.386906+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-04T16:20:42.384057+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.