FirstEnergy Corp. · FE · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

FirstEnergy: Data-Center Demand Supports Transmission Growth

The current analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: resilient data-center demand, transmission investment, and maintained guidance provide a credible growth path. That thesis depends on regulatory execution, capital availability, and the conversion of the data-center pipeline into funded projects.

Reported After market closeNYSEUtilities $25.80B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.52 Consensus $0.49
EPS surprise +6.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.38B Consensus $3.34B
Revenue surprise +1.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +2.2% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +2.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.0% Up to 20 sessions
FESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior analysis, the current quarter adds a materially larger data-center pipeline, emphasizes additional transmission investment opportunities, and provides more detail on financing capacity and upcoming regulatory milestones.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management reaffirmed FY2025 core earnings guidance and said the company was tracking toward the upper half of the range.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted continued growth from transmission investment and data-center demand.
  • The 2025 capital plan and longer-term investment program remain on track in the current analysis.
  • Operating discipline, cash generation, and supportive debt markets were presented as balance-sheet positives.
  • The principal offsets are regulatory uncertainty, PJM capacity issues, and potential funding needs if capital spending expands.

Management priorities

  • Expand transmission infrastructure across the PJM region.
  • Support data-center customers with additional capacity.
  • Advance West Virginia generation and regulatory plans.
  • Prepare for Ohio's multiyear rate-case framework and provide a longer-term capital plan.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.60 Q4 '23 actual $0.62, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.56 Q1 '24 actual $0.55, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.56 Q2 '24 actual $0.56, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.90 Q3 '24 actual $0.85, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.49 Q2 '25 actual $0.52, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.74 Q3 '25 actual $0.83, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.54 Q4 '25 actual $0.53, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.72 Q1 '26 actual $0.72, match Q2 '26 estimate $0.50 Q2 '26 actual $0.50, match Q3 '26 estimate $0.93 Q4 '26 estimate $0.60 Q1 '27 estimate $0.76
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold24 ratings
Bullish1145.8%
Neutral1354.2%
Bearish00.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$45Current
$41Low
$49.29Average
$56High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 10, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 11, 2026
TD Cowen Buy HoldUpgradeMay 15, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainApr 21, 2026
Show 20 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $45. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$54$48.71 +20.0%Jul 31, 2026
BarclaysNicholas Campanella$55$48.54 +22.2%Jul 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$52$47.66 +15.6%Jun 24, 2026
UBSWilliam Appicelli$51$46.87 +13.3%Jun 11, 2026
New StreetAnalyst unavailable$52$48.94 +15.6%Apr 21, 2026
See 38 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

FirstEnergy Corp. is an American utility company that, through its subsidiaries, provides comprehensive electricity services, encompassing generation, transmission, and distribution throughout the United States. Its operations are structured into Regulated Distribution and Regulated Transmission segments. The company leverages a diverse portfolio of power sources, operating facilities that produce electricity from coal, nuclear, hydroelectric, natural gas, wind, and solar technologies. Its vast infrastructure includes 24,074 circuit miles of overhead and underground transmission lines, complemented by an extensive electric distribution network featuring 273,295 miles of overhead pole lines and underground conduits for primary, secondary, and street lighting circuits. FirstEnergy serves approximately 6 million customers across six states: Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Maryland, New Jersey, and New York. The corporation was established in 1996 and is based in Akron, Ohio.

Historical context

All FE earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-10T00:00:49.100833+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-10T00:00:49.098028+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-10. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.