FedEx Corporation · FDX · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q1 2026

FedEx raises FY2026 EPS guidance on 8% revenue growth, record peak

FedEx is in the middle of a two-part transformation: Network 2.0 automation is driving structural cost savings and a mix shift toward high-margin B2B verticals (healthcare, automotive, data centers), while the planned June 1 spin-off of FedEx Freight is intended to unlock value and fund a dividend to FedEx Corp. Management's decision to raise full-year EPS guidance for a second straight quarter on the back of record peak-season profitability signals confidence in margin expansion and volume resilience. The offset is the set of disclosed headwinds - the $120 million MD-11 grounding impact, soft LTL pricing and volumes, Middle East geopolitical risk, and fuel sensitivity - that keep the realized upside dependent on continued execution and a stable macro backdrop.

Reported After market closeNYSEIndustrials $66.13B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $5.25 Consensus $3.34
EPS surprise +57.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $24.00B Consensus $23.49B
Revenue surprise +2.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +0.8% Event window
SPY move -1.7% Same window
Abnormal move +2.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +9.7% Up to 20 sessions
FDXSPY benchmark

Ask FN2 about FDX FY2026 Q3

Transcript, numbers and history already loaded

Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.

Transcript intelligence

What changed

FedEx raised its FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance again, to $19.30-$20.10 from the $17.80-$19.00 range after Q2, and revenue growth accelerated to 8% year over year from 7% in the prior quarter. Network 2.0 automation coverage advanced to roughly 35% of eligible volume from 24% at Q2. New items include the agreed InPost acquisition (targeted H2 2026 close) and the launch of FedEx Returns+, while the MD-11 operating-income headwind grew to $120 million from $25 million. The reported EPS of $5.25 beat the $3.34 estimate by about 57%, and shares rose 2.5% against a 1.7% benchmark decline on the reaction.

Guidance delta

Raised. Management lifted full-year FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $19.30-$20.10, up from the $17.80-$19.00 range set after Q2. CapEx outlook was trimmed to at most $4.1 billion (down $400 million from the prior view), with Network 2.0 savings targeted at $2 billion cumulative by 2027.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue grew 8% year over year with record-high peak-season profitability, and adjusted EPS of $5.25 beat the $3.34 consensus by roughly 57%.
  • Full-year FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance was raised to $19.30-$20.10.
  • Network 2.0 facilities now handle about 35% of eligible volume, on track for 65% by the next peak, while capex stays at or below $4.1 billion.
  • The FedEx Freight spin-off is on track for June 1, 2026, with $3.7 billion in debt financing in place.
  • Key headwinds remain the MD-11 grounding ($120 million operating-income impact), LTL market softness, Middle East tensions, and fuel volatility.

Management priorities

  • Scale Network 2.0 automation to cover 65% of eligible volume by the next peak season and capture cost savings.
  • Complete the FedEx Freight spin-off (June 1, 2026) and use the debt proceeds for a dividend to FedEx Corp.
  • Close the InPost acquisition, targeted for the second half of 2026, and integrate commercial agreements.
  • Grow high-margin B2B verticals including healthcare, automotive, and data-center logistics.
  • Deploy robotic automation (Berkshire Grey and Dexterity) and digital/AI products such as FedEx Returns+ and the Retail Momentum Index.

Follow FDX with an agent that reads every filing, transcript, and price print. Free to start.

Try FN2 free

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FDX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $4.18 Q2 '24 actual $3.99, miss Q3 '24 estimate $3.45 Q3 '24 actual $3.86, beat Q4 '24 estimate $5.35 Q4 '24 actual $5.41, beat Q1 '25 estimate $4.76 Q1 '25 actual $3.60, miss Q4 '25 estimate $5.82 Q4 '25 actual $6.07, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.60 Q1 '26 actual $3.83, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4.07 Q2 '26 actual $4.82, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.34 Q3 '26 actual $5.25, beat Q4 '26 estimate $5.91 Q4 '26 actual $6.31, beat Q1 '27 estimate $3.63 Q2 '27 estimate $6.32 Q3 '27 estimate $4.31 Q4 '27 estimate $5.35
Show less

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy47 ratings
Bullish2859.6%
Neutral1634.0%
Bearish36.4%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$285.85Current
$155Low
$289.73Average
$479High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 9, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 8, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJun 25, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJun 24, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJun 24, 2026
Show 43 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $285.85. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Evercore ISIJonathan Chappell$350$314.13 +22.4%Sep 9, 2026
Raymond JamesPatrick Tyler Brown$330$331.41 +15.4%Aug 28, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$165$329.44 -42.3%Jun 26, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$365$316.83 +27.7%Jun 25, 2026
BernsteinDavid Vernon$397$315.12 +38.9%Jun 24, 2026
See 138 more

Track every rating change on FDX the moment it posts. Free to start.

Start free

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

FedEx Corporation is a prominent global entity that delivers an extensive array of services encompassing transportation, e-commerce solutions, and diverse business support, catering to clients both within the United States and across international borders. Its operational structure is divided into several key segments: The FedEx Express division specializes in expedited shipping, offering rapid package and freight delivery, crucial time-sensitive logistics, and comprehensive cross-border, technological, and e-commerce transportation services. FedEx Ground focuses on reliable, scheduled delivery services for both commercial clients and individual households.…

Historical context

All FDX earnings

Industrials peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

Get the FDX recap when the next report posts

One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T22:31:11.527251+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T22:31:11.524160+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.