First Citizens BancShares, Inc. · FCNCA · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

First Citizens beats estimates while flagging rate and credit risks

First Citizens delivered a strong quarter with an adjusted EPS beat, continued deposit growth, and support from Global Fund Banking and wealth services. The evidence is constructive on current earnings power, but the next phase depends on rate sensitivity, credit quality, SVB Commercial stability, and execution of the BMO branch acquisition.

Reported Before market openNASDAQFinancial Services $26.83B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $44.62 Consensus $41.87
EPS surprise +6.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.43B Consensus $2.22B
Revenue surprise +9.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.5% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move -0.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +4.0% Up to 20 sessions
FCNCASPY benchmark

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What changed

The quarter added a planned acquisition of 138 BMO branches, a $900 million Q3 share repurchase, and an $82 million charge-off tied to the First Brands bankruptcy. Management also described AI-driven fraud detection deployment and remained cautious on rates, SVB Commercial volatility, and credit conditions.

Guidance delta

Maintained. Management remained cautious on the SVB Commercial outlook, potential rate cuts, and Q4 moderation in Global Fund Banking utilization.

Key takeaways

  • Adjusted EPS was $44.62, above the $41.87 estimate.
  • Loan growth was driven primarily by Global Fund Banking, while utilization is expected to moderate in Q4.
  • Deposits increased for a seventh consecutive quarter, supported by SVB Commercial and General Bank.
  • The bank repurchased $900 million of stock in Q3 and continues targeting $600–$900 million per quarter.
  • Management announced plans to acquire 138 BMO branches and highlighted macro and credit uncertainty.

Management priorities

  • Close the acquisition of 138 BMO branches by mid-2026.
  • Continue share repurchases while managing the CET1 ratio.
  • Advance Category 3 regulatory readiness, targeted for completion in early 2026.
  • Pay down the purchase-money note to reduce asset sensitivity.
  • Expand deposits through branch growth and digital capabilities.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FCNCA REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2B Q4 '23 actual $4B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $4B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q3 '26 actual $2B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B Q2 '27 estimate $2B Q3 '27 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold11 ratings
Bullish218.2%
Neutral981.8%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$2,375.84Current
$1,650Low
$2,268.33Average
$2,600High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 1, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainJul 28, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 27, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 27, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform OutperformDowngradeJul 9, 2026
Show 6 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $2,375.84. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesDavid Chiaverini$2,550$2,375.95 +7.3%Oct 23, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$2,323$2,182 -2.2%Jul 28, 2026
BarclaysJason Goldberg$2,376$2,160.65 +0.0%Jul 27, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$2,300$2,204.03 -3.2%Jul 23, 2026
Goldman SachsRyan Nash$2,340$2,117.35 -1.5%Jul 7, 2026
See 23 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

First Citizens BancShares, Inc. (FCNCA) functions as the parent company for First-Citizens Bank & Trust Company, offering a comprehensive suite of retail and commercial banking services to individuals, businesses, and professionals. Its deposit offerings encompass various account types, including checking, savings, money market, and certificates of deposit (time deposit accounts). The company's loan portfolio is extensive, featuring commercial credits for construction and land development, commercial mortgages, commercial and industrial (C&I) financing, and lease financing. It also provided Small Business Administration (SBA) Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) loans. For consumers, loan options span residential and revolving mortgages, construction and land development loans, auto financing, and various other personal lending products.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-24T08:50:43.316853+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-24T08:50:43.314180+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.