First Citizens BancShares, Inc. · FCNCA · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

First Citizens Maintains Guidance as Deposits Grow

The quarter supports a cautiously constructive operating picture: deposit inflows, commercial lending activity, and continued capital return were accompanied by maintained guidance, but rate sensitivity, tariff exposure, and selected credit risks remain important constraints.

Reported Before market openNASDAQFinancial Services $26.40B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $38.16
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $2.22B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.1% Event window
SPY move +2.1% Same window
Abnormal move -1.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.8% Up to 20 sessions
FCNCASPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The FDIC loss-share agreement for the SVB acquisition portfolio was terminated; the company issued $500 million of senior unsecured debt and $750 million of subordinated debt, while shifting $2.4 billion of high-yield SVB commercial deposits off balance sheet.

Guidance delta

Guidance was largely maintained, with a slight increase to the deposit outlook and a modest reduction to net interest income guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Management described adjusted EPS of $37.79, 0.8% loan growth, and $4.1 billion of deposit growth in Q1 2025.
  • The company repurchased $613 million of shares and ended the FDIC loss-share agreement for the SVB acquisition portfolio.
  • Growth priorities include commercial and SVB lending, direct-bank deposits, wealth management, and factoring.

Management priorities

  • Continue disciplined share repurchases while targeting CET1 of 10.5–11% by Q1 2026
  • Expand the direct-bank platform and branch network
  • Grow commercial lending, SVB fund banking, wealth management, and factoring

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FCNCA EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $44.78 Q2 '24 actual $50.87, beat Q3 '24 estimate $47.40 Q3 '24 actual $45.87, miss Q2 '25 estimate $39.71 Q2 '25 actual $44.78, beat Q3 '25 estimate $41.87 Q3 '25 actual $44.62, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.44 Q4 '25 actual $0.51, beat Q1 '26 estimate $39.56 Q1 '26 actual $44.86, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.41 Q2 '26 actual $0.57, beat Q3 '26 estimate $46.18 Q3 '26 actual $55.37, beat Q4 '26 estimate $49.40 Q1 '27 estimate $46.59 Q2 '27 estimate $50.72 Q3 '27 estimate $51.59
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold11 ratings
Bullish218.2%
Neutral981.8%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$2,354.41Current
$1,650Low
$2,268.33Average
$2,600High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 1, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainJul 28, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 27, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 27, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform OutperformDowngradeJul 9, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 7, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainApr 27, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 26, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainNov 5, 2025
Wedbush Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 25, 2024
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainMar 28, 2023
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $2,354.4. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesDavid Chiaverini$2,550$2,375.95 +8.3%Oct 23, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$2,323$2,182 -1.3%Jul 28, 2026
BarclaysJason Goldberg$2,376$2,160.65 +0.9%Jul 27, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$2,300$2,204.03 -2.3%Jul 23, 2026
Goldman SachsRyan Nash$2,340$2,117.35 -0.6%Jul 7, 2026
Fundamental ResearchAnalyst unavailable$2,350$2,080.79 -0.2%Jul 1, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$2,050$1,976.37 -12.9%Apr 24, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$2,325$2,043.97 -1.2%Feb 4, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$2,100$1,980.05 -10.8%Jan 29, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$2,150$2,014.66 -8.7%Jan 26, 2026
BarclaysJason Goldberg$2,346$2,016.56 -0.4%Jan 26, 2026
UBSNicholas Holowko$2,500$2,191.87 +6.2%Jan 6, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$2,300$2,182.61 -2.3%Jan 6, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$2,456$2,158.64 +4.3%Jan 5, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$2,250$1,816.2 -4.4%Nov 5, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$2,000$1,783.7 -15.1%Oct 24, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$2,100$1,759.68 -10.8%Oct 7, 2025
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$2,000$1,742.68 -15.1%Oct 3, 2025
Piper SandlerStephen Scouten$2,150$2,096.04 -8.7%Jul 28, 2025
UBSNichola Holowko$2,410$2,066.2 +2.4%Jul 9, 2025
Deutsche BankBernard von-Gizycki$2,600$2,196.6 +10.4%Dec 9, 2024
WedbushDavid Chiaverini$2,150$1,955.89 -8.7%Sep 24, 2024
Raymond JamesDavid Long$1,900$1,697.56 -19.3%Jul 2, 2024
Piper SandlerStephen Scouten$1,950$1,800.35 -17.2%Apr 26, 2024
D.A. DavidsonKevin Fitzsimmons$1,650$1,569.17 -29.9%Apr 15, 2024
BarclaysJason Goldberg$1,850$1,607.61 -21.4%Apr 11, 2024
Goldman SachsRyan Nash$1,950$1,613.63 -17.2%Mar 21, 2024
WedbushDavid Chiaverini$1,700$1,349.76 -27.8%Oct 5, 2023
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

First Citizens BancShares, Inc. (FCNCA) functions as the parent company for First-Citizens Bank & Trust Company, offering a comprehensive suite of retail and commercial banking services to individuals, businesses, and professionals. Its deposit offerings encompass various account types, including checking, savings, money market, and certificates of deposit (time deposit accounts). The company's loan portfolio is extensive, featuring commercial credits for construction and land development, commercial mortgages, commercial and industrial (C&I) financing, and lease financing. It also provided Small Business Administration (SBA) Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) loans. For consumers, loan options span residential and revolving mortgages, construction and land development loans, auto financing, and various other personal lending products.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-10T00:01:43.729046+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-26T16:10:46.309570+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-26T16:10:46.306942+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-26. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.