Diamondback Energy, Inc. · FANG · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

FANG: Efficient Growth and Capital Discipline, With Gas and Execution Risks

The Q2 analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: production growth, well-productivity improvements and capital discipline can support the operating trajectory, while gas-market durability, cost inflation and execution determine how much of that progress translates into returns.

Reported After market closeNASDAQEnergy $53.24B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $6.48 Consensus $6.08
EPS surprise +6.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.82B Consensus $4.89B
Revenue surprise -1.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -3.5% Event window
SPY move +1.8% Same window
Abnormal move -5.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.9% Up to 20 sessions
FANGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior quarter, the emphasis shifted from accelerated activity and a higher-growth baseline toward low-single-digit organic growth, stable capital spending and capital efficiency. Q2 also added detail on positive Waha pricing from new pipeline capacity, the Bryant Ranch power project and early EOR surfactant results.

Guidance delta

Maintained. Q2 analysis points to low-single-digit organic production growth and flexible capex, compared with raised guidance in the prior-quarter analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Management targeted low-single-digit organic production growth while emphasizing capital efficiency.
  • Drilling-time and lateral-cost improvements supported productivity and lower-cost well development.
  • The return-of-capital framework combines debt reduction with flexible, opportunistic buybacks.
  • Positive Waha pricing and new pipeline capacity provided near-term gas relief, but sustainability remains a concern.
  • The Bryant Ranch power project and enhanced-oil-recovery program add longer-term optionality with execution risks.

Management priorities

  • Maintain low-single-digit organic production growth with capex flexibility.
  • Continue opportunistic debt reduction and flexible share buybacks.
  • Advance the Bryant Ranch power project and pursue grid interconnection.
  • Scale the enhanced-oil-recovery surfactant program beyond its initial pilot.
  • Improve Barnett drilling costs toward $400 per foot or lower.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FANG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $4.42 Q1 '24 actual $4.50, beat Q2 '24 estimate $4.51 Q2 '24 actual $4.52, match Q3 '24 estimate $3.98 Q3 '24 actual $3.38, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2.76 Q2 '25 actual $2.67, miss Q3 '25 estimate $2.94 Q3 '25 actual $3.08, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.00 Q4 '25 actual $1.74, miss Q1 '26 estimate $3.74 Q1 '26 actual $4.23, beat Q2 '26 estimate $6.08 Q2 '26 actual $6.48, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.91 Q4 '26 estimate $4.46 Q1 '27 estimate $4.73
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy51 ratings
Bullish4690.2%
Neutral59.8%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$184.5Current
$100Low
$200.73Average
$262High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Roth Capital Neutral BuyDowngradeApr 8, 2026
The Benchmark Company Hold BuyDowngradeMar 5, 2026
B of A Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeApr 29, 2025
Citigroup Buy NeutralUpgradeApr 7, 2025
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeJan 3, 2025
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 18, 2024
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainOct 18, 2024
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 16, 2024
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 16, 2024
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 15, 2024
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainOct 10, 2024
BMO Capital Outperform Market PerformUpgradeOct 4, 2024
Benchmark Buy BuyMaintainOct 3, 2024
Barclays Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeOct 2, 2024
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 30, 2024
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 18, 2024
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 17, 2024
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 16, 2024
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 17, 2024
Mizuho Buy BuyMaintainMay 13, 2024
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainApr 23, 2024
Raymond James Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainJan 24, 2024
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainApr 21, 2023
Johnson Rice Buy AccumulateMaintainDec 5, 2022
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainNov 17, 2022
Imperial Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 16, 2020
TD Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 15, 2020
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy HoldUpgradeJun 25, 2020
CFRA Buy BuyMaintainApr 8, 2020
MKM Partners Buy BuyMaintainFeb 20, 2020
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 9, 2019
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 22, 2019
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainMay 21, 2019
Williams Capital Buy HoldUpgradeAug 20, 2018
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainJun 19, 2018
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainApr 11, 2018
Stephens & Co. Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeOct 17, 2016
Canaccord Genuity Buy BuyMaintainOct 11, 2016
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainAug 10, 2016
Wunderlich Securities Buy BuyMaintainMay 5, 2016
Wunderlich Buy BuyMaintainMay 5, 2016
Clarksons Platou Neutral BuyDowngradeMar 15, 2016
Clarkson Capital Markets Neutral BuyDowngradeMar 15, 2016
Nomura Buy BuyMaintainJan 21, 2016
Cowen & Co. Outperform Market PerformUpgradeJan 14, 2016
Topeka Capital Buy BuyMaintainOct 6, 2015
Topeka Buy BuyMaintainOct 6, 2015
Tudor Pickering Accumulate BuyMaintainApr 23, 2015
KLR Group Hold BuyDowngradeDec 23, 2013
Sterne Agee Buy NeutralUpgradeSep 24, 2013
CK Cooper Buy BuyMaintainMay 28, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $184.5. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
StephensAnalyst unavailable$255$193.15 +38.2%Sep 17, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$253$204.97 +37.1%Sep 14, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$221$202.47 +19.8%Aug 17, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$205$188.04 +11.1%Aug 9, 2026
Truist FinancialGabe Daoud$224$188.48 +21.4%Aug 5, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$237$191.87 +28.5%Aug 4, 2026
Wolfe ResearchDoug Leggate$206$191.63 +11.7%Aug 4, 2026
Raymond JamesJohn Freeman$248$199.65 +34.4%Jul 31, 2026
SusquehannaCharles Minervino$255$197.87 +38.2%Jul 21, 2026
UBSJosh Silverstein$243$195.38 +31.7%Jul 21, 2026
Truist FinancialGabe Daoud$220$190.05 +19.2%Jul 16, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$216$179.91 +17.1%Jun 29, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$212$183.5 +14.9%Jun 22, 2026
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$212$183.5 +14.9%Jun 22, 2026
Raymond JamesJohn Freeman$249$194.24 +35.0%Jun 10, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$240$195.13 +30.1%May 27, 2026
BarclaysBetty Jiang$232$200.71 +25.7%May 26, 2026
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$229$200.31 +24.1%May 22, 2026
BernsteinBob Brackett$241$188.7 +30.6%May 11, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$245$196.43 +32.8%May 6, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$242$197.02 +31.2%May 6, 2026
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$205$207.7 +11.1%May 5, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$225$213.69 +22.0%May 5, 2026
Raymond JamesJohn Freeman$242$197.03 +31.2%Apr 27, 2026
Wells FargoHanwen Chang$262$180.27 +42.0%Apr 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$224$173.23 +21.4%Apr 17, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$245$187.2 +32.8%Apr 10, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$100$191.78 -45.8%Mar 23, 2026
Raymond JamesJohn Freeman$240$187.08 +30.1%Mar 17, 2026
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$180$172.8 -2.4%Feb 24, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$195$173.07 +5.7%Feb 24, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$205$173.82 +11.1%Feb 24, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$218$159.12 +18.2%Jan 28, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$171$153.52 -7.3%Jan 27, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$171$154.49 -7.3%Jan 23, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$215$148.7 +16.5%Jan 21, 2026
JefferiesLloyd Byrne$173$151.28 -6.2%Jan 19, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$175$150.39 -5.1%Jan 16, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$190$152.34 +3.0%Jan 5, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$194$157.24 +5.1%Dec 12, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$194$157.06 +5.1%Dec 12, 2025
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$183$149 -0.8%Nov 20, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$219$149.58 +18.7%Nov 18, 2025
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$162$138.06 -12.2%Nov 4, 2025
SusquehannaCharles Minervino$188$139.09 +1.9%Oct 20, 2025
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$173$141.96 -6.2%Oct 10, 2025
ScotiabankPaul Cheng$182$145.59 -1.4%Oct 9, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$178$149.1 -3.5%Oct 7, 2025
KeyBancTim Rezvan$176$144.45 -4.6%Sep 3, 2025
Piper SandlerMark Lear$222$138.82 +20.3%Aug 14, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$206$163.09 +11.7%Mar 26, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$215$146.55 +16.5%Mar 12, 2025
Williams TradingAnalyst unavailable$190$142.7 +3.0%Mar 5, 2025
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$220$176.32 +19.2%Jan 22, 2025
Piper SandlerMark Lear$252$169.11 +36.6%Dec 4, 2024
Truist FinancialNeal Dingmann$230$179.77 +24.7%Oct 16, 2024
KeyBancTim Rezvan$216$181.56 +17.1%Oct 16, 2024
Williams TradingGabriele Sorbara$230$190.7 +24.7%Oct 15, 2024
CitigroupScott Gruber$195$194.96 +5.7%Oct 14, 2024
BMO CapitalPhillip Jungwirth$215$192.87 +16.5%Oct 4, 2024
BarclaysBetty Jiang$210$188.16 +13.8%Oct 2, 2024
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$198$172.42 +7.3%Sep 16, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$219$172.42 +18.7%Sep 16, 2024
KeyBancTim Rezvan$225$168.5 +22.0%Sep 11, 2024
SusquehannaBiju Perincheril$237$187.48 +28.5%Sep 4, 2024
BernsteinBob Brackett$238$199.77 +29.0%Aug 12, 2024
Truist FinancialNeal Dingmann$249$205.47 +35.0%Jul 22, 2024
BernsteinBob Brackett$243$189.19 +31.7%Jun 6, 2024
RBC CapitalScott Hanold$220$201.5 +19.2%May 6, 2024
Wells FargoRoger Read$224$196.01 +21.4%May 2, 2024
Wells FargoRoger Read$227$203.95 +23.0%Apr 17, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$217$206.23 +17.6%Apr 11, 2024
Truist FinancialNeal Dingmann$248$201.29 +34.4%Apr 5, 2024
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$186$197.02 +0.8%Mar 28, 2024
Stifel NicolausDerrick Whitfield$224$194.7 +21.4%Mar 22, 2024
KeyBancTim Rezvan$210$194.4 +13.8%Mar 21, 2024
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$180$138.09 -2.4%Dec 14, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$173$138.21 -6.2%Dec 7, 2022
Johnson RiceAnalyst unavailable$210$142 +13.8%Dec 5, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$195$158.98 +5.7%Nov 17, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$155$130.79 -16.0%Sep 21, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$203$129.07 +10.0%Aug 18, 2022
Piper SandlerMark Lear$191$125.92 +3.5%Aug 2, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$190$119.99 +3.0%Jul 26, 2022
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$203$114.86 +10.0%Jul 19, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$224$114.26 +21.4%Jul 19, 2022
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$185$104.42 +0.3%Jul 14, 2022
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$160$115 -13.3%Jul 5, 2022
Piper SandlerMark Lear$196$156.18 +6.2%Jun 10, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$215$138.49 +16.5%May 4, 2022
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$167$130.1 -9.5%Apr 25, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$200$130.1 +8.4%Apr 25, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$184$136.86 -0.3%Apr 22, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$204$138.45 +10.6%Apr 19, 2022
Raymond JamesJohn Freeman$195$137.8 +5.7%Mar 4, 2022
TD SecuritiesMenno Hulshof$150$128.99 -18.7%Feb 23, 2022
Evercore ISIStephen Richardson$130$128.99 -29.5%Feb 23, 2022
Credit SuisseWilliam Janela$140$128.99 -24.1%Feb 23, 2022
RBC CapitalScott Hanold$160$128.99 -13.3%Feb 23, 2022
Siebert Williams Shank & CoGabriele Sorbara$155$128.99 -16.0%Feb 23, 2022
SusquehannaBiju Perincheril$152$130.4 -17.6%Feb 2, 2022
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$155$126.42 -16.0%Jan 25, 2022
Truist FinancialNeal Dingmann$165$128.64 -10.6%Jan 14, 2022
CitigroupScott Gruber$122$111.35 -33.9%Jan 3, 2022
Wolfe ResearchJosh Silverstein$132$103.61 -28.5%Dec 14, 2021
UBSLloyd Byrne$165$106.77 -10.6%Nov 17, 2021
Roth CapitalJohn M. White$135$109.98 -26.8%Oct 19, 2021
Cowen & Co.David Deckelbaum$121$107.25 -34.4%Oct 13, 2021
Johnson RiceCharles Meade$114$88.35 -38.2%Jun 8, 2021
BMO CapitalPhillip Jungwirth$95$74.29 -48.5%Apr 13, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Diamondback Energy, Inc. operates as an independent enterprise focused on oil and natural gas. Its core business involves the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of unconventional and onshore hydrocarbon reserves, predominantly located within the Permian Basin across West Texas and New Mexico. The company's development efforts primarily target significant geological formations, including the Spraberry and Wolfcamp in the Midland Basin, as well as the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring within the Delaware Basin – both crucial components of the broader Permian. As of December 31, 2021, Diamondback Energy's asset base included approximately 524,700 gross acres under its control in the Permian Basin.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-04T21:12:20.175176+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-08T01:23:13.784197+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T22:30:52.786105+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T22:30:52.783104+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.