Eaton Corporation plc · ETN · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026
Eaton pairs strong data-center demand with near-term execution risks
The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: Eaton's data-center backlog, order acceleration and aerospace demand underpin growth, while capacity expansion, acquisitions and the Mobility separation add execution risk.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with Q3 2025, the analysis shows a broader 2026 agenda: a planned Mobility spin-off, additional acquisitions, a $13 billion investment program and maintained 2026 guidance. The latest call also emphasized record backlog and 200% data-center order growth, alongside near-term ramp costs.
Guidance delta
Maintained 2026 guidance: 7%-9% revenue growth, EPS of $13-$13.50, and segment margin of 24.6%-25%; management cited a 30% long-term margin target.
Key takeaways
- Record backlog and order acceleration were concentrated in Electrical Americas and data centers.
- Data-center orders were reported up 200% year over year in the supplied analysis.
- The company plans a Mobility spin-off and is integrating FiberBond, Resilient Power Systems, UltraPCS and Boyd Terminal.
- Capacity expansion and acquisition integration may pressure margins before benefits are realized.
Management priorities
- Complete the planned Mobility spin-off in 2026.
- Integrate UltraPCS and Boyd Terminal and continue the broader acquisition program.
- Execute the $1.5 billion Electrical Americas capacity expansion through 2027.
- Expand 800 V DC resilient-power and liquid-cooling offerings for data centers.
- Work on 800 V DC industry-code development and partnerships.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBS | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Sep 8, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 28, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 11, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 3, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | May 6, 2026 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 6, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 6, 2026 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | May 6, 2026 |
| HSBC | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Peer Perform | Upgrade | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Mizuho | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Melius Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 12, 2025 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 2, 2024 |
| Berenberg | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 6, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 12, 2023 |
| Oppenheimer | Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Dec 6, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Nov 2, 2022 |
| Stephens & Co. | Equal Weight | Overweight | Downgrade | May 4, 2020 |
| Gordon Haskett | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Apr 3, 2020 |
| Vertical Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Feb 6, 2020 |
| Baird | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Feb 5, 2020 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Dec 17, 2019 |
| Vertical Group | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 9, 2019 |
| Argus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 5, 2018 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 3, 2018 |
| Stifel | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 3, 2018 |
| Longbow Research | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Apr 4, 2017 |
| Buckingham Research | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 2, 2016 |
| Bernstein | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | May 2, 2016 |
| Standpoint Research | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 17, 2016 |
| William Blair | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Oct 15, 2015 |
| MKM Partners | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 5, 2014 |
| ISI Group | Buy | Strong Buy | Downgrade | Aug 9, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $431.41. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $503 | $440 | +16.6% | Sep 24, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $515 | $410.85 | +19.4% | Sep 7, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Toby Okwara | $520 | $416.04 | +20.5% | Aug 28, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $500 | $415.29 | +15.9% | Aug 20, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $512 | $430.45 | +18.7% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $487 | $415.2 | +12.9% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | David Raso | $502 | $415.2 | +16.4% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $453 | $401.89 | +5.0% | May 11, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $500 | $401.51 | +15.9% | May 10, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $484 | $410.6 | +12.2% | May 6, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | Jeffrey Hammond | $480 | $410.86 | +11.3% | May 6, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $428 | $357.1 | -0.8% | Mar 26, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $407 | $364.53 | -5.7% | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $425 | $371.14 | -1.5% | Feb 4, 2026 |
| HSBC | Sean McLoughlin | $400 | $333.46 | -7.3% | Jan 16, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $399 | $337 | -7.5% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $405 | $327.57 | -6.1% | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Barclays | Julian Mitchell | $350 | $332.97 | -18.9% | Jan 7, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $360 | $327.31 | -16.6% | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $295 | $315.95 | -31.6% | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Joseph O'Dea | $340 | $315.82 | -21.2% | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Wolfe Research | Nigel Coe | $413 | $343.39 | -4.3% | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $362 | $377.72 | -16.1% | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $425 | $375.59 | -1.5% | Oct 17, 2025 |
| KeyBanc | Jeffrey Hammond | $420 | $375.37 | -2.6% | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Melius Research | Analyst unavailable | $495 | $365.9 | +14.7% | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Deane Dray | $415 | $360.16 | -3.8% | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Chad Dillard | $396 | $359.37 | -8.2% | Jul 14, 2025 |
| BNP Paribas | Andrew Buscaglia | $380 | $326.82 | -11.9% | May 15, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Christopher Snyder | $375 | $298.11 | -13.1% | May 6, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Deane Dray | $356 | $298.58 | -17.5% | May 5, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Joseph O'Dea | $355 | $298.58 | -17.7% | May 5, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Joseph O'Dea | $310 | $298.58 | -28.1% | May 5, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $315 | $285.52 | -27.0% | Mar 26, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $376 | $277.55 | -12.8% | Mar 6, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $325 | $278.46 | -24.7% | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Joseph O'Dea | $335 | $315.41 | -22.3% | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Joseph O'Dea | $350 | $343.91 | -18.9% | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Chad Dillard | $382 | $336.75 | -11.5% | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Andrew Kaplowitz | $348 | $305.8 | -19.3% | Sep 16, 2024 |
| Raymond James | Tim Thein | $365 | $284.97 | -15.4% | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Chris Snyder | $370 | $285.72 | -14.2% | Sep 6, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Stephen Volkmann | $385 | $329.55 | -10.8% | Jul 11, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Brett Linzey | $355 | $313.46 | -17.7% | May 1, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Deane Dray | $371 | $320.16 | -14.0% | Apr 4, 2024 |
| Barclays | Julian Mitchell | $300 | $312.03 | -30.5% | Apr 2, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Deane Dray | $286 | $300.29 | -33.7% | Mar 14, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $175 | $161.77 | -59.4% | Jan 6, 2023 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $163 | $156.61 | -62.2% | Jan 5, 2023 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $130 | $158.82 | -69.9% | Jan 5, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | John Walsh | $167 | $152.33 | -61.3% | Aug 15, 2022 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $173 | $147.65 | -59.9% | Aug 3, 2022 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $160 | $146.92 | -62.9% | Aug 3, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $124 | $147.48 | -71.3% | Aug 3, 2022 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $145 | $128.52 | -66.4% | Jul 18, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $156 | $125.76 | -63.8% | Jul 13, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $139 | $126.88 | -67.8% | Jul 13, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Joseph O’Dea | $142 | $127.87 | -67.1% | Jul 11, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $112 | $129.59 | -74.0% | Jul 8, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $146 | $126.22 | -66.2% | Jun 23, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Joshua Pokrzywinski | $170 | $141.36 | -60.6% | Jun 7, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Joshua Pokrzywinski | $180 | $143.38 | -58.3% | May 17, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $174 | $145.26 | -59.7% | May 4, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $159 | $147.03 | -63.1% | May 4, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $145 | $146.58 | -66.4% | May 4, 2022 |
| Oppenheimer | Christopher Glynn | $170 | $146.41 | -60.6% | May 2, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Nicole DeBlase | $175 | $140.66 | -59.4% | Apr 19, 2022 |
| Barclays | Julian Mitchell | $155 | $146.61 | -64.1% | Apr 5, 2022 |
| Evercore ISI | David Raso | $181 | $153.36 | -58.0% | Feb 21, 2022 |
| Wolfe Research | Nigel Coe | $194 | $149.31 | -55.0% | Feb 7, 2022 |
| Berenberg Bank | Phil Buller | $200 | $169.63 | -53.6% | Nov 5, 2021 |
| Oppenheimer | Christopher Glynn | $185 | $167.84 | -57.1% | Nov 3, 2021 |
| Citigroup | Timothy Thein | $180 | $150.14 | -58.3% | Oct 12, 2021 |
| HSBC | Puneet Garg | $153 | $154.77 | -64.5% | Sep 14, 2021 |
| Goldman Sachs | Joe Ritchie | $186 | $158.82 | -56.9% | Sep 10, 2021 |
| UBS | Markus Mittermaier | $186 | $164.53 | -56.9% | Aug 11, 2021 |
| Argus Research | John Eade | $185 | $164.96 | -57.1% | Aug 10, 2021 |
| Bank of America Securities | Andrew Obin | $195 | $159.52 | -54.8% | Aug 4, 2021 |
| J.P. Morgan | Ann Duignan | $145 | $151.84 | -66.4% | Jul 13, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationEaton Corp. Plc is a power management company, which provides energy-efficient solutions for electrical, hydraulic, and mechanical power. It operates through the following segments: Electrical Americas and Electrical Global; Aerospace, Vehicle, and eMobility. The Electrical Americas and Electrical Global segments engage in sales contracts for electrical components, industrial components, power distribution and assemblies, residential products, single and three phase power quality, wiring devices, circuit protection, utility power distribution, power reliability equipment, and service.…
Historical context
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T07:51:02.986264+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T07:51:02.983455+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.