Elbit Systems Ltd. · ESLT · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Elbit Systems: Record Backlog Supports Growth, but Capacity Execution Matters

The Q2 analysis supports a constructive operating case for Elbit Systems: strong demand, a record backlog and expanding margins provide visibility, while U.S. and European programs broaden the growth base. The main test is execution—converting backlog, expanding capacity and funding higher CapEx without losing margin discipline.

Reported Before market openNASDAQIndustrials $34.83B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $4.14 Consensus $3.69
EPS surprise +12.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.29B Consensus $2.25B
Revenue surprise +1.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -8.3% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -7.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -7.9% Up to 20 sessions
ESLTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current-quarter analysis adds a record $32 billion backlog, continued margin expansion, stronger U.S. contract momentum and greater emphasis on customer-funded CapEx. It also highlights AI and robotics investment after the Blue White Robotics acquisition. Compared with the prior quarter, the backlog increased from $28.1 billion to $32 billion, while CapEx remained at $300 million and execution concerns became more prominent.

Guidance delta

No formal guidance update was provided in the supplied analysis. Management emphasized backlog conversion, capacity expansion and customer-matched investment.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue grew 15.9% year over year, with expanding gross and operating margins and performance above internal targets.
  • Backlog reached a record $32 billion; 70% was generated outside Israel and 42% was scheduled for 2026–27.
  • U.S. momentum included ENVG-B, CBP and THOR UAV contracts, while European demand remained a major growth driver.
  • Management increased CapEx to $300 million and highlighted customer-funded or customer-matched capacity investment.
  • AI, robotics, high-power lasers, maritime electronic warfare and PULS were identified as important growth areas.

Management priorities

  • Convert the record backlog into revenue while maintaining capacity discipline.
  • Commission production facilities in southern Israel and other locations.
  • Invest in AI-driven autonomy and robotics following the Blue White Robotics acquisition.
  • Scale high-power laser programs and the EuroPULS joint venture.
  • Expand U.S., European and maritime defense programs, including SkyStriker partnerships.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ESLT REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '23 actual $2B, None Q4 '23 actual $2B, None Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $2B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold6 ratings
Bullish116.7%
Neutral583.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$750.69Current
$845Low
$891.67Average
$950High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 19, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainJun 24, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 26, 2025
Standpoint Research Hold AccumulateDowngradeOct 5, 2017
Citigroup Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 2, 2014
Show 1 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $750.69. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$845$736.3 +12.6%Jul 15, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$880$770.64 +17.2%Jun 24, 2026
JefferiesSheila Kahyaoglu$950$823.84 +26.6%May 27, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$531$500.37 -29.3%Dec 11, 2025

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Headquartered in Haifa, Israel, and established in 1966, Elbit Systems Ltd. is a leading provider of advanced solutions for the defense, homeland security, and commercial aerospace sectors. The company's extensive portfolio spans airborne, land, and naval applications. In the aerial domain, offerings include systems for military aircraft and helicopters, commercial aviation components, and unmanned aerial systems. For ground operations, Elbit supplies vehicle systems, a range of munitions, sophisticated command, control, communications, computer, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (C4ISR) capabilities, and cyber technologies, alongside armored vehicle protection…

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-11T18:10:11.289637+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-16T01:23:13.900088+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T19:50:51.191702+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T19:50:51.188824+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.