Elbit Systems Ltd. · ESLT · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Elbit Systems: Strong growth and backlog, with execution risks ahead

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating picture: broad-based growth, a larger backlog, new product activity and planned capacity investment strengthen demand visibility. The key qualification is execution—management must convert the backlog and expansion plans while navigating supply, export and margin risks.

Reported Before market openNASDAQIndustrials $33.23B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.23 Consensus $2.57
EPS surprise +25.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.97B Consensus $1.89B
Revenue surprise +4.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +5.6% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +5.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +9.5% Up to 20 sessions
ESLTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the reported update adds 21% year-over-year revenue growth, a 12% increase in backlog to $23.8 billion, modest margin expansion, a 50% dividend increase and a $573 million share offering. The emphasis also shifts toward production expansion, potential acquisitions and execution of newer products such as Iron Beam and ReDrone.

Guidance delta

No explicit guidance sentiment was provided in the supplied analysis. Management plans to increase capital spending to around $250 million for the year and use offering proceeds for capacity expansion and potential acquisitions.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue grew 21% year over year to $1.973 billion, with double-digit growth in every segment.
  • Backlog increased 12% to $23.8 billion, supported by large European and U.S. contracts.
  • Margins expanded modestly, free cash flow reached $71 million, and the dividend rose 50% to $0.75 per share.
  • Management highlighted Iron Beam, ReDrone and advanced UAV offerings, alongside capacity expansion and potential acquisitions.

Management priorities

  • Ramp production at the new Ramat Beka site with AI-driven automation.
  • Deliver the first Iron Beam laser unit to Rafael by year-end and expand sales globally.
  • Continue developing and exporting ReDrone counter-UAS solutions.
  • Pursue acquisitions to add technologies and broaden global reach.
  • Increase capital spending to around $250 million to fund growth initiatives.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ESLT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '23 estimate $1.70 Q3 '23 actual $1.65, miss Q4 '23 estimate $1.38 Q4 '23 actual $1.56, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.35 Q1 '24 actual $1.81, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.77 Q2 '24 actual $2.08, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.57 Q2 '25 actual $3.23, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.75 Q3 '25 actual $3.35, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.23 Q4 '25 actual $3.56, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.44 Q1 '26 actual $3.87, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.69 Q2 '26 actual $4.14, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.86 Q4 '26 estimate $4.07
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold6 ratings
Bullish116.7%
Neutral583.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$691.1Current
$790Low
$838.33Average
$880High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 7, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 19, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainJun 24, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 26, 2025
Standpoint Research Hold AccumulateDowngradeOct 5, 2017
Citigroup Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 2, 2014
Show 1 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $691.1. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesSheila Kahyaoglu$790$722.83 +14.3%Oct 5, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$845$736.3 +22.3%Jul 15, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$880$770.64 +27.3%Jun 24, 2026
JefferiesSheila Kahyaoglu$950$823.84 +37.5%May 27, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$531$500.37 -23.2%Dec 11, 2025

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Headquartered in Haifa, Israel, and established in 1966, Elbit Systems Ltd. is a leading provider of advanced solutions for the defense, homeland security, and commercial aerospace sectors. The company's extensive portfolio spans airborne, land, and naval applications. In the aerial domain, offerings include systems for military aircraft and helicopters, commercial aviation components, and unmanned aerial systems. For ground operations, Elbit supplies vehicle systems, a range of munitions, sophisticated command, control, communications, computer, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (C4ISR) capabilities, and cyber technologies, alongside armored vehicle protection…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T00:10:44.376966+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T00:10:44.374160+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.