Elbit Systems Ltd. · ESLT · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Elbit Systems: Backlog and defense demand remain central to growth

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: sustained defense demand, a large international backlog and strong cash conversion provide growth visibility, while execution, capital intensity and geopolitical exposure remain material constraints.

Reported Before market openNASDAQIndustrials $30.72B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.30
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $1.69B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.4% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +0.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.7% Up to 20 sessions
ESLTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis emphasizes a larger backlog, continued double-digit growth, strong free cash flow and the planned operational launch of Iron Beam. Relative to the prior analysis, capacity expansion and AI/ERP initiatives remain relevant, while the principal debate shifts toward Israeli-demand durability, margin leverage, CapEx and product execution.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment was maintained in the supplied analysis; no numeric guidance change was provided.

Key takeaways

  • Management's analysis points to a fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth across revenue, operating income, net income and EPS.
  • The backlog reached a record level, with substantial orders scheduled for the next two years and most originating outside Israel.
  • Free cash flow and cash conversion supported both investment and shareholder-return plans.
  • The next execution markers are Iron Beam's operational launch, modestly higher CapEx and expansion across land, aerospace, electronic warfare and laser programs.

Management priorities

  • Bring the Iron Beam laser system to operational status by year-end 2025.
  • Expand land turnkey solutions and pursue additional European contracts.
  • Grow electronic warfare, counter-UAS and night-vision product lines.
  • Use modestly higher CapEx for product development and backlog execution.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ESLT REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '23 actual $2B, None Q4 '23 actual $2B, None Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $2B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 estimate $2B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold6 ratings
Bullish116.7%
Neutral583.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$655.74Current
$790Low
$838.33Average
$880High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 11, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainOct 5, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 19, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 26, 2025
Standpoint Research Hold AccumulateDowngradeOct 5, 2017
Citigroup Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 2, 2014
Show 1 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $655.74. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesSheila Kahyaoglu$790$722.83 +20.5%Oct 5, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$845$736.3 +28.9%Jul 15, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$880$770.64 +34.2%Jun 24, 2026
JefferiesSheila Kahyaoglu$950$823.84 +44.9%May 27, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$531$500.37 -19.0%Dec 11, 2025

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Headquartered in Haifa, Israel, and established in 1966, Elbit Systems Ltd. is a leading provider of advanced solutions for the defense, homeland security, and commercial aerospace sectors. The company's extensive portfolio spans airborne, land, and naval applications. In the aerial domain, offerings include systems for military aircraft and helicopters, commercial aviation components, and unmanned aerial systems. For ground operations, Elbit supplies vehicle systems, a range of munitions, sophisticated command, control, communications, computer, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (C4ISR) capabilities, and cyber technologies, alongside armored vehicle protection…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-05-06T00:03:57.484134+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-11T15:00:44.758707+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-11T15:00:44.755807+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-11. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.