Elbit Systems Ltd. · ESLT · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025
Elbit Systems: Backlog and defense demand remain central to growth
The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: sustained defense demand, a large international backlog and strong cash conversion provide growth visibility, while execution, capital intensity and geopolitical exposure remain material constraints.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
The current analysis emphasizes a larger backlog, continued double-digit growth, strong free cash flow and the planned operational launch of Iron Beam. Relative to the prior analysis, capacity expansion and AI/ERP initiatives remain relevant, while the principal debate shifts toward Israeli-demand durability, margin leverage, CapEx and product execution.
Guidance delta
Guidance sentiment was maintained in the supplied analysis; no numeric guidance change was provided.
Key takeaways
- Management's analysis points to a fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth across revenue, operating income, net income and EPS.
- The backlog reached a record level, with substantial orders scheduled for the next two years and most originating outside Israel.
- Free cash flow and cash conversion supported both investment and shareholder-return plans.
- The next execution markers are Iron Beam's operational launch, modestly higher CapEx and expansion across land, aerospace, electronic warfare and laser programs.
Management priorities
- Bring the Iron Beam laser system to operational status by year-end 2025.
- Expand land turnkey solutions and pursue additional European contracts.
- Grow electronic warfare, counter-UAS and night-vision product lines.
- Use modestly higher CapEx for product development and backlog execution.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 11, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 5, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 19, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Standpoint Research | Hold | Accumulate | Downgrade | Oct 5, 2017 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 2, 2014 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Aug 15, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $655.74. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferies | Sheila Kahyaoglu | $790 | $722.83 | +20.5% | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $845 | $736.3 | +28.9% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $880 | $770.64 | +34.2% | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Sheila Kahyaoglu | $950 | $823.84 | +44.9% | May 27, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $531 | $500.37 | -19.0% | Dec 11, 2025 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationHeadquartered in Haifa, Israel, and established in 1966, Elbit Systems Ltd. is a leading provider of advanced solutions for the defense, homeland security, and commercial aerospace sectors. The company's extensive portfolio spans airborne, land, and naval applications. In the aerial domain, offerings include systems for military aircraft and helicopters, commercial aviation components, and unmanned aerial systems. For ground operations, Elbit supplies vehicle systems, a range of munitions, sophisticated command, control, communications, computer, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (C4ISR) capabilities, and cyber technologies, alongside armored vehicle protection…
Historical context
All ESLT earningsIndustrials peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | -2.8% | +0.0% | Delta reports strong Q3 demand while costs and capacity remain key watchpoints |
| CTAS Cintas Corporation | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +3.0% | -3.4% | Cintas raises FY2027 guidance as Q1 growth broadens |
| PAYX Paychex, Inc. | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +1.5% | -8.8% | Paychex maintains FY27 outlook as PEO and AI momentum strengthen |
| FPS Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +4.3% | +9.5% | Forgent Power Solutions pairs record results with an aggressive FY27 buildout |
| CPRT Copart, Inc. | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | -8.7% | -2.6% | Copart pairs international growth with ACV investment amid higher costs |
| SUNB Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +19.2% | +5.9% | Sunbelt raises FY27 outlook as specialty rental demand accelerates |
Latest beats and misses
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-05-06T00:03:57.484134+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-11T15:00:44.758707+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-11T15:00:44.755807+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-11. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.