Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) · ERIC · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Ericsson: Margin progress offsets regional and tariff risks

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: Ericsson's margin improvement, North American strength and investments in AI, 5G standalone and network APIs provide potential support, but regional weakness, tariff and FX exposure, and execution on cost and growth initiatives leave the outlook dependent on sustained demand and profitability.

Reported Before market openNASDAQTechnology $35.30B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.14 Consensus $0.12
EPS surprise +16.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $5.87B Consensus $6.18B
Revenue surprise -5.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -7.9% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move -7.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.4% Up to 20 sessions
ERICSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis describes improving organic sales and broad-based margin expansion, with IPR licensing and cost actions contributing to profitability. It also places greater emphasis on AI-enabled networks, 5G standalone, network APIs, Japan expansion and defense opportunities, while retaining concerns about regional weakness, tariffs, FX and operating costs.

Guidance delta

Management maintained guidance, according to the supplied transcript analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Organic sales growth and broad-based margin improvement were the central positives.
  • Management identified AI, 5G standalone, fixed wireless access and network APIs as longer-term growth drivers.
  • North America remained a strength, while India and Southeast Asia were weaker areas.
  • IPR licensing and cost actions supported profitability in the quarter.
  • Tariffs, foreign exchange and geopolitical uncertainty remain important watchpoints.

Management priorities

  • Increase AI investment and develop autonomous intent-based networks.
  • Open a Japan R&D center and strengthen local innovation.
  • Expand Aduna joint-venture services globally.
  • Pursue defense and mission-critical contracts.
  • Continue cost discipline and restructuring actions.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ERIC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.14 Q4 '23 actual $0.16, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.05 Q1 '24 actual $0.07, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.05 Q2 '24 actual $0.01, miss Q3 '24 estimate $0.09 Q3 '24 actual $0.11, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.12 Q2 '25 actual $0.14, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.13 Q3 '25 actual $0.16, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.23 Q4 '25 actual $0.27, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.11 Q1 '26 actual $0.03, miss Q2 '26 estimate $0.13 Q2 '26 actual $0.13, match Q3 '26 estimate $0.14 Q3 '26 actual $0.18, beat Q4 '26 estimate $2.46 Q1 '27 estimate $1.17 Q2 '27 estimate $1.28 Q3 '27 estimate $1.64
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold40 ratings
Bullish1537.5%
Neutral2255.0%
Bearish37.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$10.55Current
$6.1Low
$7.63Average
$9High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 8, 2026
Morgan Stanley Underweight Equal WeightDowngradeSep 22, 2026
TD Cowen Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 19, 2023
Raymond James Market Perform OutperformDowngradeFeb 7, 2023
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 23, 2023
Show 35 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $10.55. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyTerrance Tsul$9$10.25 -14.7%Sep 22, 2026
J.P. MorganSandeep Deshpande$7.78$4.58 -26.3%Nov 13, 2023
Goldman SachsAlexander Duval$6.1$5.54 -42.2%Oct 24, 2022

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), along with its various subsidiaries, operates as a global supplier of communication infrastructure, software, and service solutions, primarily serving the telecommunications industry and other diverse sectors. The company's business is organized into four distinct segments: Networks, Digital Services, Managed Services, and Emerging Business and Other. The Networks division focuses on delivering cutting-edge radio access network (RAN) solutions for a wide array of network spectrums, encompassing robust integrated hardware and software, complete antenna and transport systems, and a full spectrum of services for network setup and ongoing maintenance.…

Historical context

All ERIC earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
WIT Wipro Limited FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q4 2026 -25.0% +3.9% Wipro: AI pipeline expands as Q3 guidance stays narrow
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +3.4% -1.8% TSMC beats Q3 guidance as AI demand drives fab expansion
ASML ASML Holding N.V. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +20.4% -3.9% ASML: Record Q3, strong AI demand and broader capacity plans

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T08:00:42.565198+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T08:00:42.562313+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.