EQT Corporation · EQT · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

EQT Posts Record Q2, Raises 2026 Production Outlook 90 Bcfe on Operational Gains

EQT's Q2 2026 results reinforce the company's evolution from a pure-play Appalachian gas producer into an integrated gas platform. Production outperformed guidance, enabling a 90 Bcfe raise to the full-year outlook, while free cash flow of $330 million was generated despite a low gas-price environment. New commercial agreements -- a 10-year CPV power-generation gas supply deal, a 5-year LNG offtake with an Asian integrated energy company, and the BlackLine Midstream propane storage acquisition -- diversify revenue streams and extend EQT's reach into premium demand markets. The stock reacted strongly, rallying 8.6% on 2.3x baseline volume, though it subsequently drifted 2.7% lower. With analyst consensus targets near $72.50 against a current price of $52.59, the market is pricing in meaningful execution risk against management's growth thesis.

Reported After market closeNYSEEnergy $32.89B market cap
100quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

EQT Corporation primarily functions as an extractor of natural gas within the United States. In addition to natural gas, the firm also obtains various natural gas liquids (NGLs), specifically ethane, propane, isobutane, butane, and natural gasoline. By the end of 2021, EQT possessed certified reserves amounting to 25.0 trillion cubic feet of natural gas, NGLs, and crude oil. These reserves are situated across roughly 2.0 million gross acres, with a significant 1.7 million gross acres located within the Marcellus shale formation. The company, which dates back to its founding in 1878, has its principal offices in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.39 Consensus $0
EPS surprise -5.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.81B Consensus $1.76B
Revenue surprise +2.6% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EQT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.48 Q4 '23 actual $0.48, match Q1 '24 estimate $0.65 Q1 '24 actual $0.82, beat Q2 '24 estimate $-0.19 Q2 '24 actual $-0.08, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.05 Q3 '24 actual $0.12, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.42 Q2 '25 actual $0.45, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.36 Q3 '25 actual $0.52, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.76 Q4 '25 actual $0.90, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.08 Q1 '26 actual $2.33, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.41 Q2 '26 actual $0.39, miss Q3 '26 estimate $0.53 Q4 '26 estimate $0.90 Q1 '27 estimate $1.39 Q2 '27 estimate $0.66
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy45 ratings
Bullish3066.7%
Neutral1533.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$52.57Previous close
$22Low
$43.47Average
$73High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Jul 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 28, 2026
Stephens & Co. Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 22, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 22, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 8, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainJul 2, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJun 29, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJun 24, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 23, 2026
Show 37 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $52.57. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
StephensMike Scialla$72$52.73 +37.0%Jul 22, 2026
StephensMike Scialla$71$49.81 +35.1%Jul 15, 2026
UBSJosh Silverstein$73$51.22 +38.9%Jul 8, 2026
RBC CapitalScott Hanold$49$44.53 -6.8%Dec 3, 2024
StephensMike Scialla$38$37.31 -27.7%Oct 30, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$41$36.94 -22.0%Oct 4, 2024
CitigroupScott Gruber$44$37.26 -16.3%Oct 3, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$43$33.19 -18.2%Sep 16, 2024
CitigroupPaul Diamond$37$32.9 -29.6%Aug 22, 2024
Piper SandlerMark Lear$32$31.48 -39.1%Aug 15, 2024
See 44 more

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Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +8.5% Event window
SPY move -0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +8.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.7% Up to 20 sessions
EQTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Q2 2026 marked several operational and commercial milestones versus the prior quarter. EQT achieved the longest lateral in shale development and new drilling-speed records, translating into a 90 Bcfe increase in 2026 production guidance. The capex outlook shifted from increasing (Q1) to decreasing, reflecting peak midstream spend behind the company. FERC authorized construction of MVP Southgate, prompting EQT to pull $85 million of capital forward into 2026. The BlackLine Midstream acquisition (~$77 million) added 46 million gallons of propane storage in New England, expanding the commercial footprint. A new 10-year gas supply agreement with CPV and a 5-year LNG offtake with an Asian energy company broadened the contract portfolio. Free cash flow moderated to $330 million from Q1's $1.8 billion, reflecting the absence of the extreme winter pricing that boosted Q1 results.

Guidance delta

Management raised 2026 production guidance by 90 Bcfe following Q2 outperformance. The capex outlook shifted from increasing (Q1) to decreasing, reflecting peak midstream spend behind the company. Guidance sentiment moved from maintained in Q1 to raised in Q2.

Key takeaways

  • Production outperformed guidance, driving a 90 Bcfe raise to the 2026 production outlook.
  • Free cash flow reached $330 million despite a low gas-price environment.
  • EPS of $0.39 missed the $0.41 estimate by 5.4%; revenue of $1.81 billion beat the $1.76 billion estimate by 2.6%.
  • The BlackLine Midstream acquisition (~$77 million) adds 46 million gallons of propane storage in New England.
  • FERC authorized MVP Southgate construction; EQT pulled $85 million of capital forward into 2026.
  • A 5-year LNG offtake with an Asian integrated energy company is expected to boost 2028 free cash flow by approximately $45 million.

Management priorities

  • Accelerate MVP Southgate construction and bring it into service by 2026.
  • Continue aggressive share buybacks funded by free cash flow.
  • Expand the LNG portfolio and pursue additional power-generation gas supply contracts.
  • Leverage the BlackLine acquisition to grow propane storage and commercial reach.
  • Explore further midstream and small-scale M&A opportunities.

Related earnings events

Energy

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-22T16:04:52.122417+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-30T01:23:13.872335+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-30T10:00:59.557699+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-30T10:00:59.554841+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.